re: Does JBE win re-election?

This assumes a similar turnout from the primary.

He can get the same number of votes but end up having a higher percentage if others don’t vote, but the scare tactics used on black stations tell me he isn’t expecting similar turnout.

A lack of other serious Dem candidates in runoffs mean that any turnout is likely going to fall directly on him as opposed to having Cleo Fields bus them to the polls.

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And there are Independents like me, former Reaganite type Republican who has never supported a DEM at the Presidential Level. Although, even as a Reaganite Republican, I supported John Breaux, J.B. Johnston, etc for Senator. I voted for Republicans in every Local Baton Rouge Election in the primary save Governor. So I will vote for JBE.

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Just curious...why are you supporting JBE?

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This assumes a similar turnout from the primary.

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I agree and its going to be a little higher turnout this time but I still can't find a path to victory for him unless tons of Abraham voters stay home..... The religious right of this State scares the shite out of me.

I honestly think he is better for the state than Rispone. Rispone quite frankly is a political hack. The use of the term "Liberal" to describe JBE is laughable, as if he is the same as Sanders, Warren, Pelosi, Schumer, etc, etc. He has been way better for LSU than Jindal, who I voted for twice. Jindal got us in this mess when he killed the Stelly plan which was promoted by Governor Foster (REP) and Stelly himself (Republican) and approved by the voters. What does Jindal do, against this better judgment, he, not by himself, but he is largest culprit, killed the Stelly plan and he did it at a time when LA was flush with Oil Money. In fact, in Jindal's first 4 years, Oil Revenues were providing almost 20% of LA's total revenues, highest since the 45% or so during the end of Edwin Edwards tenure and Treen's tenure. He did away with the cigarette tax, which LA had the lowest in the country at the time because as Jindal stated, not allowing a tax expire that is on the books is in effect a tax raise. I am 53 years old and in effect what Jindal did was bring us back to the Edwards era when Oil revenues funded everything and nobody had to pay taxes for essential services, i.e. infrastructure, Universities, education, etc. etc.

So to blunt, the Bush, Dick Cheny, John Bolton, Donald Rumsfield NeoCon Republicans, of which Jindal is a part of as it was Bush that appointed Jindal to a position in his Government and Jindal's 8 year tenure as Governor finally caused me to tell the Republican party at the National level to go to hell, I had long ago told the National Dems to go to hell. Rispone may be a good at his business, but he comes across to me as an idiot and a political hack and he is a Jindal Sycophant.

JBE has the backing of the LA Sherriffs assocation, Law Enforcment. It is always interesting when I hear the National Republican talking heads say "We love our Police" with the implication that Liberal Dems don't, Well, he has the backing from Law Enforcement. Every Catholic Pro-Life group I follow gives him an 100% Pro-Life Record. Jindal went around acting holier than thou and never did crap on that one. He has a 100% 2nd Amendment rating as a DEM. Billy Nungesser, the LT Governor, has a lower 2nd amendment rating than JBE and he is a Republican.

So for Governor, I don't give a crap about DEM and REP because JBE on the issues I care about is as conservative as Ronald Reagan. He got the state out of the budget mess that Jindal put us in and I actually think he is less divisive for the broad cross section of voters. There are lots of good things going on in Louisiana right now with LSU and the Saint. I think JBE, more so than Rispone, is better able to bring Catholic/Protestant or no religion, White/Black, City/Rural, South LA, Central LA, North LA together than Rispone who is using the same tactics that both National DEMS and REPS use at Presidential level

Actually I do. I was old enough to vote for him. Are you. Reagan actually tried to control spending, but he could actually meet and work with Tip O'Neil and met with him everyday. He appointed Scalia, my favorite justice who started the originalist conservative judicial philosophy on the supreme court. He was solid on 2nd amendment, strong on National defense, and not an interventionist like the Modern Republican NEOCON dominated party led by the likes of the Bushes, Dick Cheny, Donald Rumsfield that lied there arse off about weapons of mass destruction in Iraq and sent a bunch of people to die in bleeping war that they would not send their own kids to fight in.

