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Started By
Message
re: Breaking: Kari Lake loses trial to overturn Arizona Governor election - Vows to appeal
Posted on 12/27/22 at 1:59 pm to Wednesday
Posted on 12/27/22 at 1:59 pm to Wednesday
quote:
No - she said they exist, but she wouldn’t be able to get around to producing them before the trial.
Maricopa denied Betty’s existence and didn’t produce the documents. You’re willing to take it on faith that whatever they said was legit. I am not. I don’t believe shite those people say, especially when I saw one of their witnesses perjure himself.
If the documents would have refuted Lake’s claims - They would have been blown up on a trial board.
I have a billion dollars in my bank account. Just trust me.
Just to clarify the voicemail Lake used to support her claims said the forms didn't exist.
Lakes witness Heather Honey said they do exist however the county hadn't responded to her public records request.
Also the person who left this voicemail declined to testify during the trial.
Why is it the county leaving out evidence gives the inference they're full of it, But lakes team story changes and they don't show up to testify only further solidifies your stance?
Posted on 12/27/22 at 1:59 pm to David_DJS
quote:
No. I don't trust any of those frickers, but that doesn't make me forget logic and math. I'll repeat what I said a couple hours ago (for about the 20th time) - nobody has explained how we get to a change of more than 17K votes for KL based on any of the evidence introduced at trial, or even just simple logic based on things we know happened.
The only way you can get to 17K votes for KL is with 25K or so voters being disenfranchised because of printer/tabulator issues. Nobody at trial, in the media or on TD has been able to make a credible argument that that happened.
You are correct. At its core, that is what this case boils down to.
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:00 pm to LSU2ALA
quote:
t’s like holding a defendant’s refusal to testify against himself. He’s not required to do so and no negative inference can be made.
I'm no lawyer (thank god) but this makes no sense.
A person cannot be forced to testify with information that is detrimental to him because the state can (and would) force him to do so by any number of threats. It is imperative that you must have ironclad evidence before taking any rights away from a human being.
the f'n STATE is not a human being - there is NO presumption of innocence - especially for the f'n STATE. That is rediculpous. Our entire constitution was written BECAUSE the state cannot be trusted with that degree of presumption.
The STATE must be required to PROVE that THEY are following the law in EVERY instance of conflict between them and any citizen.
Of course, now that we have DEMOCRATs in charge of so much of the urban environments it is no wonder that those locations are turning into cesspools of violence, filth, degradation, poverty and moral squalor. That's how the democrats get their support = promising to "help" all those poor souls trapped there.
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:02 pm to David_DJS
You’re the one willing to take it on faith that 250,000 votes on Election Day yielded a 17,000 margin in favor of Hobbs.
I am not.
Plaintiffs argued based on evidence that the result was not clear. They argued that what Maricopa was saying didn’t make sense.
The lack of production of the records (as far as I am concerned) makes Maricopa’s assertion that the margin was 17000 in favor of Hobbs in doubt. The evidence at trial showed the result was not reliable.
I have no clue what Hobbs margin of victory was, or if she was in fact the victor- bc I saw no evidence that the ballots themselves were reconciled against the chain of custody receipts. The whole case was decided on the basis of a bunch of government ppl saying “because I say so that’s why.”
Further, I heard statistical evidence that 2.5 % of Election Day voters left bc they were inconvenienced or pissed off or had to go work and couldn’t wait in line. Of that 2.5 % more probably than 60 percent or more would have voted for Lake, which ultimately changed the result. There is no other way fo reach this conclusion Except by reference to a disparate impact analysis conducted by a statistician. Maricopa didn’t provide a countering opinion. It just said - we counted for a month and trust us, Hobbs won.
Either way, because Maricopa produced evidence albeit in the form of perjured and otherwise self-interested testimony, the result will more likely than not stand on appeal. As I’ve stated repeatedly. So this entire debate is pointless.
I am not.
Plaintiffs argued based on evidence that the result was not clear. They argued that what Maricopa was saying didn’t make sense.
