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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 5/4/20 at 9:52 pm to Chromdome35
Posted on 5/4/20 at 9:52 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the US state-level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
Posted on 5/5/20 at 7:50 am to Chromdome35
This weekly pattern is getting fairly predictable, now. Peaks mid-late in the week, dips sharply over the weekend and now through Tuesday (Tuesday used to be the spike day), then repeat.
But, still feels like a lot of downward pressure on the curve. Under 25k new cases today would be fantastic as would under 27.5k tomorrow and it wouldn't hurt my feelings if deaths dropped off more quickly than expected.
Sadly, 70k total deaths will be reached today and it isn't out of the realm of possibility to be at 80k by the end of next weekend, although it does not seem certain now with the sustained drop in daily deaths.
But, still feels like a lot of downward pressure on the curve. Under 25k new cases today would be fantastic as would under 27.5k tomorrow and it wouldn't hurt my feelings if deaths dropped off more quickly than expected.
Sadly, 70k total deaths will be reached today and it isn't out of the realm of possibility to be at 80k by the end of next weekend, although it does not seem certain now with the sustained drop in daily deaths.
Posted on 5/5/20 at 8:44 am to Ace Midnight
It looks like we may have one of those deceptive death total days, if these are added today at least if/until the dates can be correctly attributed.
quote:
AP: New York state reports more than 1,700 previously undisclosed deaths at nursing homes and adult care facilities
Posted on 5/5/20 at 8:56 am to buckeye_vol
Why is it primarily New York "finding" these deaths? Has any other state been doing this like that?
Posted on 5/5/20 at 8:58 am to buckeye_vol
quote:
New York state reports more than 1,700 previously undisclosed deaths at nursing homes and adult care facilities
You get the feeling that there’s a strong correlation between a dysfunctional state/local government and mortality in these situations.
How do you miss 1700 deaths?
Posted on 5/5/20 at 9:06 am to the808bass
quote:Maybe, but this same issue has happened in multiple countries and jurisdictions.
You get the feeling that there’s a strong correlation between a dysfunctional state/local government and mortality in these situations.
Don’t get me wrong government is inherently dysfunctional by nature, but I’m willing to give them the benefit of the doubt in this instance since it’s such a unique situation record keeping in real time of mass deaths in these facilities is probably not something anyone prepared for.
Posted on 5/5/20 at 9:08 am to buckeye_vol
quote:
of mass deaths in these facilities
Posted on 5/5/20 at 9:38 am to buckeye_vol
quote:
but I’m willing to give them the benefit of the doubt in this instance since it’s such a unique situation record keeping in real time of mass deaths in these facilities is probably not something anyone prepared for.
Yeah, but.
These are reportable. If the average nursing home outbreak claims 10 lives (I’m spitballing based on anecdotes), you have 170 facilities which were overlooked.
Or the record keeping is so shoddy that it’s impossible to trust their numbers positively or negatively.
Posted on 5/5/20 at 9:45 am to the808bass
You’re probably right. I was just thinking that there were delays in verification and reporting to the state with different protocols for reporting as was the case in some European countries (France) who mass submitted the deaths at one time.
Posted on 5/5/20 at 10:01 am to buckeye_vol
We were under 1000 deaths until late evening, then Michigan came in. Then what looked like a data dump from Veterans Affairs of another 184 put it over 1300.
Posted on 5/5/20 at 10:12 am to Volsfan82169
quote:
Then what looked like a data dump from Veterans Affairs of another 184 put it over 1300.
So weird. I wouldn’t be surprised if we find a portion of these mortalities are double counts.
Posted on 5/5/20 at 1:49 pm to the808bass
quote:Considering the ages of the individuals in that data, their CFR of 7.5% seems pretty consistent with expectations EVEN IF their case totals are closer to the actual infection totals (e.g., not undercounting like the rest of the population). Regardless, I would hope that if they dumped a bunch of data on one day, that they actually ensured that the data was accurate, but you never know.
So weird. I wouldn’t be surprised if we find a portion of these mortalities are double counts.
Posted on 5/5/20 at 2:24 pm to buckeye_vol
Accurate Data, there is a nice concept.
Posted on 5/5/20 at 2:40 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the US state-level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
Posted on 5/5/20 at 4:41 pm to Chromdome35
Came across this nice graph to show that our national plateau really continues to be made up of falling rates in NYC metro area and rising rates elsewhere.

Posted on 5/5/20 at 5:54 pm to TigerDoc
Would be nice to see that broken down by state/county.
I suspect just like NY inflated all of our numbers for March-April that a handful of hotspots are inflating that second graph.
I suspect just like NY inflated all of our numbers for March-April that a handful of hotspots are inflating that second graph.
Posted on 5/5/20 at 6:10 pm to TigerDoc
quote:
rising rates elsewhere.
Like where?
Posted on 5/5/20 at 6:11 pm to Jinglebob
quote:
I suspect just like NY inflated all of our numbers for March-April that a handful of hotspots are inflating that second graph.
Testing is driving the increases IMO.
Posted on 5/5/20 at 7:15 pm to the808bass
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/5/20 at 8:18 pm
Posted on 5/5/20 at 7:32 pm to cahoots
Cahoots, Tuesdays are always big death days
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