Reagan in 1983 sent some Marines to help broker a cease fire in Lebanon. After the Marine barracks attack, Reagan had a decision to we send more young people to die in the Middle east and get involve in a civil war and regime change, or we just bomb the hell out of the people that did it and then get our people out and let those folks there fight it out as eventually people will get tired of killing each other. The one thing he did not do is get a bunch of young Americans killed in a war that we had no business fighting because it was not worth asking American Fathers and Mothers to see there kids blood spilled in the middle east.

Afghanistan was the correct decision, but all this other regime change crap stating with Bush and Iraq and Obama an Clinton with Libya, Egypt and Syria, only the optics differed there as it was covert US action, vs. boots on the ground by Bush.

So yes I know what Reagan Republicanism and I know what Modern NeoCon Republicanism is. The Neocon Republicans can go to hell with the National Liberal DEMS. I despise both of them

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Ummm... JBE voted to repeal the Stelly Plan. Even "The Edwards Advocate" acknowledges that fact.

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We didn't repeal Stelly. We partially repealed Stelly.

If we repealed Stelly in full, it may have been poor policy, but we would not have had the budget issues we had.

But yeah, lots of people in both parties take the blame for that. Including Jindal and JBE.

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So for Governor, I don't give a crap about DEM and REP because JBE on the issues I care about is as conservative as Ronald Reagan. He got the state out of the budget mess that Jindal put us in and I actually think he is less divisive for the broad cross section of voters. There are lots of good things going on in Louisiana right now with LSU and the Saint. I think JBE, more so than Rispone, is better able to bring Catholic/Protestant or no religion, White/Black, City/Rural, South LA, Central LA, North LA together than Rispone who is using the same tactics that both National DEMS and REPS use at Presidential level

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He didn't really. The cuts to various incentive programs that Jindal and Republican and Black Caucus legislators enacted in 2015 coupled with the windfall revenue generated by the Federal tax cut and increasing oil prices got us out of the budget deficit cycle.

All Edwards did was pile on a train wreck Medicaid expansion (BTW go check out the LDH General Fund Allocation since JBE took office) and raised needless taxes. His tax increases disproportionately effect the working poor, and were completely unnecessary as our government is now working with a $500 million surplus.

This Fiscal Note for his 2017 tax increase was 445 Million. So we had a budget surplus despite his Medicaid expansion before his latest tax increase. He just wanted more of your money.

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We didn't repeal Stelly. We partially repealed Stelly.

If we repealed Stelly in full, it may have been poor policy, but we would not have had the budget issues we had.

But yeah, lots of people in both parties take the blame for that. Including Jindal and JBE.

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Yes, they kept the exemptions on essential items like food, medicine and utilities, but went back to the pre-Stelly State Income tax tables. They did it at a time when Oil prices were through the roof and LA budget revenues were at about 16% of total revenues (2008) by 2015 those were less than 10% and by 2017 they were 4% of total revenues. So yes, it was a collective FUBAR by the entire LA Political establishment that killed the Stelly plan, a Republican pushed plan by Govenor Foster, 2 term Governor and very good one IMO and Republican Rep Vic Stelly of Lake Charles and voter approved.

But Jindal was the executive from 2008 to 2016 and the Governor in LA would not be defined as a Weak Governor state in terms of executive power, I think we are about average, whereas Texas next store is a weak Governor in terms of power.

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He got the state out of the budget mess that Jindal put us in

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He didn't really. The cuts to various incentive programs that Jindal and Republican and Black Caucus legislators enacted in 2015 coupled with the windfall revenue generated by the Federal tax cut and increasing oil prices got us out of the budget deficit cycle.

All Edwards did was pile on a train wreck Medicaid expansion (BTW go check out the LDH General Fund Allocation since JBE took office) and raised needless taxes. His tax increases disproportionately effect the working poor, and were completely unnecessary as our government is now working with a $500 million surplus.

This Fiscal Note for his 2017 tax increase was 445 Million. So we had a budget surplus despite his Medicaid expansion before his latest tax increase. He just wanted more of your money.

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I hate that the truth is so nuanced and complicated. With a press that doesn't want to tell that story, virtually no one knows this.