The lack of production of the records (as far as I am concerned) makes Maricopa’s assertion that the margin was 17000 in favor of Hobbs in doubt. The evidence at trial showed the result was not reliable.
I have no clue what Hobbs margin of victory was, or if she was in fact the victor- bc I saw no evidence that the ballots themselves were reconciled against the chain of custody receipts. The whole case was decided on the basis of a bunch of government ppl saying “because I say so that’s why.”
Further, I heard statistical evidence that 2.5 % of Election Day voters left bc they were inconvenienced or pissed off or had to go work and couldn’t wait in line. Of that 2.5 % more probably than 60 percent or more would have voted for Lake, which ultimately changed the result. There is no other way fo reach this conclusion Except by reference to a disparate impact analysis conducted by a statistician. Maricopa didn’t provide a countering opinion. It just said - we counted for a month and trust us, Hobbs won.
Either way, because Maricopa produced evidence albeit in the form of perjured and otherwise self-interested testimony, the result will more likely than not stand on appeal. As I’ve stated repeatedly. So this entire debate is pointless.
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:04 pm to LSU2ALA
quote:
presumed to have ran their election properly. He said it is not their job to come in and prove their work as it were.
Presumptions are rebuttable. Mighty convenient for them that they had possession of the evidence that could have rebutted it, and couldn’t find the time to produce it.
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:12 pm to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
It's not a leap at all. It's what happened. Troubleshooting IT work often creates new problems while attempting to fix one.
You don't troubleshoot and make changes on the fly of a production system like that. You certainly don't do it in the middle of an election. You certainly don't allow the fricking format of the ballot to be changed on a system dependent on the format.
You ignorance of systems and controls is apparent. That's ok. It's just not your expertise. But, you may not want to suggest that "troubleshooting" issues is a valid explanation. It's not. It shows a fundamental flaw in the system.
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:16 pm to Wednesday
quote:
You’re the one willing to take it on faith that 250,000 votes on Election Day yielded a 17,000 margin in favor of Hobbs.
So you're arguing that the in-person votes that were tabulated real-time in the voting centers are also to be questioned?
quote:
Further, I heard statistical evidence that 2.5 % of Election Day voters left bc they were inconvenienced or pissed off or had to go work and couldn’t wait in line. Of that 2.5 % more probably than 60 percent or more would have voted for Lake, which ultimately changed the result. There is no other way fo reach this conclusion Except by reference to a disparate impact analysis conducted by a statistician. Maricopa didn’t provide a countering opinion. It just said - we counted for a month and trust us, Hobbs won
The statistical evidence was very, very weak. That you don't understand that is instructive. Not that I expect you to be an expert on elections in Maricopa county, but you're certain in your opinions to a degree that opens you up to that kind of scrutiny.
Does 223 voting centers an average of 1.8 miles apart to accommodate 250,000 voters mean anything? We're talking about 223 voting centers that on average, are handling a little more than a thousand votes each over a 13 hour period.
Did you notice that KL's team only raised the wait time issue with the attorney/observer? And he had no facts - and actually, what he testified to argued against KL's case, if you bothered to do the math of "150 people in line."
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:19 pm to moneyg
quote:
You don't troubleshoot and make changes on the fly of a production system like that
ummm, as an It worker i troubleshoot production systems and have teams that troubleshoot on production systems everyday.
In the ITIL framework there's even a process called emergency change where you deliver on the spot changes so fast that you retroactively enter your change controls after the changes are made. the goal of good IT process is uptime. so if service is down, you bet your arse people show up and work on the production systems to try and restore services....happens every day my man. Things break, and someone has to fix them. you can't always wait if it's broken.
This post was edited on 12/27/22 at 2:20 pm
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:20 pm to Mickey Goldmill
Trumpers lose in AZ always
They just love doing it
They just love doing it
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:23 pm to oklahogjr
During an active election proceeding is the operative part there fella.
