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Started By
Message
GOP Governor Could Test LA Legislature’s Newfound Independence
Posted on 12/1/22 at 6:53 am
Posted on 12/1/22 at 6:53 am
quote:
As we approach the 2023 statewide election cycle, Republicans are on the verge of capturing a supermajority in both the House and Senate for the first time in modern history. At the same time, oddsmakers predict Louisiana will elect a GOP governor after two terms of a Democrat holding the office.
Republican legislators are excited, and rightfully so. But they should also proceed with caution if they truly care about legislative independence, a central theme in Capitoland over the past seven years or so.
Independence became a war cry not long after the 2015 election of Gov. John Bel Edwards, mostly by Republican lawmakers who dug in against the Democrat’s choices for House speaker. The resulting selection of former GOP Speaker Taylor Barras was a memorable moment that followed generations of lawmakers mostly doing what governors told them in regard to leadership races.
This quest for independence blossomed over two terms and eventually included several attempts by the legislative branch to gain more power at the expense of the administrative branch. Nearly all of those attempts failed, but lawmakers have pushed in recent years to gain more ground on capital outlay projects, executive order approvals, appointment powers and more.
Lawmakers also successfully called themselves into session during this time, rather than waiting on the governor, and veto override sessions became a routine part of the process.
But what happens in the next term? Will Republican lawmakers have the political will to say no to a Republican governor?
If representatives and senators want to maintain control over chairmanships, committee assignments, bill prioritization, budget drafting, construction spending, office space, parking spots and apartments, they’ll need to develop and elect their own candidates for House speaker and Senate president.
If the next governor is solely responsible for these two leadership posts, then it will be the governor—and not the speaker and president—who selects the next Appropriations Committee chair. And it will be the governor who decides what the floor agendas look like.
quote:
With a supermajority in the Legislature expected, lawmakers may also need to ask themselves who put them there. Right now, that question is easy to answer—business and industry has mostly served as the fuel in campaign finance accounts.
Lately, though, far-right campaigns financed by trial lawyer money have found success in Louisiana, particularly in judicial contests. This slowly developing trend is notable only because trial lawyer money has largely been found on the left in our politics, squared off soundly against money from business and industry on the right.
Could Republicans next term be elected to the Legislature with support from both business and industry and the trial bar? As wild as that sounds, it’s possible. Trial lawyers who donate to candidates are finding they can accomplish many of the same policy goals with libertarians as they do with liberals.
In turn, that could cause more fissures in the GOP legislative ranks during a time when unity is needed to preserve independence. Of course, to do that, the Republican Legislature will have to stand up to the Republican governor as moderate Republican lawmakers strive to compromise with far-right Republican lawmakers.
In short, Republicans are on pace to become so powerful in the Louisiana Capitol they will have no one else to fight but themselves.
LINK
I think this could get interesting. Over the past several years in Louisiana, we saw the Legislative body push back against the Governor in a way that hadn't been done, at least not since the recent Louisiana State Constitution of 1974.
If Louisiana ends up with a Governor Kennedy, Landry, Nungesser, Schroder or Graves, will Republicans in the Legislature have the backbone to stand up to the Governor, in a meaningful way. Back during the Jindal Administration, some Republican Legislators tried in ways like pushing back against the vote-buying pork monies in HB2 (Capital Outlay) and some other instances, but the numbers were too small.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 7:01 am to ragincajun03
quote:
Lately, though, far-right campaigns financed by trial lawyer money have found success in Louisiana
Who is he talking about here?
Posted on 12/1/22 at 7:03 am to boosiebadazz
quote:
Who is he talking about here?
Not sure. He said it was in judicial races. I’m guessing races in districts where a Republican was pretty much guaranteed to win.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 7:04 am to ragincajun03
quote:
Lately, though, far-right campaigns financed by trial lawyer money have found success in Louisiana, particularly in judicial contests. This slowly developing trend is notable only because trial lawyer money has largely been found on the left in our politics, squared off soundly against money from business and industry on the right.
I have a hard time believing trial attorneys are conservative for the most part
Posted on 12/1/22 at 7:08 am to ragincajun03
quote:
Over the past several years in Louisiana, we saw the Legislative body push back against the Governor
This happened?
It seemed to me like they were all talk and no bite (other than sound bites).
