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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 4/18/20 at 5:25 am to uppermidwestbama
Posted on 4/18/20 at 5:25 am to uppermidwestbama
quote:
It's not a bad thing as long as the ICU numbers continue to drop
Or holds steady... means people are fighting it off on their own and no reason to shut things down again.
Of course people are going to continue to get it and it will be that way for a while. That’s the issue with flattening the curve, you just draw shite out longer
Risk vs reward
We open the economy and start getting back to normal and surviving, the result some more people get sick, of which, some more die... a risk worth taking.
1
Posted on 4/18/20 at 7:56 am to uppermidwestbama
Or maybe it has been present and we were unawares. Positive does not equal newness.
Herein lies the boogie man which taints data as well as intervention strategies. We are drawing opinions and not empirically based outcomes.
Herein lies the boogie man which taints data as well as intervention strategies. We are drawing opinions and not empirically based outcomes.
This post was edited on 4/18/20 at 8:00 am
Posted on 4/18/20 at 9:30 am to Lsut81
Update form nursing home where I work: 15 positives of 77 residents. So 19.5% infection rate. Still a few pending swabs.
One was sent to the hospital after being noncompliant with oxygen and sats dropping to the 80s and below and another was tested in our facility but sent to the hospital before testing came back (not exactly what happened for them to ship him out). I'm really worried about 4 of them dying -- 3 of those were NOT sick enough prior to this to make me think that they'd die from their long standing diagnoses any time soon.
A couple fortunately have been made DNR and a couple the family has opted for Hospice.
One was sent to the hospital after being noncompliant with oxygen and sats dropping to the 80s and below and another was tested in our facility but sent to the hospital before testing came back (not exactly what happened for them to ship him out). I'm really worried about 4 of them dying -- 3 of those were NOT sick enough prior to this to make me think that they'd die from their long standing diagnoses any time soon.
A couple fortunately have been made DNR and a couple the family has opted for Hospice.
Posted on 4/18/20 at 10:15 am to tiger91
Saw this today:
LINK
Sunlight destroys virus quickly, new govt. tests find, but experts say pandemic could last through summer
Preliminary results from government lab experiments show that the coronavirus does not survive long in high temperatures and high humidity, and is quickly destroyed by sunlight, providing evidence from controlled tests of what scientists believed — but had not yet proved — to be true.
LINK
Sunlight destroys virus quickly, new govt. tests find, but experts say pandemic could last through summer
Preliminary results from government lab experiments show that the coronavirus does not survive long in high temperatures and high humidity, and is quickly destroyed by sunlight, providing evidence from controlled tests of what scientists believed — but had not yet proved — to be true.
Posted on 4/18/20 at 10:17 am to Chromdome35
April 1, just over 5,000 deaths recorded.
April 17 it’s over 37,000 deaths now.
This isn’t just a bad flu outbreak.
April 17 it’s over 37,000 deaths now.
This isn’t just a bad flu outbreak.
Posted on 4/18/20 at 10:23 am to dafif
quote:
Saw this today:
LINK
Sunlight destroys virus quickly, new govt. tests find, but experts say pandemic could last through summer
Preliminary results from government lab experiments show that the coronavirus does not survive long in high temperatures and high humidity, and is quickly destroyed by sunlight, providing evidence from controlled tests of what scientists believed — but had not yet proved — to be true.
I seriously saw/read/heard this 5-6 weeks ago .. I remember thinking "come on Louisiana humidity". I wish our resident population at the facility had an open area for sunlight .. there are patios but they're covered and the fresh air is nice but currently NO one is supposed to be even leaving their room.
Posted on 4/18/20 at 10:49 am to Chromdome35
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.
This curves on this graph will change throughout the day
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.
This curves on this graph will change throughout the day
This post was edited on 4/18/20 at 10:51 am
Posted on 4/18/20 at 3:50 pm to doubleb
quote:
April 1, just over 5,000 deaths recorded. April 17 it’s over 37,000 deaths now. This isn’t just a bad flu outbreak.
