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re: Axios polls: Trump +3 OH +3 TX +1 FL, Biden +1 NV +6 nationally
Posted on 10/26/20 at 5:19 am to RidiculousHype
Posted on 10/26/20 at 5:19 am to RidiculousHype
I would swing every single poll by 3.5 points based on turnout and enthusiasm. So take 1.75% from Biden and add 1.75% to Trump and that is closer to accurate.
Some of these polls can be 4 points off on each side.
Some of these polls can be 4 points off on each side.
0
Posted on 10/26/20 at 5:53 am to Bottom9
Yeah the Texas poll stuff is a joke. If the race was anywhere near that tight, don't you think Trump would be all over that state?
Posted on 10/26/20 at 5:58 am to SlickRick55
I’m just glad every single poll is wrong and the polo board has it right
Posted on 10/26/20 at 6:01 am to dallastiger55
quote:
I’m just glad every single poll is wrong and the polo board has it right
Do you think these aren't bad enough to induce the whining and teeteeing in the britches that the others have been doing? Does that make you sad? It sounds like you are sad. Now I am sad.
Go read some nate silver to pep you up.
or find the fear porn about dinner with Atlanta biden chicks
Posted on 10/26/20 at 6:06 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
magine telling someone in 2004,2008,2012 that one day Ohio and Texas were voting in very similar ways
Trumps margin in TX will be 12%+. It’s not like Ohio despite what the polls say.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 6:09 am to Mid Iowa Tiger
quote:
Trumps margin in TX will be 12%+
Source?
I’ll bet you anything you want. Ban bet? You get 12 points or higher and I get anything under 12. Name your terms
Posted on 10/26/20 at 6:41 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:Have they been wrong lately? No. Bellwether until proven otherwise.
Ohio is no longer a bellwether state
This post was edited on 10/26/20 at 6:58 am
Posted on 10/26/20 at 7:11 am to RidiculousHype
quote:
Axios polls: Trump +3 OH +3 TX +1 FL, Biden +1 NV +6 nationally
I honestly believe they are polling Biden ahead of Trump
They were monumentally wrong in 2016 and for months have polled Biden well ahead of Trump....they are adjusting for the silent majority...if they keep polling Biden ahead and it’s a landslide for Trump, they know polling won’t mean shite.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 7:37 am to RidiculousHype
Why do they keep trying to make Texas a battleground state?
Sure, the state with the largest employment of oil and gas workers is gonna vote for the guy that says he’s going to ban the industry.
Ok. Sure.
Sure, the state with the largest employment of oil and gas workers is gonna vote for the guy that says he’s going to ban the industry.
Ok. Sure.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 7:41 am to elprez00
It is really weird that some of these TX polls are that close. I'm starting to believe it a little with all the Biden ads and MJ Hegar for US Senate ads I'm seeing though. If it was a Trump blowout they wouldn't be spending money here. Plus with the close race between Beto and Cruz, it is worrisome a bit.
Look I think Trump wins TX, but the Beto/Cruz numbers and now seeing a tight race with Cornyn/Hegar, I'm thinking my state might be trending the wrong direction. You have a tons of companies from liberal states coming to TX and bringing their liberal employees with them.
Look I think Trump wins TX, but the Beto/Cruz numbers and now seeing a tight race with Cornyn/Hegar, I'm thinking my state might be trending the wrong direction. You have a tons of companies from liberal states coming to TX and bringing their liberal employees with them.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:32 am to Scruffy
quote:
Is this the start of the poll corrections people have been predicting?
Do you want the long answer or the short answer?
The short answer is a 3-letter word that begins with the letter “y” and ends in “es”....
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:46 am to jp4lsu
quote:
I'm thinking my state might be trending the wrong direction. You have a tons of companies from liberal states coming to TX and bringing their liberal employees with them.
You are 100% correct. It's the same thing that happened to Virginia. Texas will begin to be controlled by the liberal cesspool around Austin and houston.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:48 am to RidiculousHype
quote:
+6 nationally
lmao...still trying to make it look good for Biden
Trump is going to win NV
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:50 am to RidiculousHype
Texas is so close that neither candidate has campaigned there.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:52 am to Eat Your Crow
quote:
Biden only +1 in Nevada?
TRUMP gonna win there by 2-3 points.
Look at the early voting results on [link=(Electproject.github.io)]Elect project site.[/link]
With the 2016 total votes being about 1.05 million, and the early votes hitting at the same rate for democrats and republicans (much can change), Trump would have a majority republican vote in Nevada.
Granted, there are a lot of mail in ballots to at have not been returned (more than votes in the previous election), so we’ll see if those numbers will affect the result.
However, if the return rates start equaling out, which tends to happen closer to Election Day, then it mail in won’t favor democrats as much. At least, not in Nevada where there are relatively close amount of requested ballots between democrats and republicans.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:55 am to RidiculousHype
Yea and 271 means GEOTUS is President
This nationally counts states that don’t matter
This nationally counts states that don’t matter
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