Posted on 12/1/22 at 7:19 am to HailToTheChiz
Conservatives get in wrecks too. Insurance Co. money spends no matter the spender. As long as Conservative lawmakers don't mess with law suits. Albeit I doubt that any big time Trial Lawyer would want support for 'far Right' Conservative candidates exposed.
JBE is pretty religious, but he's did a good job of fence walking. Such will get harder in the near future, as religion becomes less popular and more politically and culturally contentious.
JBE is pretty religious, but he's did a good job of fence walking. Such will get harder in the near future, as religion becomes less popular and more politically and culturally contentious.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 7:23 am to ragincajun03
quote:
But what happens in the next term? Will Republican lawmakers have the political will to say no to a Republican governor?
Did the writer conveniently forget the 2021 special session?
They didn't have the political testicles to say no to a Democrat governor on bills the governor vetoed but which were wildly popular among voters.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 7:24 am to ragincajun03
Lol is this satire?? Big Dick JBE has spent years dragging his nuts across the legislatures face. They are scared to death of him. Except for a few like our boy McCormick they are worthless pieces of shite.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 8:03 am to Bard
Sure, JBE ended up still winning in the end and able to buy off a couple votes.
But one cannot deny that there was more pushback, even if at least a procedural show, over the past few years from the Legislative branch vs. the Executive branch than in years prior. In the years of Jindal, Foster and Edwin Edwards, and prior, you didn't see much of that. The Governor hand picked every leadership position.
Did it have any real material effect? Probably not. But it was still more than previously seen.
But one cannot deny that there was more pushback, even if at least a procedural show, over the past few years from the Legislative branch vs. the Executive branch than in years prior. In the years of Jindal, Foster and Edwin Edwards, and prior, you didn't see much of that. The Governor hand picked every leadership position.
Did it have any real material effect? Probably not. But it was still more than previously seen.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 8:03 am to ragincajun03
Why would they need to fight a real conservative Republican Governor ?
Posted on 12/1/22 at 8:08 am to ragincajun03
Is it too much to ask for them to just pass the constitutional concealed carry bill?
Posted on 12/1/22 at 8:11 am to ragincajun03
How can this be? I mean two years ago we elected a Democratic President with over 85 million votes cast for him? Certainly his policy acheivements have not hurt the democratic party?
But, Change is GOOD! Especially here in the Great State of Louisiana!!
But, Change is GOOD! Especially here in the Great State of Louisiana!!
Posted on 12/1/22 at 8:31 am to ragincajun03
It's going to depend on whether whoever is in the Governors mansion has a working relationship with the legislature. Old school governor runs the show has pretty much gone away. It will be interesting.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 8:42 am to HailToTheChiz
quote:
I have a hard time believing trial attorneys are conservative for the most part
I would guess there is way too much money involved for it to be classified as a left-right thing. I would certainly guarantee self-interest is more a motivating factor over political ideology.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 10:07 am to RCDfan1950
quote:
JBE is pretty religious,
Except for everything he does and says, yeah, I guess he's pretty religious.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 10:53 am to Strannix
quote:
Lol is this satire?? Big Dick JBE has spent years dragging his nuts across the legislatures face. They are scared to death of him
Wow, this is way off. He could (and did) veto a lot of legislation. He had no ability to pass anything. His proposals often didn't make it out of committee.
Even defense, he was beatable. Heck, they passed tort reform. They overcame his redistricting veto. This is unheard of for a La Governor.
He did have a lot of influence on the COVID response, but the system (for better or worse) is designed to give the Governor a lot of powers during an emergency.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 10:56 am to ragincajun03
quote:
If Louisiana ends up with a Governor Kennedy, Landry, Nungesser, Schroder or Graves, will Republicans in the Legislature have the backbone to stand up to the Governor, in a meaningful way.
It may not completely go back to the way it was before, but if Kennedy wins, it will be pretty close. Landry will have a strong cadre of supporters who will back him, but that could also lead to some division.
Also, the Senate has always been more independent from the House. So keep that in mind.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 10:59 am to tjv305
quote:
Why would they need to fight a real conservative Republican Governor ?
Do you mean God and Guns? Yeah, they will pretty much stick together on those issues.
Fiscal issues? A lot of "conservatives" in this state love to spend money. They just want it to go to their parish, cause, or supporters.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 11:09 am to tjv305
quote:
Why would they need to fight a real conservative Republican Governor ?
because not everyone is an ideologue and just because you support a politician or want to politically label yourself doesn't mean you have to agree with everything certain politicians say or do
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