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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 4/20/20 at 9:38 am to
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 9:38 am to
quote:

The sad truth is pandora is out of her box. The China virus got over here and now we suffer.

There is very little you can do on an individual level to mitigate death and almost nothing that can be done on a macro level to mitigate death without putting the country back 50 years.

The best you can do is protect you and yours and try your best to alleviate suffering of those around you.


Another death last night so we're up to 2, sadly.

I think I still think we just need to let this do what it's gonna do and open things back up. I'm a little more rational at the moment.

How the hell do you get rid of this? I'm assuming asymptomatic employees/xray tech/lab tech brought it in which is why a rapid test for facilities like this (or any medical facility) would be a God send -- get there 15 min before your shift and get tested. EVERY DAY until this subsides.
Posted by seawolf06
NH
Member since Oct 2007
8159 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:03 am to
Any possibility to add North Carolina to your state tracker?
Posted by bfniii
Member since Nov 2005
17840 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:29 am to
quote:

I was in the "don't overwhelm the medical system" crowd. OK I can stay in for a couple of weeks. Then I was in the "let me out .. let it run it's course .. you can't outrun a virus .. the system isn't overwhelmed". And now idk where the f I stand
unfortunately, the environment you're in is seeing the worst of the worst. i know that doesn't help you but, it's the biggest challenge because as you said, they are the most at risk and are sequestered together by necessity.

the hope was that we could isolated enough so that there could be a treatment developed for these most at risk people. that seems to be happening rapidly. i just hope we can get that out to the residents asap.
Posted by auisssa
Member since Feb 2010
4741 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 11:41 am to
quote:

get there 15 min before your shift and get tested. EVERY DAY until this subsides.


The would certainly help, but even the best antibody tests will be negative for the 1st couple of days.

And even though the FDA deserves historical hate for their approval timelines, this rush to get kits out without FDA oversight is going to lead to many unreliable tests. Typical antibody false-positive and false-negative rates are 1% or less. I don't know the rates of these tests, but I'm certain they wont meet that standard.

And I agree with others in the thread, take care of you and yours and keep loving and helping your patients. I know its hard to see, especially with people dying around you, but we're winning vs this virus now.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

The would certainly help, but even the best antibody tests will be negative for the 1st couple of days.
Well you probably wouldn’t be using antibody tests to identify those who are currently infected anyways.
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
37391 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

How the hell do you get rid of this? I'm assuming asymptomatic employees/xray tech/lab tech brought it in which is why a rapid test for facilities like this (or any medical facility) would be a God send -- get there 15 min before your shift and get tested. EVERY DAY until this subsides.

And that is the failure we are paying for with a poor ramp up in testing. We are still at least a week (likely 2-3) away from getting tests for people on the front lines.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

Well you probably wouldn’t be using antibody tests to identify those who are currently infected anyways.


Yeah I'm talking about that rapid test that the WH task force was touting. I'm working at home and keeping up via EMR -- it's breaking my heart for our staff and the residents/their families and it's breaking my heart to not be able to interact with any of the residents. Our staff have now started testing positive as well.
Posted by auisssa
Member since Feb 2010
4741 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 12:40 pm to
Sorry, that was the point I was trying to make. The rush to have serology antibody screening in order to determine who has the disease is faulty logic. But a lot of people are proposing using that approach. (not saying tiger91 was saying that. just that i've seen quite a few people saying that).



Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 1:27 pm to
I will look at it and see, the biggest challenge is finding historical data like where was it 2 weeks ago.

Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 1:44 pm to
Yeah I just think for the here and now medical places need the rapid result test -- if you're positive go home, if not go to work. Maybe it would help to stop bringing this crap in.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:00 pm to
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

4/18/20 UPDATE: I am changing these updates to show the data for the US without NY State numbers included. The information and graphs presented in my updates going forward will all be from the perspective of omitting NY State results. All of the original data is still present on the tracker linked above









Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129624 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 2:33 pm to
Missouri:

New cases: 140 (up to 5,807)
New deaths: 1 (up to 177)

24 hour change in Covid Hospitalizations: -105
Currently hospitalized: 873 (including 347 who are awaiting test results).
Posted by NoHoTiger
So many to kill, so little time
Member since Nov 2006
46202 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 4:55 pm to
quote:

the808bass

How is your friend doing? Is he fully recovered?
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
67429 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 4:55 pm to
Glad to see the change to removing New York. They need to be in their own category.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129624 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 5:10 pm to
He is. His wife had a brief bout with the Rona. Also fully recovered. Their friend is still being weaned off a vent, now has a trach, but his kidneys and lungs are regaining function. So still a lot of hope.
Posted by NoHoTiger
So many to kill, so little time
Member since Nov 2006
46202 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 5:12 pm to
quote:

Their friend is still being weaned off a vent, now has a trach,

glad to see this as well. I keep praying for him, too.

So glad to see his kidney and lung functions are improving.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129624 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 5:45 pm to
Thanks. I’m sure he’s grateful for the prayers.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 5:48 pm to
I added a new tab to the tracker that contains comparison graphs between NY and the rest of the nation for

Total tests, Daily Tests, Total Deaths, Daily Deaths, Total Tests, Daily Tests. These are few of the graphs on the tab.



Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 8:26 pm to
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

4/18/20 UPDATE: I am changing these updates to show the data for the US without NY State numbers included. The information and graphs presented in my updates going forward will all be from the perspective of omitting NY State results. All of the original data is still present on the tracker linked above









Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/20/20 at 8:37 pm to
The number of new cases rose to 23K today from yesterday's 19.6K. Deaths were 1,308 today vs yesterdays 934. I suspect the majority of this is reporting lag from the weekend. Typically Tuesday is when we see the real spike in deaths.

The observed mortality rate is up to 4.36% and climbing. When NY is included in the numbers, the mortality rate is at 5.36%.

Total testing (including NY) was at 137K today, down 30K from yesterday's 167K. It's also a reappearance of the 137K number.

The cumulative % positive rate is at 15.6%, with NY included this becomes 19.3%.

NY's positive rate over the last 7 days has been 33.75% vs the rest of the US at a 7 day average 15.53%.

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