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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 5/4/20 at 9:52 pm to
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 5/4/20 at 9:52 pm to
This is the link to the US state-level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/











Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96136 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 7:50 am to
This weekly pattern is getting fairly predictable, now. Peaks mid-late in the week, dips sharply over the weekend and now through Tuesday (Tuesday used to be the spike day), then repeat.

But, still feels like a lot of downward pressure on the curve. Under 25k new cases today would be fantastic as would under 27.5k tomorrow and it wouldn't hurt my feelings if deaths dropped off more quickly than expected.

Sadly, 70k total deaths will be reached today and it isn't out of the realm of possibility to be at 80k by the end of next weekend, although it does not seem certain now with the sustained drop in daily deaths.

Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 8:44 am to
It looks like we may have one of those deceptive death total days, if these are added today at least if/until the dates can be correctly attributed.
quote:

AP: New York state reports more than 1,700 previously undisclosed deaths at nursing homes and adult care facilities
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 8:56 am to
Why is it primarily New York "finding" these deaths? Has any other state been doing this like that?
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129624 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 8:58 am to
quote:

New York state reports more than 1,700 previously undisclosed deaths at nursing homes and adult care facilities


You get the feeling that there’s a strong correlation between a dysfunctional state/local government and mortality in these situations.

How do you miss 1700 deaths?
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 9:06 am to
quote:

You get the feeling that there’s a strong correlation between a dysfunctional state/local government and mortality in these situations.
Maybe, but this same issue has happened in multiple countries and jurisdictions.

Don’t get me wrong government is inherently dysfunctional by nature, but I’m willing to give them the benefit of the doubt in this instance since it’s such a unique situation record keeping in real time of mass deaths in these facilities is probably not something anyone prepared for.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
99379 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 9:08 am to
quote:

of mass deaths in these facilities


Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129624 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 9:38 am to
quote:

but I’m willing to give them the benefit of the doubt in this instance since it’s such a unique situation record keeping in real time of mass deaths in these facilities is probably not something anyone prepared for.


Yeah, but.

These are reportable. If the average nursing home outbreak claims 10 lives (I’m spitballing based on anecdotes), you have 170 facilities which were overlooked.

Or the record keeping is so shoddy that it’s impossible to trust their numbers positively or negatively.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 9:45 am to
You’re probably right. I was just thinking that there were delays in verification and reporting to the state with different protocols for reporting as was the case in some European countries (France) who mass submitted the deaths at one time.
Posted by Volsfan82169
Spring Hill, TN
Member since Aug 2016
3979 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 10:01 am to
We were under 1000 deaths until late evening, then Michigan came in. Then what looked like a data dump from Veterans Affairs of another 184 put it over 1300.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129624 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 10:12 am to
quote:

Then what looked like a data dump from Veterans Affairs of another 184 put it over 1300.


So weird. I wouldn’t be surprised if we find a portion of these mortalities are double counts.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

So weird. I wouldn’t be surprised if we find a portion of these mortalities are double counts.
Considering the ages of the individuals in that data, their CFR of 7.5% seems pretty consistent with expectations EVEN IF their case totals are closer to the actual infection totals (e.g., not undercounting like the rest of the population). Regardless, I would hope that if they dumped a bunch of data on one day, that they actually ensured that the data was accurate, but you never know.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 2:24 pm to
Accurate Data, there is a nice concept.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 2:40 pm to
This is the link to the US state-level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/











Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11949 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 4:41 pm to
Came across this nice graph to show that our national plateau really continues to be made up of falling rates in NYC metro area and rising rates elsewhere.

Posted by Jinglebob
Member since Jan 2020
948 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 5:54 pm to
Would be nice to see that broken down by state/county.

I suspect just like NY inflated all of our numbers for March-April that a handful of hotspots are inflating that second graph.

Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129624 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 6:10 pm to
quote:

rising rates elsewhere.


Like where?
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129624 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 6:11 pm to
quote:

I suspect just like NY inflated all of our numbers for March-April that a handful of hotspots are inflating that second graph.


Testing is driving the increases IMO.
Posted by cahoots
Member since Jan 2009
9134 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 7:15 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/5/20 at 8:18 pm
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
74629 posts
Posted on 5/5/20 at 7:32 pm to
Cahoots, Tuesdays are always big death days
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