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GREAT update on my California toss up house district: Rs +15 in early vote (pic inside)

Posted on 10/29/18 at 8:34 pm
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69251 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 8:34 pm


See that deep deep red town on far right side of map? That’s my town, peeps.

We are doing our part
Posted by Seldom Seen
Member since Feb 2016
39990 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 8:35 pm to
You should start busing people.
Posted by Canada_Baw
Member since Dec 2017
2044 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 8:37 pm to
Dem number unchanged from mailed to returned ... independant moving bigly republican or am I just confused by that chart?

Obviously good early turnout for repubs but does it reflect a change in party affiliation?

Also do different counties withold the returns?
This post was edited on 10/29/18 at 8:38 pm
Posted by TheHarahanian
Actually not Harahan as of 6/2023
Member since May 2017
19496 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 8:37 pm to

I’d expect a GOP win in Orange County.
Posted by HubbaBubba
F_uck Joe Biden, TX
Member since Oct 2010
45710 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 8:37 pm to
Gonna be nearby in Tustin on Thursday.
Posted by BamaAtl
South of North
Member since Dec 2009
21874 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 8:39 pm to
Might want to compare that to 2014 and 2010 before you start the circle jerk.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90506 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 8:50 pm to
It was R+17 in 2016 for the congressional candidate and the district voted for HRC by 5.

Some takeaways is the demographic turnout. 70% of voters thus far have been white in a district that is 55% white. Thats not a good sign for Dems
Posted by BamaAtl
South of North
Member since Dec 2009
21874 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 8:54 pm to
quote:

deltaland


Something like this, but updated for early votes.

LINK

Overall, this district and the ones around it are trending massively Democratic.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:00 pm to
The link you posted is from last June.
Posted by BamaAtl
South of North
Member since Dec 2009
21874 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:02 pm to
And shows that even with a massive R registration advantage, the district was closer than thought and is trending less R in registration.

Gonna be a ton of registered Republicans who haven't bothered to switch who won't vote for Trumpkins for Congress anymore.
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69251 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:07 pm to
Mimi Walters is a solid conservative republican

Why would a republican not vote for her? She won her district by 20 points in 2016, outperforming djt by 25
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:08 pm to
Your flawed logic reeks of desperation on your part.
Posted by mule74
Watersound Beach
Member since Nov 2004
11288 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:17 pm to
What is that thing running as a Democrat???
Posted by bamarep
Member since Nov 2013
51794 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:20 pm to
shite, I'm in.


Mail me an absentee HHM.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90506 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:39 pm to
You really can’t compare primary turnout in June to post Kavanaugh GOP motivation.

Trump has a 90% approval among the GOP. Those republicans aren’t voting D
Posted by omegaman66
greenwell springs
Member since Oct 2007
22772 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:47 pm to
Wow, I look at Katie Porter and she really doesn't strike me as being evil. Looks can be deceiving!
Posted by GeorgeTheGreek
Sparta, Greece
Member since Mar 2008
66405 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 10:58 pm to
I early voted for the Republican too baw.

ETA: also YES on prop 6 to repeal the gas tax. frick more taxes, especially .12 cents a gallon. Get fricked.
This post was edited on 10/29/18 at 11:01 pm
Posted by Sid in Lakeshore
Member since Oct 2008
41956 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 11:01 pm to
quote:

Gonna be a ton of registered Republicans who haven't bothered to switch who won't vote for Trumpkins for Congress anymore.


We'll see...…

Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 11:17 pm to
vermin is awfully defensive
Posted by moock blackjack
Member since Apr 2008
96128 posts
Posted on 10/29/18 at 11:44 pm to
Red Wave is real
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