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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 4/2/20 at 3:53 pm to
Posted by NoHoTiger
So many to kill, so little time
Member since Nov 2006
46202 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

He’s going home.

Hooray!! So glad to hear this. Tell him all of the PT has been cheering for him.
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
13518 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

What's with Florida's huge jump? New York transfers?

I'll correct my own post. Worldmeter was showing 207 deaths at the time I wrote the above...now it's back to 27 deaths. Not so big a spike as i originally thought.
Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
25261 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 4:18 pm to
Gotcha. Quality of the big two or three huge reference labs has gone down the last 5 years. Working in a lab that sends numerous samples to them, I can tell you it is next to impossible to deal with them. They know they have you by the testicles and really do not care. They will hang up and let you start the call and wait process over a dozen times without a second thought. I've been told at least a dozen times "the specimen was lost, or not correct, or invalid" and then 2 days later get a result on that specimen.
Posted by Undertow
Member since Sep 2016
9255 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 4:23 pm to
What are the latest numbers for East Baton Rouge Parish?
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 4:50 pm to
go to LDH website ...scroll down and then there are tabs to check that out.

There's a "by parish" tab

eta looks like they're listed in order of # of cases from most to least
This post was edited on 4/2/20 at 4:52 pm
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
67437 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

I think it’s far more benign. My friend is discharging today after a couple weeks in the hospital. And he’s 20+ days post exposure. The hospital has better things to do than have him sit in a bed waiting for two negative tests. He’s going home.


That's great news, but it seems like you're basically saying he'll never be reported as recovered.

ETA: If that's true, then it confirms my belief that we're under-reporting recoveries.
This post was edited on 4/2/20 at 6:10 pm
Posted by Jrv2damac
KS
Member since Mar 2004
73514 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 6:19 pm to
I’m almost over the hangover from last night

Are we happy today




This post was edited on 4/2/20 at 6:20 pm
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 6:28 pm to
Not happy, but not upset. Will be happy if deaths don’t break 1k today
Posted by RTM4
Pflugerville
Member since Apr 2018
2446 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 6:46 pm to
I cannot upvote you enough.

Thank you for doing this.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 6:48 pm to
Birx was saying we are still climbing like Italy and Spain. Is she talking about new cases?
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 6:52 pm to
I'm "happier" in Louisiana with our numbers.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 6:54 pm to
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.

NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.









Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 6:54 pm to
781 deaths with only one more update tonight seems... pretty good?
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 6:56 pm to
The death numbers really seem to be fluctuating, I doubt we see another 540 deaths reported today which if that holds means we will see a decline in numbers and growth rate...that's good!

Cases look to be consistent and will probably exceed yesterday in number and growth.
This post was edited on 4/2/20 at 7:13 pm
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129629 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 7:02 pm to
quote:

That's great news, but it seems like you're basically saying he'll never be reported as recovered.


Probably. But not because of anything nefarious.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 7:09 pm to
But does that red logarithmic death curve "seem" to be flattening a little or heading there? Probably wishful thinking on my part.
Posted by auisssa
Member since Feb 2010
4741 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 7:30 pm to
Rhyme with Smalltex?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

I doubt we see another 540 deaths reported today
Huh?
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
67437 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 7:34 pm to
quote:

Probably. But not because of anything nefarious.


I realize that.

I feel like they should be reporting him as "recovered" if they feel comfortable enough to send him home.
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
67437 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

Huh?


Another 540 deaths today would be required to meet the projection for today.
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