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Posted on 10/28/24 at 3:51 pm to NawlinsTiger9
quote:
Harris wins with a final EC total that will look pretty convincing

Posted on 10/28/24 at 3:53 pm to Bass Tiger
quote:
who wins the 2024 GE?
Trump will win it without a doubt. In an honest system, it wouldn’t be close.
Who will be “declared” the president-elect remains to be seen.
Posted on 10/28/24 at 3:55 pm to NawlinsTiger9
Why? You can compare to prior years and also observe trends nationally. Black voter turnout is down in key urban areas. This past Sunday was supposed to be a big turnout day with Souls to the Polls and it turned out to be a dud.
Posted on 10/28/24 at 4:03 pm to Jake88
quote:
The polls show a shift to Trump, the early voting looks better for Trump than in the past, the betting market favors Trump, 538 favors Trump, Nate silver favors Trump, the top 2 issues favor Trump, but I still don't know.
You know what a lot of the Dim pundits are saying? They're saying same day voting which generally favors Republicans will be much lower than previous elections because of the Republican effort to get out the early vote. The Dims think they will have enough on the side (ballot harvesting) to offset the smaller than normal advantage Republicans usually depend on for Election Day votes.
Posted on 10/28/24 at 4:06 pm to Lou Pai
quote:How do we know this with certainty?
You can compare to prior years and also observe trends nationally. Black voter turnout is down in key urban areas. This past Sunday was supposed to be a big turnout day with Souls to the Polls and it turned out to be a dud
Posted on 10/28/24 at 4:07 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
SlowFlowPro
Oh no, this site is such an echo chamber!
hahahahahahahahaha
fricking dumbshit
Posted on 10/28/24 at 4:10 pm to Jake88
quote:
How do we know this with certainty?
Data being reported by counties, etc.
This post was edited on 10/28/24 at 4:12 pm
Posted on 10/28/24 at 4:12 pm to NawlinsTiger9
quote:
Deriving conclusions from early voting data is rarely a good idea
and yet you are doing it because that is all there is now
Posted on 10/28/24 at 4:12 pm to NawlinsTiger9
quote:
Deriving conclusions from early voting data is rarely a good idea
Depends on the conclusions you're trying to draw. As Lou Pai said, there's trends you can take from it which has shown black voter turnout is down across multiple states. There's an enthusiasm gap showing, etc. What's been seen so far isn't only showing up in one state, it's across multiple.
This post was edited on 10/28/24 at 4:13 pm
Posted on 10/28/24 at 4:15 pm to Bass Tiger
21st upvote is mine. I think Trump will win. He should win with the state of the country right now and the world being on fire doesn't help the dems cause either. I'm viewing this election as the last stand of the sane. How far gone are we as a country? Are my worries justified with the radicalized youth becoming more politically active? Because that bodes horribly for our future. Are people in the middle going to put their personal dislike of Trump aside and vote for him in large enough numbers to push the swing states back to the republicans? Or will they stay home out of disgust with both candidates? What matters more: Feelings or your pocketbook? It used to be pocketbook not all that long ago. But Obama happened and that has had a lasting effect. I think Trump's biggest advantage is that we already have had 4 years with him in charge and things went pretty darn well. I'm hopeful that people remember what was and what could be again if given the chance. Trump has his faults but the alternative is an absolute disaster waiting to be unleashed upon the country. I'm also curious to see how long his coattails are for the down ballot races. If he wins he's going to need a friendly congress to creating a legacy beyond the SC (which was and is huge).
Posted on 10/28/24 at 4:15 pm to Jake88
Georgia reports voter turnout by race and I think NC does as well
Posted on 10/28/24 at 4:16 pm to Bass Tiger
Harris will 1000% win. Of course not fairly, far from it.
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