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re: CNN national poll: Biden +16

Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:31 am to
Posted by FreddieMac
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2010
24839 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:31 am to
They really think Biden is up by 16 points?
Posted by TigerCruise
Virginia Beach, VA
Member since Oct 2013
11898 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:32 am to
Does anyone know how these national polls actually work?

Do they call 20 people from each state?

How do they determine what area codes to call?

What stops them from polling 500 people from California?
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 8:33 am
Posted by stat19
Member since Feb 2011
29350 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:32 am to
quote:

I think what's happening is pollsters are having a hard time getting Trump-voting women to answer their polls.


Do you know anyone that been polled.

I've been asking on message boards, social media, even in grocery stores and I've yet to find a single person that ever been polled.
Posted by JJJimmyJimJames
Southern States
Member since May 2020
18496 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:35 am to
quote:

Does anyone know how these national polls actually work?

Do they call 20 people from each state?

How do they determine what area codes to call?

What stops them from polling 500 people from California?
The Quinipiac poll actually polls mostly college students from marxist colleges
Posted by RidiculousHype
The Hatch
Member since Sep 2007
10753 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:35 am to
quote:

Your example is a bit off but we’d need to sit down and talk polling and statistics.


I just used nice round easy to understand numbers to make the point.

I don’t think Trump-voting women are answering the pollsters.

How else to explain a 34-pt margin, which would nearly triple the highest in modern history?
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
46246 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:36 am to
ABC ramped up dem sampling by 5 points this week over last, then claimed Biden was “widening his lead”. They are going overboard to set up a contested election.

Bookmark this.
Posted by RidiculousHype
The Hatch
Member since Sep 2007
10753 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:36 am to
quote:

Do you know anyone that been polled.

Nope
Posted by oleheat
Sportsman's Paradise
Member since Mar 2007
14557 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:39 am to
Does anyone really believe these polls? They've been running a disinformation campaign since rump first announced he was seeking the office.

Now they're releasing a taped conversation with the First Lady trying to damage her character (another backfire).

Does this sound like the left feels like they have this already in the bag? Come on, folks.
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
56127 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:47 am to
quote:

Does anyone know how these national polls actually work?



They look at the number that there are 140 million registered voters in the U.S. Then they say let's pick 800 of those who might vote and make news breaking headlines of the results of those 800.

And Joe Biden wants us to believe the science behind the China virus?
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 9:02 am
Posted by MFn GIMP
Member since Feb 2011
22860 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:52 am to
This poll has 99% of Democrats voting for Biden. It's a bit absurd to think that he would get 99% of Democrats nationwide to vote for him.
Posted by Utopia
Member since Oct 2020
4 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:56 am to
quote:

Lol when you are up 16 you don’t behave the way Biden is.

If he was up 16 he would be in Texas and GA and other republican strong holds trying to draw trump out of swing states.
literally exactly what he's doing

Posted by Choctaw
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
77774 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:58 am to
You know they have to look at their own numbers and say "come on, guys. Really?"
Posted by TejasHorn
High Plains Driftin'
Member since Mar 2007
11587 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:01 am to
That 34 pt difference isn’t real for whatever reason. It may be polling error or a little shock reaction after the debate and Trump’s C19 which may cool off.

What should concern Trump is the trend of women in these polls.

Polling or sampling error tends to be consistent within each poll, at least. They use the same weighting and methodology time after time, flawed as it may be.
Posted by CAD703X
Liberty Island
Member since Jul 2008
91704 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:03 am to
quote:

CNN national poll: Biden +16
quote:

RidiculousHype

i'll allow it
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93908 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:03 am to
You think global warming caused the fires in NorCal


No one takes anything you says serious
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135731 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:04 am to
quote:

I think what's happening is pollsters are having a hard time getting Trump-voting women to answer their polls.
Partly yes. But CNN is all about suppression with this.
Posted by tigafan4life
Member since Dec 2006
50644 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:05 am to
34? Wow.
Posted by FLTech
Member since Sep 2017
25179 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:05 am to
frick it... I’m not voting
Posted by KingOrange
Mayfair
Member since Aug 2018
12811 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:05 am to
These are the set up Polls for ballot harvesting after Nov 3. They aren’t even hiding it anymore.
Posted by The Maj
Member since Sep 2016
30543 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:06 am to
quote:

They are just trying to do their part into talking Republicans to stay home and not vote. Doom and gloom


No they are not, they are building a narrative to call the election into question... When Trump wins, you will hear:

"no way the polls were that far off, there had to be fraud"
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