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CBS News/YouGov Poll Showing Close Presidential Race in Texas Oversampled Democrats
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:30 am
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:30 am
Liars. Creeps. Lying creeps. Creepy liars.
breitbart
quote:
A CBS News/YouGov poll released on Sunday that shows President Donald Trump leading Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden by just two points in Texas significantly oversampled Democrats.
Forty-eight percent of likely voters in Texas say they will vote for Trump, while 46 percent say they will vote for Biden, according to the poll.
Among the 1,140 likely voters identified as poll respondents, 417, or 36.6 percent, identified as Democrats; 410, or 35.9 percent, identified as Republicans; and 291, or 25.5 percent, identified as independents. The sample of likely voters was therefore basically Democrat +1.
The Cook Partisan Voter Index for the state of Texas, however, is Republican +8, which means the sample of 1,140 likely voters in the CBS/YouGov poll oversampled Democrats by a whopping nine percent.
breitbart
14
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:31 am to Frank Black
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:32 am to Frank Black
literally every poll ever
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:32 am to Frank Black
So 2016 all over again?
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:33 am to Frank Black
I could have told you that. Still, glad the Dems are wasting money here.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:35 am to Frank Black
quote:
The Cook Partisan Voter Index for the state of Texas, however, is Republican +8, which means the sample of 1,140 likely voters in the CBS/YouGov poll oversampled Democrats by a whopping nine percent.
That's not how that works. Lousiana is R+11 on the Cook index but there's way more registered Dems in Lousiana than Republicans.
The real answer is to go look at the 2016 data and see what the D/R/I split was.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:36 am to Frank Black
i live in a small south Texas town that is roughly 75-80% Hispanic and I can tell you that among the rural Hispanic populous Trump has about 75-80% support. It will not be close in Texas.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:36 am to Frank Black
Wonder why they all seem to be switching gears.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:45 am to xxTIMMYxx
Woopsie Daisy
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:48 am to The Boat
quote:
That's not how that works. Lousiana is R+11 on the Cook index but there's way more registered Dems in Lousiana than Republicans.
The real answer is to go look at the 2016 data and see what the D/R/I split was.
This
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:53 am to The Boat
quote:
That's not how that works. Lousiana is R+11 on the Cook index but there's way more registered Dems in Lousiana than Republicans.
The real answer is to go look at the 2016 data and see what the D/R/I split was.
Surprisingly it was 29D, 38R, and 33I so +9R. 2018 Texas Senate was 34D 38R, 27I. It's absurd to think that the electorate in Texas this year will be D+1.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:53 am to indianswim
quote:I gave yet to see a Biden sign anywhere. Ny community is dotted with Trump signs, though. I have four in the back of my SUV that I just picked up for my neighbors.
I could have told you that. Still, glad the Dems are wasting money here.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 12:00 pm to Mickey Goldmill
Mickey don't you dare this me
Posted on 9/23/20 at 12:01 pm to MFn GIMP
quote:
Surprisingly it was 29D, 38R, and 33I so +9R. 2018 Texas Senate was 34D 38R, 27I. It's absurd to think that the electorate in Texas this year will be D+1.
Do you have a link for that? I believe you I was just looking for it and I'd like to have that site for my own benefit.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 12:10 pm to The Boat
Texas doesn't require party affiliation to vote in a primary. So the only way to guess party affiliation is the Cook Index.
Posted on 9/23/20 at 12:13 pm to Quidam65
What does the primary have to do with the general election?
Posted on 9/23/20 at 12:17 pm to bird35
Posted on 9/23/20 at 12:47 pm to The Boat
quote:
Mickey don't you dare this me
Posted on 9/23/20 at 12:48 pm to Frank Black
Landslide
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