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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 3/17/20 at 7:10 pm to the808bass
Posted on 3/17/20 at 7:10 pm to the808bass
They’re cleaning out recovered cases. So even with the rise of deaths today, recovered cases is trending higher as well.
106 recovered
109 deaths as of 6:10 PM
106 recovered
109 deaths as of 6:10 PM
1
Posted on 3/17/20 at 7:18 pm to the808bass
I'm starting to question all of the hype. China is going back to work, so we are being told. Factories running, stores opening up.
What keeps them from starting the spread again? What are they doing different to keep the decreasing trend?
What keeps them from starting the spread again? What are they doing different to keep the decreasing trend?
Posted on 3/17/20 at 7:21 pm to wt9
That's my concern. Somebody showed a shifting/flashing curve scenario yesterday with serious short term mitigation, and that just ended up with a spike in cases later on down the line. I came away thinking we either shut things down for months and completely destroy our economy or just deal with the most extreme health concerns later in the summer after we go back to normal.
Posted on 3/17/20 at 7:44 pm to frogglet
quote:that response wasn't to you. it was to ib. second, that number is out of context. third, at the beginning of h1n1, the daily growth rate % was not going DOWN. it was going UP, steeply.
25% is literally the curve that you asked me to compare to h1n1
quote:nothing in that info contradicts the current public fear, echoed by experts, that this virus is highly contagious despite carriers being asymptomatic. numerous online articles state that. it remains to be seen if they are right because the spread depends on social factors as well which are highly fluid
LINK
quote:again, this is not the case according to numerous articles. i happen to agree with you, sort of, that as of now, the virus does not appear to be as bad as advertised.
The point there is that even if it is theoretically contagious, it is much, much less so. So it will absolutely behave the way I described, slowing down the spread.
Posted on 3/17/20 at 7:47 pm to Bunk Moreland
quote:this is the sort of projections i am having trouble reconciling with the current data
Somebody showed a shifting/flashing curve scenario yesterday with serious short term mitigation, and that just ended up with a spike in cases later on down the line
quote:this is what we have done for every outbreak over the last 30 years. i am fascinated as to why this one is so drastically different
just deal with the most extreme health concerns later in the summer after we go back to normal.
Posted on 3/17/20 at 7:51 pm to the808bass
quote:
They’re cleaning out recovered cases. So even with the rise of deaths today, recovered cases is trending higher as well.
106 recovered
109 deaths as of 6:10 PM
50 of those deaths are in Washington state alone, with most of those 50 from the same nursing home.
This thing hasn't done shite in the rest of america at current.
Posted on 3/17/20 at 8:49 pm to Eat Your Crow
bump
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:09 pm to Chromdome35
Updated numbers for 3/17 as of 9pm CST.
This will most likely be my last update of the day.
This will most likely be my last update of the day.
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:30 pm to Chromdome35
Cases going up, mortality rate going down. That’s good
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:45 pm to Chromdome35
That growth rate of cases needs to slow.
If it holds we will total cases in the millions in 3-4 weeks.
If it holds we will total cases in the millions in 3-4 weeks.
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:47 pm to Jack Daniel
quote:This is what usually happens. Many people have it don't even know it because 80% are mild, so they are not counted, if they were then the death rate would be even lower. The more people get tested the lower the death rate will be.
Cases going up, mortality rate going down. That’s good
Posted on 3/17/20 at 9:57 pm to Chromdome35
They should just ditch that "Serious Cases"column.
2 serious cases yesterday and zero serious cases today but 20 deaths?
I would say there were at least 20 serious cases.
2 serious cases yesterday and zero serious cases today but 20 deaths?
I would say there were at least 20 serious cases.
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:09 pm to I B Freeman
Down voters do the math if you do not believe that the 6482 growing at 37.8%a day is not millions in three weeks.
This post was edited on 3/17/20 at 10:11 pm
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:16 pm to I B Freeman
quote:
Down voters do the math if you do not believe that the 6482 growing at 37.8%a day is not millions in three weeks.
We have kinda changed things up to expect the same growth rate for the next three weeks
Not to mention that the deaths and serious cases as a percentage of cases seems to be decreasing by the day.
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:28 pm to I B Freeman
quote:
Down voters do the math if you do not believe that the 6482 growing at 37.8%a day is not millions in three weeks.
Yes, it will grow... we're also testing more so it has to. At what point do we say, yes it's a contagious virus, but it isn't as deadly as we thought. We know a cold is highly contagious, but we don't worry about it. Will this reach that point?
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:38 pm to Chromdome35
Notice the mortality rate. The rate according to the graph is going down. This is bogus. The Death Rate is about the same. It is just that more people that aren't on deaths door are being diagnosed. The DR is almost unchanged.
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:40 pm to I B Freeman
Okay then. At that rate how many Americans will have the virus in a year?
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:47 pm to I B Freeman
quote:you're doing the same bullcrap in this thread you do in the tariff threads. my word you are a waste of time. what is wrong with you? why are you looking at that 1 number out of context and not comparing to other outbreaks? because you're a shortsighted simpleton
I B Freeman
disclaimer: i am not saying this virus won't end up being horrific. all i am saying is that right now, the actual numbers do not support the hysterical reaction, especially in historical context. not to mention that the rest of the world seems to be nearing the top of the curve at least in their own estimation
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:52 pm to omegaman66
quote:the hard numbers suggest otherwise
The Death Rate is about the same
quote:which brings down the mortality rate. i'm having trouble understanding your point. the vast majority of people infected will not die, at least that's what the numbers suggest at this time and every medical professional is saying. if that is the case, more testing will bring the mortality rate down, regardless of how close they are to death
It is just that more people that aren't on deaths door are being diagnosed.
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:53 pm to bfniii
quote:
quote:
It is just that more people that aren't on deaths door are being diagnosed.
which brings down the mortality rate.
i'm having trouble understanding your point. the vast majority of people infected will not die, at least that's what the numbers suggest at this time and every medical professional is saying. if that is the case, more testing will bring the mortality rate down, regardless of how close they are to death
Glad I’m not the only one confused there.
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