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Started By
Message
re: How is Talarico leading Paxton 51% to 48%?
Posted on 8/10/26 at 7:11 am to OWLFAN86
Posted on 8/10/26 at 7:11 am to OWLFAN86
quote:
Allowed islamic foothold Colony Ridge O'Donnell settlement unchallenged paxton did the political theater for trumptards but left true Conservative Texans unprotected in Texas
Im not going to agree with this as you have it written, but I’ll ask what cornyn or talarico did to stop these things?
We can play this game with any politician. The bar isn’t perfection, it’s being better than cornyn and talarico.
Oh, and it’s quite telling that you consider the things I have listed “political theater for trumptards”.
This post was edited on 8/10/26 at 7:18 am
0
Posted on 8/10/26 at 7:30 am to DeBoar
I’m in the Houston heights and it’s certainly “Talarico Country.”
Posted on 8/10/26 at 8:24 am to loogaroo
He isn’t
Paxton will win that race by 4%
Paxton will win that race by 4%
Posted on 8/10/26 at 8:34 am to stelly1025
quote:
We go through this shite every Senate race in Texas. OMG, the polls show Beto/Allred/Talarico insert whatever Dem, is leading in the polls and gets then gets smoked by 6-8+% on election day.
It has been shown, many times, in this very thread, that this is complete horse shite.
Posted on 8/10/26 at 9:06 am to LSUROXS
quote:That was 2024, sir. 2026 is literally light years removed from the last election-- a whole nother ballgame
Trump swept all the swing states. Won the EC and PV
Posted on 8/10/26 at 9:21 am to NawlinsTiger9
The Beto/Cruz race was one of the only ones I can remember where the polling wasn't loaded D by at least 3 points. He actually made it closer than the polls indicated, which never happens.
Allred was polling 5 points better than he performed. Hegar was polling 5 points better. Davis polled 5 points better than she performed versus Abbott in 2014. Beto polled 3 points better against Abbott in 22. I could go on forever.
But forget the polls for a second, because we all know they are garbage. Ask yourself what most Cornyn supporters would do, when having to choose between Ken Paxton and a closeted, trans-loving, vegan Nancy boy? This isnt Massachusetts.
Allred was polling 5 points better than he performed. Hegar was polling 5 points better. Davis polled 5 points better than she performed versus Abbott in 2014. Beto polled 3 points better against Abbott in 22. I could go on forever.
But forget the polls for a second, because we all know they are garbage. Ask yourself what most Cornyn supporters would do, when having to choose between Ken Paxton and a closeted, trans-loving, vegan Nancy boy? This isnt Massachusetts.
This post was edited on 8/10/26 at 9:26 am
Posted on 8/10/26 at 9:26 am to Hetfield
quote:This is an attempted smear on an accomplished Texas Legislator and on a Christian man and a scholar, with a law degree from UT and a master's degree in education from Harvard. It's an age-old tactic to denigrate a fine man who has political differences from your own, as "crazy", "insane", "retarded", "impaired", etc. There's no evidence Talarico is impaired at all-- au contraire his one-minute ads hit the spot with many Texans
Talarico has severe mental issues
Posted on 8/10/26 at 9:28 am to stelly1025
quote:
OMG, the polls show Beto/Allred/Talarico insert whatever Dem, is leading in the polls
POLLSTER DATE
CRUZ (R)
*
O'ROURKE (D)
SPREAD
Final Results
— 50.9 48.3
Cruz
+2.6
RCP Average
10/22 - 11/5 51.3 44.5
Cruz
+6.8
Trafalgar Group (R)
11/3 - 11/5 52 43
Cruz
+9
Emerson*
10/28 - 10/30 50 47
Cruz
+3
Dixie Strategies
10/25 - 10/26 52 42
Cruz
+10
Quinnipiac
10/22 - 10/28 51 46
Cruz
+5
UT/Texas Tribune*
10/15 - 10/21 51 45
Cruz
+6
CNN
10/9 - 10/13 52 45
Cruz
+7
NYT/Siena
10/8 - 10/11 51 43
Cruz
+8
Quinnipiac
10/3 - 10/9 54 45
Cruz
+9
CBS News
10/2 - 10/5 50 44
Cruz
+6
Emerson*
10/1 - 10/5 47 42
Cruz
+5
Quinnipiac
9/11 - 9/17 54 45
Cruz
+9
Dixie Strategies
9/6 - 9/7 46 42
Cruz
+4
Emerson
8/22 - 8/25 39 38
Cruz
+1
NBC/Marist
8/12 - 8/16 49 45
Cruz
+4
Quinnipiac
7/26 - 7/31 49 43
Cruz
+6
Texas Lyceum*
7/9 - 7/26 41 39
Cruz
+2
Gravis
7/3 - 7/7 51 42
Cruz
+9
CBS News
6/19 - 6/22 50 40
Cruz
+10
UT/Texas Tribune*
6/8 - 6/17 41 36
Cruz
+5
Quinnipiac
5/23 - 5/29 50 39
Cruz
+11
JMC Analytics
5/19 - 5/21 47 40
Cruz
+7
Quinnipiac
4/12 - 4/17 47 44
Cruz
+3
Nov 1 – 4
2,434 LV
AtlasIntel
52.5%
Cruz
45.5%
Allred
+7 Cruz
Oct 26 – 28
600 LV
Cygnal
49.0%
Cruz
45.0%
Allred
+4 Cruz
Oct 21 – 27
400 LV
ActiVote
52.4%
Cruz
47.6%
Allred
+5 Cruz
Oct 23 – 26
1,180 RV
Siena College Poll/N...
