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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:37 am to
Posted by Olive
Houston
Member since Jan 2006
194 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:37 am to
Can the y-axis on your logarithmic tables be adjusted to 1MM? Data starting to get cut off.

Again, great work man.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:40 am to
quote:

It looks like WoM updated their Sunday numbers, I've updated mine to mirror theirs.

I'm showing 24 new deaths today now.

Yesterday's deaths went up to 371.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:41 am to
Good catch, done. Thank you.
Posted by Vood
Member since Dec 2007
8620 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 10:55 am to
I was looking at the spreadsheet. It looks like WoM updated yesterdays after I saw the 116 on the spreadsheet.

Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96144 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 11:26 am to
quote:

For example, Lee county (Auburn) has over 50 cases and I heard over half of those are at the only real hospital for that region. Supposedly had uhaul trucks at the vet school to get their ventilators to bring over to the hospital


But, you get how much easier it is to surge capacity for a place like that, right? National guard or reserve medical company can set up a triage, ER and treatment facility for your non-COVID19 stuff in about a day, thus freeing up your hospital to be 100% Wuhan for two weeks or so.

That's out of the scope for the Tri-State area (or a place like Southern California, Dallas, Houston, Atlanta, etc.)
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 11:27 am to
Yes I do, I’m just saying a lack of spike in population centers is great for numbers but doesn’t exclude smaller areas from getting walloped.
This post was edited on 3/30/20 at 11:28 am
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96144 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 11:32 am to
quote:

but doesn’t exclude smaller areas from getting walloped.


Everyone is going to take at least a little hit.

Hopefully, the collective sacrifice will have ultimately been worth it.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129625 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 11:34 am to
Not good numbers out of Florida. Over 500 new cases today already.

I noticed recoveries for the first time in a while. Recoveries are easily outpacing deaths now.
4574 recoveries to 2613 deaths
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
67430 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 11:39 am to
quote:

I noticed recoveries for the first time in a while. Recoveries are easily outpacing deaths now.
4574 recoveries to 2613 deaths



I know this doesn't make me Nostradamus or anything, but I predict this trend will never reverse.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129625 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 11:41 am to
It would take a pretty big surge of deaths to do that. And as we are looking at slowing trends in New York, I think you’re correct.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 11:42 am to
I wish I knew how these were counted. The head doc in Louisiana at the pressers said flat out that they weren't tracking those that were self quaratining/treating at home. ???
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 11:51 am to
it won't reverse.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129625 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 11:56 am to
quote:

wish I knew how these were counted.


I would guess it’s hospital discharges of people who’ve recovered who are having to take tests to confirm that they’re ok to discharge.
Posted by uppermidwestbama
Member since Nov 2014
2097 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:01 pm to
Seems like a lot of the new cases and deaths are coming from NYC and not other large regions of the country. Since 9am yesterday morning there have been 112 deaths in NYC for Covid19.

Out of all of the hospitalized patients from Covid, in NYC, 90 percent had a health problem that already existed.

for the country as a whole, only 17 percent of all tests performed have been confirmed to have covid and those getting hospitalized are mostly people with other health issues.

The death rate for those that are healthy is incredibly low and seems like most recover. Those with heath issues are the vast majority that are being killed.

Survival of the fittest.

Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129625 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:08 pm to
I’ve been following this website just for fun. A few days ago it was predicting Missouri’s peak in late April and that we’d need 800+ vents and that we would be above available hospital bed capacity.

Today, they are predicting Missouri’s peak in May with 240-odd vents needed. And under our available hospital and ICU bed capacity.

LINK
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:10 pm to
I just saw that site yesterday and noticed most of the "peaks" are April 10th-20th which explains why Trump agreed to extend the social distancing stuff till the end of April
This post was edited on 3/30/20 at 12:15 pm
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
52492 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:26 pm to
Outstanding work to compile this. Sharing.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:27 pm to
New York is in and we're at ~8500. NJ, MI, PA, GA, MA are not yet.

New York definitely seems to be trending down but other places seem to be trending up for the time being.
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
27596 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:31 pm to
it doesn't appear that the daily deaths listed in the chart matches the daily deaths graph...I am seeing it wrong?
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
13518 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

I would guess it’s hospital discharges of people who’ve recovered who are having to take tests to confirm that they’re ok to discharge.

I know of at least one in Louisiana who tested positive, was admitted and was discharged prior to a negative test.
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