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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 4/8/20 at 8:45 am to
Posted by baybeefeetz
Member since Sep 2009
32955 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 8:45 am to
Big day today. LET’S GOOOOO
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129629 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 8:56 am to
From your lips...

Let’s see this national fever break.
Feeling good. It’s hump day.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:03 am to
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker

On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.

NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.









Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
16025 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:22 am to
35, great thread as always, thank you.

Are these graphs for or agin' us?

tia
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 10:20 am to
Chrome. Maybe you’re aware of it, but I found another site that provides useful data, visualizations, and metrics that can be selected and changed quite quickly.

Thought you might find some value for your data aggregation and/or might wanted to add it to the resources in your posts.

For example, it provides cases,
fatalities, fatality rate, and recoveries for each state AND county within each state.

Coronavirus.1point3acres
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 10:22 am
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 12:01 pm to
Louisiana looking good -- hospitalizations down by 13, vents down by 29, deaths 70 (same as yesterdays number), cases up 746
Posted by cusoonkpd
Big Mamou
Member since Apr 2015
1975 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 12:03 pm to
Encouraging numbers from Louisiana today.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 12:10 pm to
YES and our Governor will still make this stay at home thing until forever
Posted by LSUFootballLover
BR
Member since Oct 2008
4684 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 1:32 pm to
We need business leaders to put pressure on him to open things up as soon as guidance from the Feds allows us to
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 1:40 pm to
The graphs are neither for us or against us, they are just a reflection of the numbers.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 1:40 pm to
Thank Buckeye, I will check this site out!
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

hospitalizations down by 13,
quote:

vents down by 29
quote:

deaths 70
Could the first two be because of the third stat??
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129629 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:11 pm to
Of course. But they’re not being replaced by new hospitalizations.
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:21 pm to
New York's death count per day still rising, it seems.
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
74630 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:25 pm to
New York is likely at its peak or within 1-2 days of it
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96151 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

New York's death count per day still rising, it seems.


I get folks are dropping in and out of the topic, but it is well understood (and expected) that deaths will lag the "curve" (new cases). Deaths being reported today (presumably from the past 24, 48 hours) are the result of a new case being identified typically 10 to 15 days ago.

What we want to see (and appear to be seeing, cautiously and optimistically) is a levelling out and then decrease of new cases. Deaths may continue to rise for several days once that happens, but that's how we get out of it - fewer and fewer new cases until the whole thing drops into the background.
Posted by baybeefeetz
Member since Sep 2009
32955 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:27 pm to
are we allowing ourselves to view any results (re deaths or new cases) as a positive here? Because seems like last few days have been good in terms of new cases USA wide.

NY and NJ are just a shite show in general. Rest of USA looking good.
Posted by CajunTiger92
Member since Dec 2007
2869 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

Could the first two be because of the third stat??


The third stat has been there all along. What's important is the direction we are going in and today is the first day since this thing got started that hospitalizations are lower than the day before. This is consistent with the downward trend in hospitalizations that was identified a few days ago. This continues to be very good news.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:54 pm to
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker

On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.

NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.









Posted by LSU2ALA
Member since Jul 2018
2073 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:02 pm to
Where can you find out how many tests are being run daily? I’ve seen some numbers bandied about, but I’d like something that shows official test processed in the US each day. I’m just worried if the number of processed tests is not increasing then we really cannot make any assumptions about being near a peak with regards to the growth rate of positive tests.
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