49.0%
Cruz
46.0%
Allred
+3 Cruz
Oct 23 – 26
1,180 LV
Siena College Poll/N...
50.0%
Cruz
46.0%
Allred
+4 Cruz
Oct 24 – 25
1,002 LV
Rasmussen Reports/Am...
47.0%
Cruz
43.0%
Allred
+4 Cruz
Oct 18 – 23
800 LV
GBAO/Colin Allred
46.0%
Allred
46.0%
Cruz
TIE
Oct 18 – 21
815 LV
Emerson College Poll...
48.3%
Cruz
46.8%
Allred
+2 Cruz
Oct 14 – 21
955 LV
University of Texas ...
47.0%
Cruz
45.0%
Allred
+2 Cruz
Oct 7 – 17
1,018 RV
YouGov/Claremont McK...
49.0%
Cruz
45.0%
Allred
+4 Cruz
Oct 1 – 16
400 LV
ActiVote
52.8%
Cruz
47.2%
Allred
+6 Cruz
Oct 2 – 10
1,091 LV
Texas Politics Proje...
51.0%
Cruz
44.0%
Allred
+7 Cruz
Sep 26 – Oct 10
1,329 LV
YouGov/University of...
50.0%
Cruz
46.0%
Allred
+4 Cruz
Oct 3 – 7
1,186 LV
Marist College Poll
50.0%
Cruz
47.0%
Allred
+3 Cruz
Oct 2 – 6
811 RV
Florida Atlantic Uni...
47.0%
Cruz
44.0%
Allred
+3 Cruz
Sep 29 – Oct 4
617 LV
Siena College Poll/N...
48.0%
Cruz
44.0%
Allred
+4 Cruz
Sep 29 – Oct 4
617 RV
Siena College Poll/N...
45.0%
Cruz
43.0%
Allred
+2 Cruz
Sep 5 – 30
400 LV
ActiVote
52.4%
Cruz
47.6%
Allred
+5 Cruz
Sep 25 – 27
779 LV
RMG Research/Napolit...
50.0%
Cruz
47.0%
Allred
+3 Cruz
Sep 25 – 26
759 RV
Public Policy Pollin...
47.0%
Cruz
46.0%
Allred
+1 Cruz
Sep 22 – 24
860 LV
Emerson College Poll...
48.9%
Cruz
44.9%
Allred
+4 Cruz
Sep 13 – 18
1,200 LV
Texas Hispanic Polic...
48.0%
Cruz
45.0%
Allred
+3 Cruz
Sep 9 – 18
2,716 LV
Morning Consult
45.0%
Allred
44.0%
Cruz
+1 Allred
Posted on 8/10/26 at 9:33 am to tarzana
quote:
This is an attempted smear on an accomplished Texas Legislator and on a Christian man and a scholar, with a law degree from UT and a master's degree in education from Harvard.
quote:
Before earning his Bachelor of Arts degree in government from the University of Texas at Austin, he organized students for tuition relief.[7][8] Talarico later earned a Master of Education degree in education policy from the Harvard Graduate School of Education[9] and went on to receive a Master of Arts in theological studies at Austin Presbyterian Theological Seminary
LINK
Dude is only 37 years old and has already been a professional, career politician for most of his post-higher ed studies life.
Posted on 8/10/26 at 9:35 am to Vacherie Saint
quote:
But forget the polls for a second, because we all know they are garbage
The point is that people are just consistently making shite up about the polls. There was no version of reality in a Texas senate race where a democrat was blowing out the republican candidate in the polls and then lost by 6-8 points on Election Day as the post I was replying to suggested.