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:28 pm to davyjones
quote:
During an active election proceeding is the operative part there fella.
yeah that's covered by the emergency change process , in fact, the ITIL framework was started for governments... it's extremely applicable to government IT....
these guys weren't rewriting the counting software they were troubleshooting printer and scanner problems.....it's pretty basic IT shite to look at. happens everyday to production systems in live environments. now the county should have already been leveraging problem management(sounds like they were), to get to the root cause of the incidents. But they implemented some emergency changes during the election to try and restore service. this is standard procedural stuff.... Long term they should implement a change that would prevent future outages once the root cause is known.
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:29 pm to David_DJS
People with nothing to hide generally don’t try THIS hard to pretend there weren’t problems.
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:29 pm to davyjones
quote:
During an active election proceeding is the operative part there fella.
Printers weren't working. They tried several different thing to try to fix them. One of them was going into the printer settings.
From the judge's ruling:
quote:
As relevant here, Mr. Betencourt testified that there were, in fact, multiple technical issues experienced on Election Day.
He testified that these were solved by means such as: 1) taking out toner and/or ink cartridges and shaking them, 2) cleaning the corona wire, 3) letting the printers warm up, 4) cleaning the tabulators, and 5) adjusting settings on the printer. It is of note that, apart from 5), none of these solutions implicates the ballot in a manner suggesting intent. Mr. Betencourt testified that each of these on-site actions were successful to varying degrees, with shaking the toner cartridge being the most effective. It is worth repeating that ballots that could not be read by the tabulator immediately because of printer settings – or anything else – could be deposited in Door 3 of the tabulator and counted later after duplication by a bipartisan adjudication board.
Mr. Betencourt testified that, not only did he lack knowledge of any T-Tech (or anyone else) engaging in intentional misconduct, but further testified that the T-Techs he worked with diligently and expeditiously trouble-shot each problem as they arose, and they did so in a frenetic Election Day environment. Plaintiff’s own witness testified before this Court that the BOD printer failures were largely the result of unforeseen mechanical failure.
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:32 pm to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
engaging in intentional misconduct
Who admits that anyway?
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:32 pm to loogaroo
quote:
People with nothing to hide generally don’t try THIS hard to pretend there weren’t problems.
The county hasn't pretended there weren't problems. they just repeatedly asserted that it wasn't some nefarious plot to keep lake from winning like she keeps claiming.
things break, people hit the wrong button, etc. The goal of a good process is that when things go awry they are caught and addressed quickly and efficiently as possible. Thus the box 3 options to have the votes adjudicated to prevent these votes from being uncountable.
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:32 pm to Mickey Goldmill
By any means necessary huh Mickey?
You're one of those people that thinks if you can out smart someone to get what you want it's their fault despite how unethical it is aren't you?
You're one of those people that thinks if you can out smart someone to get what you want it's their fault despite how unethical it is aren't you?
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:35 pm to oklahogjr
quote:
things break, people hit the wrong button, etc. The goal of a good process is that when things go awry they are caught and addressed quickly and efficiently as possible. Thus the box 3 options to have the votes adjudicated to prevent these votes from being uncountable.

Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:37 pm to Mickey Goldmill
It's over at this point. If this doesn't convince the GOP to match the Dems at ballot harvesting, nothing ever will, and they deserve to lose every election going forward.
This post was edited on 12/27/22 at 2:38 pm
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:37 pm to loogaroo
quote:
By any means necessary huh Mickey?
You're one of those people that thinks if you can out smart someone to get what you want it's their fault despite how unethical it is aren't you?
No, I'm just not going to make assumptions that would lead to throwing out an election that had the largest margin of victory of any election that has been overturned in the history of the United States. If you want that done, you need to prove it with clear and convincing evidence.
Posted on 12/27/22 at 2:39 pm to Wednesday
quote:
Presumptions are rebuttable. Mighty convenient for them that they had possession of the evidence that could have rebutted it, and couldn’t find the time to produce it.
When did Lake’s campaign file the FOIA? Did they do it in enough time to force the issue before trial? I truly don’t know. If they didn’t leave the county enough time to reasonably produce it, that’s on them.
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