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Another Biden success, Commercial real estate foreclosures jumped 117% in March

Posted on 4/19/24 at 8:46 am
Posted by WPBTiger
Parts Unknown
Member since Nov 2011
30943 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 8:46 am
LINK

quote:

The commercial real estate market is starting to buckle under the weight of higher interest rates and remote work.

There were 625 commercial real estate foreclosures in March, up 6% from February and 117% from the same time last year, according to a new report published by real estate data provider ATTOM.

The figure is calculated based on commercial properties with at least one foreclosure filing — including default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions — entered into the ATTOM Data Warehouse during the month.

California had the highest number of commercial foreclosures in March, with 187 properties. While that marked an 8% decrease from the previous month, it is a stunning 405% jump from the previous year.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73514 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 8:49 am to
This is a real issue thats gonna hurt
Posted by TejasHorn
High Plains Driftin'
Member since Mar 2007
10911 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:02 am to
In Texas, the cranes are everywhere putting up new commercial and office buildings.

Yet DFW, Houston and Austin have oceans of unused space (some of the highest rates in the country). Companies are cash rich and need to spend it.
Posted by wareagle7298
Birmingham
Member since Dec 2013
1423 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:06 am to
It is an issue, but unless gas prices go up or grocery prices (even more) then the street public seems largely unaware of anything like this.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422310 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:07 am to
quote:

This is a real issue thats gonna hurt

It's going to be bad

It's a combination of bad business model and paradigm changes (WFH). Add in an unexpected market pressure (higher interest rates) and everything blows up.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422310 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:07 am to
quote:

the street public seems largely unaware of anything like this.


When their banks go under they'll care
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
27447 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:14 am to
Then.....bailing out their bank will be a good thing.

You really can't hang this on Biden in any sense since the WFH model was gaining a lot of traction before Covid. Covid just put it on steroids. If you are going to do the politician blame game then you would HAVE to give Trump equal billing....I don't hold either of them to this.
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
95252 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:16 am to
quote:

California had the highest number of commercial foreclosures in March, with 187 properties


That is a significant number in multiple senses.
Posted by roadkill
East Coast, FL
Member since Oct 2008
1835 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:16 am to
quote:

You really can't hang this on Biden in any sense


The higher interest rates are a direct response to Biden's inflationary policies starting with energy - FACT.
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
95252 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:18 am to
A significant amount of this is happening because of state and local policies in addition to federal ones.

Cali’s issues are through the roof between out of control theft at retail and having entire areas choked out with aggressive homeless camps.


Some major hotels in SF defaulted because the areas around them got so bad that they couldn’t get the business needed to keep the doors open.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:19 am to
Reading your link, you buried the lede: Almost 1/3 of the commercial real estate foreclosures nationwide occurred in just ONE state...California.

Companies are saying "Adios, motherfricker!" to Cali.
Posted by FriscoTxTiger76
Frisco TX
Member since Sep 2016
60 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:20 am to
I don't understand the crazy amount of new construction either- especially with the down town crime and the worsening traffic in the suburbs.

I moved to Frisco in 2010 when it was littered with empty new office/ commercial buildings, and I can't help but think that will return soon
Posted by Klondikekajun
Member since Jun 2020
1283 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:30 am to
Energy Centre in New Orleans just went into receivership.

More Hertz dominos will probably fall as well...

Should be interesting...
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422310 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:32 am to
quote:

You really can't hang this on Biden in any sense

You're correct

It's not really partisan
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73514 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:32 am to
quote:

It's going to be bad


I hope they can figure out a solution or its gonna spiderweb out like 08

But theres gonna be some serious deals to be made

Blackrock is gonna eat
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422310 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:33 am to
quote:

The higher interest rates are a direct response to Biden's inflationary policies


And Trump's
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422310 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:35 am to
quote:

But theres gonna be some serious deals to be made

I just don't understand what you can do with these properties unless rent comes down significantly to make office space more appealing
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73514 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:38 am to
quote:

I just don't understand what you can do with these properties


Turning them into apartments with subsidized housing is my guess



Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422310 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:41 am to
quote:

Turning them into apartments with subsidized housing is my guess


Every time I see this in action the cost to convert is higher than the cost to build new which is always the problem. We just had that with a local property here that's going to be torn down instead.

My office that I use is a split retail residential and to get around this the residential offerings are the entire floor. It was the only way to get around it because it's converting the plumbing to a normal residence would have been too expensive.
Posted by LSUbest
Coastal Plain
Member since Aug 2007
11039 posts
Posted on 4/19/24 at 9:43 am to
quote:

There were 625 commercial real estate foreclosures in March


I opened a real estate agency website recently - never saw foreclosures/bankruptcies listed on one.

I was amazed at the number of homes in my neighborhood.

https://www.mls.com
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