If you want to argue the margins, sure, there have been more republican overperformances than the alternative. But it’s not like they were being billed as close races, and the polling was on the right side of the race damn near every time in recent history.
Glad to see you’ve changed your tune since your first post in this thread, though.
Posted on 8/10/26 at 9:41 am to NawlinsTiger9
You are trying too hard. All anyone is saying is that the polls are shite. And they are. In almost all cases, dems are overrepresented in these polls.
Who said this? If you are referring to my earlier post, Ipsos did, in fact, have Beto beating Cruz. I could be wrong about Davis, but I recall there being a local poll or two that wishcasted her winning early in the race.
quote:
democrat was blowing out the republican candidate in the polls and then lost by 6-8 points on Election Day
Who said this? If you are referring to my earlier post, Ipsos did, in fact, have Beto beating Cruz. I could be wrong about Davis, but I recall there being a local poll or two that wishcasted her winning early in the race.
This post was edited on 8/10/26 at 9:52 am
Posted on 8/10/26 at 9:44 am to tarzana
quote:
This is an attempted smear on an accomplished Texas Legislator and on a Christian man and a scholar, with a law degree from UT and a master's degree in education from Harvard. It's an age-old tactic to denigrate a fine man who has political differences from your own, as "crazy", "insane", "retarded", "impaired", etc. There's no evidence Talarico is impaired at all-- au contraire his one-minute ads hit the spot with many Texans
Posted on 8/10/26 at 9:47 am to Gifman
Posted on 8/10/26 at 9:47 am to loogaroo
Because Paxton is an awful candidate and has greenlighted all the socialist H1B BS coming from Abbott.
We all could have had Wesley Hunt and avoided all of this.
We all could have had Wesley Hunt and avoided all of this.
Posted on 8/10/26 at 9:58 am to Vacherie Saint
quote:
All anyone is saying is that the polls are shite.
That’s not “all anyone is saying”
Multiple people in this thread - including you - said that the polls had Beto beating Cruz, and except for a couple of extreme outliers, that is flat out untrue.
You can think the polls are shite but you have to defend that with facts, not made up nonsense.
quote:
Who said this?
The guy I replied to (and quoted)
Posted on 8/10/26 at 10:01 am to CovingtonCrooner
quote:
I’m in the Houston heights and it’s certainly “Talarico Country.”
Not shocking.
I don't think I've seen a single Paxton sign in anyone's yard, whether in Houston city limits or in the burbs. Haven't really been looking that hard, but I'm in and out of both, and have started looking around during my runs.
But honestly, also very few Talarico signs, especially compared to Beto ones when he was running vs. Cruz then again vs. Abbott. In fact, one house in my hood around the corner from us had a Talarico sign when he first won the primary vs. Crockett, but I noticed it gone a few weeks ago, and it (or a replacement) hasn't returned to that yard.
Being Paxton is such a POS, I wouldn't count on seeing a bunch of his signs in residential yards, but traditional values suburban voters are still going to quietly pull the lever for him.
This post was edited on 8/10/26 at 10:02 am
Posted on 8/10/26 at 10:18 am to ragincajun03
quote:
Dude is only 37 years old and has already been a professional, career politician for most of his post-higher ed studies life.
Paxton had a longer civilian life but he has also spent the majority of his career as a politician
Which, ignoring everything else about each canidate, Paxton being another old guy is working against him.
After the last 6 years of presidents that can hardly keep their eyes open, Mitch legislating from the grave, nancy stock trading from an old folks home. Talarico being young is a more a postive than a negative.
Posted on 8/10/26 at 10:27 am to CrystalPreserves
quote:
Because people are getting fed up with the maga bullshite they were sold.
Oh boy. You sound like Harry Sission
Posted on 8/10/26 at 10:30 am to loogaroo
THC
Posted on 8/10/26 at 10:36 am to tarzana
quote:
This is an attempted smear on an accomplished Texas Legislator and on a Christian man and a scholar, with a law degree from UT and a master's degree in education from Harvard. It's an age-old tactic to denigrate a fine man who has political differences from your own, as "crazy", "insane", "retarded", "impaired", etc. There's no evidence Talarico is impaired at all-- au contraire his one-minute ads hit the spot with many Texans
Do you think he would join Fetterman as the ONLY dem senator to vote against the leftist once in a blue moon? Or would he clip Schumer’s toenails like the rest of them? He will lose because a vote for him is a vote for Schumer.
This post was edited on 8/10/26 at 10:37 am
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