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2
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:58 pm to lsuman25
That would suck.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:59 pm to Duke
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:01 pm to Duke
quote:
The HWRF is going all in on the 18z.
Yep. Don't like that at all.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:01 pm to GEAUXmedic
HMON would be bad for Houma also
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:02 pm to lsuman25
That hmon run coming in over cocodrie. A lil further west than nhc
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 6:03 pm
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:06 pm to bayoudude
Both have it strengthening at landfall which seems damn near impossible
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:06 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Both have it strengthening at landfall which seems damn near impossible
Does it though? Does it really?
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:07 pm to rmnldr
With water along continental shelf in the high 70s and shear? Yeah
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:08 pm to rmnldr
Man it sucks the HH aircraft hasn't transmitten any datat in over an hour, hope they didn't have to abort.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:09 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Both have it strengthening at landfall which seems damn near impossible
It's moving fast enough where the water temps won't matter, it's all about how much shear is getting to it.
We'll see if the HWRF is right pretty quickly tonight because it ramps it up quickly.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:11 pm to Cosmo
Shear won’t be as big as an impact as previously thought, which has been said already. The storm will also be moving too fast for OHC to really matter. Also, as it’s been noted in previous storm threads, recent studies on OHC have shown that it’s much less of an inhibition factor than previously thought.
HWRF and HMON both were upgraded with that new data prior to the season. Not sure about ECMWF or GFS but they’ve been very good at it. They both showed Sally’s unexpected ramp up before landfall when everyone though upwelling would kill it IIRC.
But
eVeRyBodY dIsAgReEs wItH yOu
HWRF and HMON both were upgraded with that new data prior to the season. Not sure about ECMWF or GFS but they’ve been very good at it. They both showed Sally’s unexpected ramp up before landfall when everyone though upwelling would kill it IIRC.
But
eVeRyBodY dIsAgReEs wItH yOu
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 6:13 pm
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:15 pm to Duke
quote:
Duke
You gonna get out of NOLA or what?
I may load the wife and boys up and head to the hunting camp in Central MS.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:15 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Man it sucks the HH aircraft hasn't transmitten any datat in over an hour, hope they didn't have to abort.
Yeah it’s annoying. It’s probably borderline hurricane right now if not one.
Hopefully everything is okay though
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 6:16 pm
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:16 pm to theOG
quote:
quote:
Duke
You gonna get out of NOLA or what?
I may load the wife and boys up and head to the hunting camp in Central MS.
Yeah, same question here. Wife was asking if we should head to my folks in BR from Old Metairie. But, I guess it is moving so quickly it is just potential power outages as a concern in NOLA area?
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:18 pm to theOG
quote:
You gonna get out of NOLA or what?
Tomorrow morning I am. The weather nerd in me really wants to stay and watch the wind but gotta make the right call for the family. Hopefully just be gone a day.
Just can't really function without power.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:19 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
So Fourchon?
Mayyyybeeeee
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:21 pm to Duke
Certainly looks to be strengthening as the sun sets.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:23 pm to Duke
Is there any chance this thing ticks east just before landfall?
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:24 pm to Mouth
There's always a chance
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