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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 10/20/20 at 11:20 am to Jrv2damac
Posted on 10/20/20 at 11:20 am to Jrv2damac
Deaths lag infections. It also depends on who is getting infected. With the return of in-person schools, the average age of infection is declining. This declining age reduces the death rate. CDC link shows the declining age.
LINK
LINK
1
Posted on 10/20/20 at 11:32 am to B4YOU
Our use of therapeutics is also getting better with more experience with the disease and these pandemic bugs tend to get less deadly over time as less lethal strains out-survive more lethal ones, but yes, we seem to be in the lag.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 11:35 am to TigerDoc
Case in point: Spain.
Spain’s 2nd wave has more cases than the first wave, but deaths seem to be way less this time around (around 150 daily deaths vs 500 in April)
Spain’s 2nd wave has more cases than the first wave, but deaths seem to be way less this time around (around 150 daily deaths vs 500 in April)
Posted on 10/20/20 at 12:24 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Posted on 10/20/20 at 1:11 pm to TigerDoc
quote:
Our use of therapeutics is also getting better with more experience with the disease and these pandemic bugs tend to get less deadly over time as less lethal strains out-survive more lethal ones, but yes, we seem to be in the lag.
All of this. If Chris Christie can survive it with his 20+ risk raising factors, we can treat most any healthy adult through it provided we're catching it early.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 5:19 pm to AUin02
Yup, all about catching it early. Reminded my old man, who is the poster child for at-risk, of that fact when he had his second miss a couple of weeks ago. Get tested before symptoms, if positive immediately call the doc.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 6:49 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State
7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State
7-day average Positivity Rate
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State
7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State
7-day average Positivity Rate
Posted on 10/21/20 at 9:13 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State
7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State
7-day average Positivity Rate
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State
7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State
7-day average Positivity Rate
Posted on 10/22/20 at 9:48 am to Chromdome35
Any reason in particular that deaths seem to be ticking back up?
Posted on 10/22/20 at 9:55 am to Eat Your Crow
I guess it is because more deaths are being reported as COVID?
There is a pretty clear pattern between cases and deaths. Cases started rising back in September, now a month later deaths are on the upswing again.
The good news would be that the further we get into this, the less reaction we're seeing from the death curve compared to the case curve. Easily explained by most of the early deaths were from elderly. Now that the spread is mainly general population people are catching the disease, but they aren't dying from it.
There is a pretty clear pattern between cases and deaths. Cases started rising back in September, now a month later deaths are on the upswing again.
The good news would be that the further we get into this, the less reaction we're seeing from the death curve compared to the case curve. Easily explained by most of the early deaths were from elderly. Now that the spread is mainly general population people are catching the disease, but they aren't dying from it.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 10:02 am to Chromdome35
Without going into state by state data, just looking at your graphs, couple of questions...
1. Is this really a second wave or is it some of the northern states just now having their first wave?
2. Are states still doing retroactive death data dumps, and if so could that account for the slight uptick?
1. Is this really a second wave or is it some of the northern states just now having their first wave?
2. Are states still doing retroactive death data dumps, and if so could that account for the slight uptick?
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:21 am to Eat Your Crow
quote:
Any reason in particular that deaths seem to be ticking back up?
Because it’s made up numbers.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:48 am to FlySaint
You've got some of both. Upper midwest/great plains/big sky areas are getting their first big spikes (e.g. Wisconsin who was keeping it to <1K cases/day until the beginning of September has had >4K/day for the past couple of days) while other that were hit early like Pennsylvania are getting a second rise.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:49 am to TigerDoc
quote:And also, for states like PA that were hit hard in spring, it is a different area seeing a big spike now. spring it was mainly philly and surrounding areas.
while other that were hit early like Pennsylvania are getting a second rise.
Now it is the rural interior.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:52 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
I haven't seen anybody sleuth out how much of it is purely related to time indoors. The summer spikes in the sunbelt may have been people staying for the A/C and now less outdoor time for people in northern climes.
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 11:55 am
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:17 pm to the808bass
quote:
Because it’s made up numbers.
Well yeah, but I'm assuming a lot of the numbers have been made up this entire time. I guess it is right before the election, so a spike in deaths would be convenient.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 1:34 pm to Eat Your Crow
quote:
Well yeah, but I'm assuming a lot of the numbers have been made up this entire time. I guess it is right before the election, so a spike in deaths would be convenient.
Going into October they had more than 30,000 "COVID deaths" to be harvested for reporting leading up to the election. A rise in this totally fabricated number a week before the election is no surprise.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:36 pm to David_DJS
Posted on 10/22/20 at 3:28 pm to David_DJS
quote:
Going into October they had more than 30,000 "COVID deaths" to be harvested for reporting leading up to the election. A rise in this totally fabricated number a week before the election is no surprise.
Can you provide a link for this number or that deaths are being held back for election purposes?
Posted on 10/22/20 at 4:58 pm to B4YOU
quote:
Can you provide a link for this number or that deaths are being held back for election purposes?
He's referring to the number of "excess deaths" above historical average that have not been included as COVID deaths yet.
Not going into the deaths being held back for election purposes. These data departments are swamped everywhere. Even Florida is still reporting deaths from 2-3 months ago (about 1/3 of their daily deaths are more than 6 weeks old).
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