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Message
Final Rasmussen national poll better than 2016 for Trump
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:23 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:23 pm
2020-Biden +1, 2016-Hillary +2. Biden probably needs to be at least at +3. Throw in 52% approval vs Obama at 50% on the same date eight years ago.
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 1:47 pm
2
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:25 pm to da prophet
quote:
vs Obama at 50% on the same date four years ago.
?
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:26 pm to da prophet
RCP averages currently has Biden doing 1.6 better than Clinton. Trump outperformed polls by about 2-3 points in 2016 depending on the state. This is going to be a nail biter.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:27 pm to Ssubba
There were a lot more undecided voters in 2016 though.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:27 pm to McLemore
quote:
quote:
vs Obama at 50% on the same date four years ago.
?
Obama's approval was at 50% on this date in 2016 where Trump's is 52% in 2020.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:35 pm to Nurbis
quote:
Obama's approval was at 50% on this date in 2016 where Trump's is 52% in 2020.
Yes I was asking what the significance of that is. Obama wasn't running for anything on 2016.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:37 pm to McLemore
It means Trump has a higher approval rating than the Lightbringer at the same point in time.
That bodes extremely well for independents to break hard for Trump, and a few Democrats along with them.
That bodes extremely well for independents to break hard for Trump, and a few Democrats along with them.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:38 pm to McLemore
quote:
Yes I was asking what the significance of that is. Obama wasn't running for anything on 2016.
Actually he was by proxy. HRC was just going to be Obama's third term.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:39 pm to McLemore
quote:
Yes I was asking what the significance of that is. Obama wasn't running for anything on 2016.
but Obama at 50% on election eve in 2016 should've still been an indicator of positive things coming on that Election Day
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:46 pm to rt3
quote:
but Obama at 50% on election eve in 2016 should've still been an indicator of positive things coming on that Election Day
Got it. It was a legit question re: what OP thought the overall significance of Obama's approval rating was. Obama and HRC were obviously very different candidates, and Americans are fickle, so 8 years of Barry O and The Radicals could prove weary.
But I agree it is a positive loose proxy, for Trump.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:46 pm to McLemore
quote:The 50% approval reference is to 2012, the day before BHO beat Romney, not 2016. OP misstated that
Yes I was asking what the significance of that is. Obama wasn't running for anything on 2016.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:47 pm to NC_Tigah
Eight years ago for Obama, corrected.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:49 pm to da prophet
quote:
Eight years ago for Obama, corrected.
Ahhhh, now we're talkin.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:51 pm to rt3
quote:
but Obama at 50% on election eve in 2016
The Rasmussen site comparison is 2012 vs 2020.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:58 pm to McLemore
quote:
Yes I was asking what the significance of that is. Obama wasn't running for anything on 2016.
Were we supposed to know that from a question mark? The significance is self-explanatory. Obama has been regarded by the media as a massive success while insisting Trump has been a failure but the approval ratings show that people don't see Trump that way. And Obama's approval rating in early November of 2012 was 52% per Gallup.
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 1:59 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:21 pm to NC_Tigah
Looks like a Hunter Biden polygraph test.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:44 pm to Tantal
quote:
And Obama's approval rating in early November of 2012 was 52% per Gallup.
Some Gallup numbers from a poll taken for four days immediately before the 2016 election:
Trump approval = 36%, disapproval =61%
Clinton approval = 47%, disapproval = 52%.
That’s your gold standard Gallup poll. LOL
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:15 pm to Nurbis
quote:
Were we supposed to know that from a question mark?
?
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