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re: DraftKings: Every State but Colorado think that Trump is going to win
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:46 pm to OMLandshark
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:46 pm to OMLandshark
I have Trump winning Colorado.
1
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:49 pm to lsuguy84
I agree it’s unlikely, but if they pissed off enough suburban Denver small business owners, it could happen.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:54 pm to Langland
I think it’s possible but not likely. I’d give it a 35% chance.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:54 pm to 3lsu3
I hope so. If he wins here it’s a going to be a bloodbath.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:57 pm to 3lsu3
There was a caravan around 14,000 deep on Hwy. 83 this morning with Trump flags.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:00 pm to Centinel
quote:
While this is awesome, keep in the mind the type of people voting for Biden don't bet on sports, or even watch sports.
Yeah, this is the very definition of a skewed sample. It's like asking, "Who do MSNBC viewers or Huffington Post readers think is going to win?" You'd see an entirely blue map, all 50 states blue.
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 2:01 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:02 pm to OMLandshark
quote:
Who people are betting on through their site.
If the polling sample is only sports bettors on DraftKings then the only thing to note here is that Colorado is apparently lost to Democrats statewide forever.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:03 pm to OMLandshark
Every mainstream media outlet say Biden will win easily.
Yet every single state, even almost all the blue ones, think Trump will win.
Interesting.
Yet every single state, even almost all the blue ones, think Trump will win.
Interesting.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:04 pm to OMLandshark
Isn't that map based on who people are betting on? And the odds are significantly more favorable for Trump so... not much a poll here.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:06 pm to OMLandshark
If Trump wins California, Washington, and New York, I'll have to pick my jaw up off the floor. 
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:08 pm to kywildcatfanone
quote:
If Trump wins California, Washington, and New York, I'll have to pick my jaw up off the floor.
Yeah some people are confused. This map is not a state by state prediction or anything. It's who the most betters in each state think will win.
The map says that the bettors in those states predict Trump will win the election. Apparently only Colorado bettors think Biden will win.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:09 pm to lsuguy84
quote:
I hope so. If he wins here it’s a going to be a bloodbath.
I actually have two electoral maps. What I think with logic will happen:
And here’s what I feel will happen:
I just can’t imagine living in Oregon or Washington and voting for the madness that has ensued. Colorado has enough libertarians and Republicans to see it through, and New Mexico is extremely Hispanic where I can see him taking it. Virginians have to be sick of their idiot governor and Jersey has been locked down only second to New York and have voted for R politicians in the recent past. Trump would have to really, really upset things in NY to get that as well as the other 4 New England states, and Trump would have to flip 3 million voters in California to take that so that’s not going to happen. That’s my best case scenario model there.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:11 pm to LSU Patrick
quote:
And Colorado thinks that immigration is going to be a big issue to voters this election.
Its still a big issue for me, all the more reason I voted R again although Trump has by and large been a disappointment on legal immigration.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:24 pm to OMLandshark
Wait, what was the question again?
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:27 pm to pjab
quote:
Wait, what was the question again?
DraftKings is a betting site. They’re just revealing who people are betting on: Trump or Biden. More people and almost every state thinks Trump is going win because they’re betting on him. I don’t see why this is all that complicated.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:27 pm to OMLandshark
I don't think he's winning WA unfortunately. I did manage to convert some hardcore libs around here though- one voted for 3 repubs for the first time ever, the other voted biden but straight Rs the rest of the way. Note this is in King County
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 2:28 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:38 pm to CuseTiger
quote:
I don't think he's winning WA unfortunately. I did manage to convert some hardcore libs around here though- one voted for 3 repubs for the first time ever, the other voted biden but straight Rs the rest of the way. Note this is in King County
Again I don't think with logic he's winning with Colorado.... but surely people are seeing the things I am. These media companies act like people don't have eyes and ears and just absorb what they are telling them through osmosis. Yeah, this is true for some idiots, but I do think people can see what is going on around them.
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 2:39 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:49 pm to Centinel
quote:
While this is awesome, keep in the mind the type of people voting for Biden don't bet on sports, or even watch sports.
Are you suggesting that 95% of the NBA and at an absolute bare minimum 50% of the NFL are not going to vote for Biden?
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:55 pm to OMLandshark
This is definitely not good for the Trump team....when the public is all on one side in betting, it usually goes the other way
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