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re: 11x increase in shingles after shingles shot for those 65 & older.

Posted on 3/29/26 at 2:54 pm to
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
95635 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

In order to make an informed decision, wouldn’t you need to know the risk of contracting shingles during a random 21 day interval?


The problem is - you don't contract shingles. You contract chicken pox (herpes zoster), typically in childhood, and it reactivates as shingles (also herpes zoster) when you are an adult, typically once, but it can happen multiple times when your immune system weakens.

And the older you are, the more likely you are to have PHN as a complication. Again, no thank you.
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46368 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

Took shingles vaccine and after second shot had double vision for a month. Doctors couldn’t explain it and had never seen that. I’m not taking that anymore.


I got shingles at 42 yrs old. I really wanted to get the vax bc I was terrified to was going to continue going up my neck into my face and eyes. I’m just also too scared to get the vax.
Posted by Riverside
Member since Jul 2022
10673 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 3:02 pm to
Those railing against this vaccine clearly have no idea about Shingles.

It felt like someone was literally torturing me with electro shocks. You also get horrible pain in your joints leading up to the rash. Then you get the rash and it’s awful. After it goes away I was heavily fatigued for weeks. I got this in my 20s and was healthy. Imagine a 70 year old getting it?
Posted by Riverside
Member since Jul 2022
10673 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 3:04 pm to
Definitely get it. I think you’re at greater risk of reoccurrence if you had it when you were younger.
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46368 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 3:05 pm to
Yeah. I’ve just also been told that it wasn’t a good experience all the way around.
Posted by Riverside
Member since Jul 2022
10673 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 3:08 pm to
I’ve heard the same thing but better a few days of that than getting full scale shingles again. That’s how I look at it anyway. Same calculus I use with the flu shot each year.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
143795 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 3:09 pm to
I never had chicken pox. At least not where I showed any symptoms.

But I caught the shingles about ten years ago.

frick the shingles. I went and got both vaccines. I wouldn’t wish shingles on Powerman.
Posted by deltadummy
Member since Mar 2025
2523 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 3:16 pm to
To "know the facts", one must be able to read.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
128778 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 3:19 pm to
Congrats. You are now 3% less likely to get shingles.
Posted by LSUA 75
Colfax,La.
Member since Jan 2019
4936 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 5:15 pm to
I got shingles in January,bottom lip,chin and up side of my face,way too close to my L eye.Got on acyclovir early on and only had severe pain for 2 days.Then it was painful only if the area was touched,didn’t get blisters.Scared me how close it got to my eye.
I took the first shot in Feb,had no side effects from it.Due for the 2nd shot soon.
Posted by onmymedicalgrind
Nunya
Member since Dec 2012
12182 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

It’s statistically zero.

Seems like if the benefit (measured in person YEARS) isn’t “statistically zero” your cost benefit analysis should lead you to a different conclusion.
Posted by idsrdum
Member since Jan 2017
624 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 6:34 pm to
LINK to paper

Although this paper is written from a pro-vaccine standpoint (which is contrary to Steve Kirsch's take), it does hint at some facts that should be brought up in vaccine conversations more often.
quote:

The exact cause of VZV reactivation after shingles vaccines is not fully understood but may involve several factors. Vaccines can transiently weaken or alter cellular immunity, allowing latent VZV to reactivate. Immunosenescence, an age-related immune decline starting in an individual’s 60s, affects both innate and adaptive immunity [21]. The RZV vaccine's AS01B adjuvant strongly stimulates innate responses and suppresses natural killer (NK) cells within hours of vaccination . We hypothesize that, especially in those with immunosenescence or compromised immunity, this immune activation may reduce VZV surveillance or redirect CD8 T cells to the vaccine, creating a window for reactivation.

The paper states that cellular immunity is weakened only transiently, but is this temporary duration actually proven? It's important because studies should also be done on whether vaccines increase susceptibility to even non-vaccine target conditions. This is known as "non-specific effects" of vaccines.

Another gap, which is not discussed, is whether it is known how vaccines - especially adjuvanted ones - affect innate and cellular immune function long-term. Has newer knowledge from within the last 15 years - that innate cells can be “trained” or epigenetically reprogrammed - been incorporated into vaccine safety and efficacy studies? If not, why not? Does this knowledge completely alter the previous understanding of the immune system?

As for NK cells, it is important to note that they are vital for cancer surveillance and other regulatory functions. Is there data for how long they're suppressed or how their functionality is affected by Shingrix and other adjuvanted vaccines?

TLDR: Has innate immunity been consistently undervalued, understudied, and unevaluated in modern medicine, and could this long-standing oversight have resulted in trade-offs that detrimentally affect overall immune function and regulation?

Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11847 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 9:14 pm to
Appreciate you sharing that. That’s exactly the part that’s hard to convey with stats alone - the lived side of PHN and how disruptive it can be. I also respect the way you framed it - not “trust everything”, just weighing tradeoffs based on experience.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
128778 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 9:21 pm to
quote:

if the benefit (measured in person YEARS) isn’t “statistically zero” your cost benefit analysis should lead you to a different conclusion.


Awesome. What’s the person years benefit per vaccination?
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11847 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

No. I’m not arguing for the OP. I’m arguing for exactly the kind of education you’re giving your patients.


I think we’re actually pretty aligned on the standard then - clear, balanced explanation of risks/benefits and letting people make their own decision.

Where I’d maybe add a layer is that kind of communication gets harder when people are getting very selectively framed versions of real data ahead of time like in OP. Not saying that’s the only problem, and I don’t think it means doctors should just push harder - if anything it makes good, transparent communication more important.

The tricky part (and this isn’t unique to health) is how often a true slice of information gets presented in a way that implies more than it actually shows. That seems to be what people react to, whether it’s medical stuff or anything else that blows up online (e.g. the Owens/Kirk mess I've seen you care about recently).

So I’d still come back to the same standard you’re pointing to - just applied in a world where people are often walking in with those frames already in place.
Posted by Riverside
Member since Jul 2022
10673 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 9:32 pm to
What’s the earliest age where the shingles vaccine is recommended? I had them in my mid-20s but worry about a recurrence.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
128778 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 9:34 pm to
quote:

Where I’d maybe add a layer is that kind of communication gets harder when people are getting very selectively framed versions of real data ahead of time like in OP.


Agreed. It’s hard being the expert when expertise becomes the target of derision. And then explaining small but important differences looks to the layperson like you’re playing semantic games.

quote:

The tricky part (and this isn’t unique to health) is how often a true slice of information gets presented in a way that implies more than it actually shows.


Yeah. Like a 99% effective vaccine. Or like the OP.
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11847 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 9:37 pm to
The general rule of 50+ if you don't have a condition which compromises your immune system functioning and 19+ if you do, but there are some subtleties and controversies about what might be considered immunocompromised, so talking to your doctor would help you know if the benefits might outweigh risks for you personally given your specific health history.
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11847 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 9:52 pm to
Yeah, that’s a good way to put it. The frustrating part is that once people are primed to see “spin”, even legitimate clarification can look like word games. Probably why it helps to keep things as concrete as possible (e.g. what’s the claim, over what timeframe, and what does it actually imply vs. what’s being inferred, etc.) Applies to the OP and honestly a lot of stuff that blows up online.
This post was edited on 3/29/26 at 9:53 pm
Posted by onmymedicalgrind
Nunya
Member since Dec 2012
12182 posts
Posted on 3/29/26 at 10:51 pm to
quote:

Awesome. What’s the person years benefit per vaccination?

I assume higher than “statistically zero”
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