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re: Depressing thought about our national debt

Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:41 pm to
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:41 pm to
Couldn’t agree more.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57200 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:43 pm to
quote:

if we wanted to pay the debt off in 100 years
We will never pay it off. Obama sealed our fate. It's just a matter of time until it all goes KA-BOOM!
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118755 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:44 pm to
quote:

Actually or was about 2013 or 2014 for me but who’s sweating a few years?


Yeah, I don't give a shite anymore too. Hell, the 2008 $800 billion dollar stimulus was never removed from the budget baseline which is now well over a trillion per year.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57200 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:44 pm to
quote:

This board stopped giving a single shite about deficits or debt in January of 2017.
Did you read the OP?
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118755 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:45 pm to
quote:

It's just a matter of time until it all goes KA-BOOM!




I'm praying for it. This is the only way to get back to sanity.
This post was edited on 10/19/20 at 10:57 pm
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118755 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:49 pm to
quote:

3) interest expense, if rates go up, which they eventually will, is going to screw us. Since we aren’t actually paying debt off, as rates go up, the bonds we continue to issue will be at ever higher rates.




You are assuming the Federal Reserve will not back stop unsold bonds. They will. Whatever private firms, countries, investment banks, etc. don't buy the Federal Reserve will purchase by printing money and put on their books thus keeping interest rates low.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57200 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:49 pm to
quote:

The country isn’t really in debt in the same way you owe a debt to the bank for your house ... the US is the economy and makes/controls the money which comprises the “debt.” A better analogy would be to look at it as a form of stock - you wouldn’t say that Amazon is a trillion dollars in debt to its shareholders, would you?
It's nothing like this at all. We *DO* pay back our debts constantly. But we pay it back with new borroed money. We've just been lucky enough there's been enough demand to keep the charade going. That doesn't mean it's sustainable. We're never more than one failed treasury auction from the end. Sleep well.

Also nothing like stock. You don't have to service stock with interest. So...nope.

Posted by LSUTIGER in TEXAS
Member since Jan 2008
13608 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:50 pm to
quote:

What’s the difference between Democrats and Republicans?

Democrats spend like crazy and want to raise our taxes to pay for it.

Republicans spend like crazy and just want to pay for it with debt.

No one wants to really cut spending.
bc it’s a losing political argument.

You have the fiscal parent saying everyone needs to eat PB&J for dinner, and the reckless spending parent arguing they should go out to a fancy restaurant. Of course the short sighted kids vote to eat at a fancy place over sammiches at home.

Reminds me of the Alexander Fraser Tytler quote
quote:

A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the voters discover that they can vote themselves largesse from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for the candidates promising the most benefits from the public treasury with the result that a democracy always collapses over loose fiscal policy, always followed by a dictatorship. The average age of the world's greatest civilizations has been 200 years. These nations have progressed through this sequence: From bondage to spiritual faith; From spiritual faith to great courage; From courage to liberty; From liberty to abundance; From abundance to selfishness; From selfishness to apathy; From apathy to dependence; From dependence back into bondage.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57200 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:52 pm to
quote:

No one wants to really cut spending.
This. Ultimately it's THE VOTERS that don't want to cut spending. Unless you're talking massive cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid spending "cuts" are irrelevant. Now... try to win an election on cutting those programs and see how many votes you get.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57200 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

I'm praying for it. This is the only to get back to sanity.
I have a young daughter. I wish it would happen soon. I'm afraid of what we've left her. It makes me sad.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37073 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:54 pm to
quote:

You are assuming the Federal Reserve will not back stop unsold bonds. They will. Whatever private firms, countries, investment banks, etc. don't buy the Federal Reserve will purchase by printing money and put on their books thus keeping interest rates low.


I feel like inflating our way out of this will end poorly. Maybe it buys us a few years but it just makes the eventual crash even worse.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118755 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:56 pm to
quote:

failed treasury auction


Technically this is how the Ponzi scheme ends but I just don't see it happening. The Federal Reserve will always be the back stop with printed money.

Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37073 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:56 pm to
quote:

Now... try to win an election on cutting those programs and see how many votes you get


Yup. We may be past the point of no return.
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8274 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:58 pm to
quote:

I feel like inflating our way out of this will end poorly. Maybe it buys us a few years but it just makes the eventual crash even worse.


The actions from the fed all but guarantee when the big crash happens it’s going to be really bad. Kicking the can down the road works until it doesn’t. The end result could be the end of the dollar as world currency and a decline in american standard of living.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57200 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 11:02 pm to
quote:

The Federal Reserve will always be the back stop with printed money.
It makes no difference. If the only money the government can borrow is worthless money... it no different than not borrowing it at all.
Posted by dafif
Member since Jan 2019
5558 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 11:29 pm to
Who here wants to get rid of entitlement programs?

Would certainly cut down the debt and deficit. Anyone in politics have the balls to do that?
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11093 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 11:32 pm to
Our real liabilities are in the hundreds of trillions but I've been told it's just money
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11093 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 11:53 pm to
The Federal Reverse cannot print money it's hilarious when people think they can. An absolute indictment on your knowledge of QE and the US monetary system in general. Only commercial banks have that ability. Clicking a button to increase base currency is meaningless when it doesn't ever leave the Feds balance sheet and the banks don't lend against it.

The "debt doesn't matter" crowd are ignorant of history pretty funny.
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
34709 posts
Posted on 10/20/20 at 12:00 am to
quote:

This board stopped giving a single shite about deficits or debt in January of 2017.


nah we still care about it we just realize nobody actually cares about it in either party
Posted by 98eagle
Member since Sep 2020
1954 posts
Posted on 10/20/20 at 2:20 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/30/21 at 5:34 pm
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