If you frame it that way yeah, but that's being bias. What if I told you 37,000 deaths over 4 months is only 9,250 deaths per month. Guess what more than 100,000 people died of flu in 2017!
Posted on 4/18/20 at 4:18 pm to SevenLinesofPine
quote:What if I told you the first death was on 02/29, which is 50 days of deaths, equivalent to 776 deaths per day and over 23,000 deaths per month (and rising)?
If you frame it that way yeah, but that's being bias. What if I told you 37,000 deaths over 4 months is only 9,250 deaths per month.
quote:False 2017-2018 was one of the worst flu seasons in a long time, and after the revised estimates (often 3 to 4 times higher than the confirmed fatalities) the total deaths were 61,000 and that’s over an entire flu season (8 to 10 months) not 2 months. And that was the result of 4 different strains of flu (2 type A and 2 type B).
Guess what more than 100,000 people died of flu in 2017!
Posted on 4/18/20 at 4:29 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
and that’s over an entire flu season (8 to 10 months) not 2 months
2 months??
Hasn't this crap has been around since late fall?
quote:
and after the revised estimates (often 3 to 4 times higher than the confirmed fatalities)
What do you guess the revised number for Sino Sinus Syphilis will be....3-4 times lower?
Posted on 4/18/20 at 4:31 pm to SevenLinesofPine
Here is the annual flu data straight from the CDC's website.
On the right is how a 3-month Covid outbreak compares to each of those years.
On the right is how a 3-month Covid outbreak compares to each of those years.
Posted on 4/18/20 at 4:35 pm to Dale51
quote:1.5 to 2 times higher. Far lower than H1N1’s revision but the excess mortality estimates indicate we’re missing a lot of deaths all over the world including the US. The global revisions will probably be more like 10 times though, maybe more given that they’re basically lacking all testing capabilities in many nations.
What do you guess the revised number for Sino Sinus Syphilis will be....3-4 times lower?
This post was edited on 4/18/20 at 4:36 pm
Posted on 4/18/20 at 4:42 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
1.5 to 2 times higher.
Is that factoring in the odd practice of designating many people dying with 'Rona as dying of 'Rona, or nah?
Posted on 4/18/20 at 5:18 pm to Dale51
Isn’t it weird how people with COPD die from pneumonia? Crazy wild stuff.
It’s like they’re related.
Posted on 4/18/20 at 5:42 pm to the808bass
quote:
Isn’t it weird how people with COPD die from pneumonia? Crazy wild stuff.
It’s like they’re related.
Yeah. Just as weird as people with heart problems dying from the 'rona.
It's like they're related.
Posted on 4/18/20 at 5:47 pm to SevenLinesofPine
quote:
If you frame it that way yeah, but that's being bias. What if I told you 37,000 deaths over 4 months is only 9,250 deaths per month. Guess what more than 100,000 people died of flu in 2017!
Feb. 29 was the first COVID-19 death in the US so you could say the epidemic started two weeks before then. Mid Feb. to now is about 9 weeks but in the past three weeks about 85% of the deaths have occurred.
Does the flu have such a severe impact in such a short time(3 weeks)? I don’t think so.
If wrong let me know.
This post was edited on 4/18/20 at 6:21 pm
Posted on 4/18/20 at 5:52 pm to doubleb
quote:
Does the flu have such a severe impact in such a short time(3 months)?
How many months make up the average flu season?
Posted on 4/18/20 at 5:55 pm to Dale51
quote:8ish and H1N1 was a year since it started in April.
How many months make up the average flu season?
Posted on 4/18/20 at 5:55 pm to Dale51
quote:
Yeah. Just as weird as people with heart problems dying from the 'rona.
Are you under some sort of impression that Covid doesn’t affect the heart?
Posted on 4/18/20 at 5:55 pm to Dale51
12 according to the CDC
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