re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted by bfniii

Member since Nov 2005

17840 posts

Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:14 am to Chromdome35

Wow. Go look at singapore/sk (I don't trust chini). Very few deaths and they are reportedly returning to normal. I don't think Italy is vastly misreporting their numbers and they aren't even at 3k deaths. This is perplexing.

quote:
Over 800 new cases reported today and it's only 9am CST

which drops the mortality rate as expected

Posted by bfniii

Member since Nov 2005

17840 posts

Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:15 am to dsides

quote:
Would be nice if they would add a “# of patients in the hospital” so we can see if it’s flooding the system which is what we were told this shutdown was set up to avoid

Well now the goalposts have shifted from people in the hospital to people in ICU beds according to the link that was posted itt

Posted by Chromdome35

Fast lane, behind a slow driver

Member since Nov 2010

8168 posts

Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:21 am to Chromdome35

NOTE: Updated as of 11:15 AM CST, I will update as the day progresses.

NOTE: THESE NUMBERS WILL KEEP INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SPECIFICALLY, THE DAILY GROWTH RATE WILL BE INCORRECT UNTIL THE END OF THE DAY.

Posted by tiger91

In my own little world

Member since Nov 2005

40230 posts

Posted on 3/18/20 at 1:47 pm to bfniii

quote:
Well now the goalposts have shifted from people in the hospital to people in ICU beds according to the link that was posted itt

Any chance you know where I can find that link?

Posted by imjustafatkid

Alabama

Member since Dec 2011

65824 posts

Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:08 pm to tiger91

quote:
Any chance you know where I can find that link?

It's linked about midway down on the previous page of this thread by poster "BobBoucher."

Posted by imjustafatkid

Alabama

Member since Dec 2011

65824 posts

Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:08 pm to Chromdome35

I requested a sticky for this thread.

Posted by NYNolaguy1

Member since May 2011

21764 posts

Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:10 pm to imjustafatkid

Does anyone disagree we have been seeing a near constant exponential growth since March 1st?

Eta: total cases

March 2nd: 10 Cases
March 11th: 100 Cases
March 20th (projected): 10,000 cases

This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 2:38 pm

Posted by Cosmo

glassman's guest house

Member since Oct 2003

131566 posts

Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:13 pm to NYNolaguy1

quote:
Does anyone disagree we have been seeing a near constant exponential growth since March 1st?

Because there has been exponential growth in testing

3 ...

Posted by SlowFlowPro

With populists, expect populism

Member since Jan 2004

476703 posts

Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:17 pm to Cosmo

that morality rate doe

Posted by LSUBadger

Member since Jan 2014

2238 posts

Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:19 pm to SlowFlowPro

Keeps dropping and dropping

Before this is over it will just barely be higher than the flu.

Posted by imjustafatkid

Alabama

Member since Dec 2011

65824 posts

Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:19 pm to NYNolaguy1

quote:
Does anyone disagree we have been seeing a near constant exponential growth since March 1st?

I do. All we've actually seen is an increase in testing.

Posted by buckeye_vol

Member since Jul 2014

35381 posts

Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:19 pm to Cosmo

quote:
Because there has been exponential growth in testing

It’s starting to increase, but that is very recent, as in this week, but it’s just starting to roll out with a long ways to go.

I suspect we’ll be up to capacity in the next week or two, and with the combination of the growth of virus and the growth of testing, we’ll probably see a huge explosion in cases in the coming weeks.

Posted by NYNolaguy1

Member since May 2011

21764 posts

Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:25 pm to imjustafatkid

quote:
do. All we've actually seen is an increase in testing.

If thats true is there a reason the logarithmic graph shows a constant rate?

LINK

There should be a spike if that was the case, no?

This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 2:26 pm

Posted by buckeye_vol

Member since Jul 2014

35381 posts

Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:26 pm to LSUBadger

quote:
Before this is over it will just barely be higher than the flu.

South Korea has the most proactive and extensive testing and response plan of any country, which is believed to both limit the spread and the severity of the virus. So it’s data is likely a best case scenario, and its CFR is 0.6%, 6 times the CFR of the flu.

This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 2:27 pm