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Big If True!

Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:54 pm
Posted by Seldom Seen
Member since Feb 2016
40152 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:54 pm
LINK



quote:

‘Going outdoors is what stops every respiratory disease’

A veteran scholar of epidemiology has warned that the ongoing lockdowns throughout the United States and the rest of the world are almost certainly just prolonging the coronavirus outbreak rather than doing anything to truly mitigate it.

Knut Wittkowski, previously the longtime head of the Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Research Design at the Rockefeller University in New York City, said in an interview with the Press and the Public Project that the coronavirus could be “exterminated” if we permitted most people to lead normal lives and sheltered the most vulnerable parts of society until the danger had passed.

“[W]hat people are trying to do is flatten the curve. I don’t really know why. But, what happens is if you flatten the curve, you also prolong, to widen it, and it takes more time. And I don’t see a good reason for a respiratory disease to stay in the population longer than necessary,” he said.
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
16303 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:54 pm to
JBE has blood on his hands.
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167254 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:55 pm to
Makes sense. You are just breathing recirculated air indoors basically. Especially in modern houses that are pretty airtight.
Posted by mark65mc
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2007
11281 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:56 pm to
I have actually seen more people going on walks, riding bikes, etc. since the "lockdown".
Posted by SOKAL
Member since May 2018
4124 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:57 pm to
We are probably also giving the virus a chance to mutate to overcome the treatments that are available- such as the malaria drugs.
Posted by Buckeye Jeaux
Member since May 2018
17756 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

‘Going outdoors is what stops every respiratory disease’


Wow! A Doc with common sense!

Watch your 6, Doc
Posted by Langland
Trumplandia
Member since Apr 2014
15382 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:58 pm to
If didn't know this already, you are a stupid sheeple.
Posted by ThuperThumpin
Member since Dec 2013
7318 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

Makes sense. You are just breathing recirculated air indoors basically. Especially in modern houses that are pretty airtight.


He is talking about herd immunity...not avoiding the virus by being outdoors.
Posted by canyon
Member since Dec 2003
18376 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:59 pm to
Not to mention you can get rid of excess energy and boredom. If I don’t get out for a long dog walk or cycle for an hour and a half at least.
Posted by TOKEN
Member since Feb 2014
11990 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:00 pm to
Chicken pock parties

We all caught on purpose so we could get it over with
Posted by CFFreak
Rjyh, AL
Member since May 2019
8765 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:02 pm to
Libs will not agree with this man. Followed all links to it and to this guy. He is a legit epidemiologist.
Posted by RidiculousHype
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2007
10204 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

I have actually seen more people going on walks, riding bikes, etc. since the "lockdown".

which is probably the real reason that deaths are far below the initial models
Posted by msudawg1200
Central Mississippi
Member since Jun 2014
9418 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:05 pm to
Well, if true that's good for me. Since the shelter in place I'm outside almost the entire day either running, mowing, weed-eating, or exercising getting my Vitamin D. I love the outdoors.
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 3:06 pm
Posted by Goldbondage
Member since Mar 2020
695 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:13 pm to
This also works for hangovers.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123914 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

Big If True!
It isn't.
Sorry.

and FYI the "Scholar of Epidemiology" is not an MD. He is a PhD. No problem there at all. His focus could be different and very valuable.

However, when he says he doesn't understand value of flattening the curve, as NYC was desperately bringing in Hospital Ships, transitioning the Javits Center, Ventilators, etc., its an odd take at best.

What he may be trying to convey is something we've been talking about here -- lockdown at-risk folks, and get everyone else back to normal.

Now that we've had a look at this Chinese SOB, IMO an at-risk SIP will be our next step.
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 3:16 pm
Posted by Zach
Gizmonic Institute
Member since May 2005
112475 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:16 pm to
It seemed to work with The Plague. People who lived in the country did not encounter the fleas infected mice in the cities.
Posted by greygoose
Member since Aug 2013
11458 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

Asked about Anthony Fauci, the White House medical expert who for weeks has been predicting significant numbers of COVID-19 deaths in America as well as major ongoing disruptions to daily life possibly for years, Wittkowski replied: “Well, I’m not paid by the government, so I’m entitled to actually do science.”
Posted by omegaman66
greenwell springs
Member since Oct 2007
22779 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

It isn't. Sorry. and FYI the "Scholar of Epidemiology" is not an MD. He is a PhD. No problem there at all. His focus could be different and very valuable. However, when he says he doesn't understand value of flattening the curve, as NYC was desperately bringing in Hospital Ships, transitioning the Javits Center, Ventilators, etc., its an odd take at best. What he may be trying to convey is something we've been talking about here -- lockdown at-risk folks, and get everyone else back to normal. Now that we've had a look at this Chinese SOB, IMO an at-risk SIP will be our next step.


It is.
Not Sorry.

Flattening the curve makes sense if you want to crash the economy. But it makes no sense if you are 30 years old and healthy. Why delay getting sick if you aren't likely to be the one that needs a hospital bed or ventilator?

He said protect those that need protecting. Not act like everyone that gets this virus is going to die.

quote:

sheltered the most vulnerable parts of society until the danger had passed.
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 3:24 pm
Posted by greygoose
Member since Aug 2013
11458 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

He said protect those that need protecting. Not act like everyone that gets this virus is going to die.


98% chance that if you get it, you won't die.

100% chance the bank will eventually take your house if you don't pay your mortgage.
Posted by RobbBobb
Matt Flynn, BCS MVP
Member since Feb 2007
27905 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 3:45 pm to
quote:


However, when he says he doesn't understand value of flattening the curve,

I don't exactly know how to help you here, but you need to get a grip

1) The numbers are being padded. They openly admit it

2) The numbers are overwhelmingly affecting one specific community

3) Another much smaller subgroup is nursing home patients, who unfortunately are serviced by the community that is being hardest hit

There was never a curve to flatten. Every single one of us will be exposed. 10% will catch it, and only 4.7% of those will show symptoms. Not even close to being any reason for this madness we are forced to live under
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