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re: What's your prediction as to the next big thing?

Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:17 pm to
Posted by W RRIOR
Member since Dec 2018
217 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:17 pm to
quote:

within the next 15 years there will be a device that can read your mind during dreams, capture those dreams, and write short story virtual books based off of them that you can upload to your phone or kindle or other similar device.


Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
51487 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:19 pm to
Pills that keep you from getting fat
Posted by Chief Hinge
There and Here
Member since Sep 2018
3132 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:19 pm to
Two coworkers did some calculating to see if taking an Uber to/from work everyday would be cheaper than owning a vehicle. Monthly car note plus insurance was much cheaper than Uber.
Posted by Chief Hinge
There and Here
Member since Sep 2018
3132 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:20 pm to
Amphetamine Salt. No appetite. No eat.
Posted by go ta hell ole miss
Member since Jan 2007
14026 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:26 pm to
quote:

n 15 years, driverless cars will have changed the auto industry, individual auto ownership, the auto insurance industry, and the lives of personal injury/insurance defense attorneys among other things. It's the next big shift with technology and our culture, imo.


You really think people across the world want to give up the freedom of driving? Maybe in the city, but not for anyone that drives more than 20 minutes a day and likes to ride backroads on a Sunday

I do agree that it would change the lives of PI and defense attorneys because it would be an ephen cash cow. Every time an accident happens it will be Tesla’s fault, no driver error issues to attribute it to.
This post was edited on 12/5/18 at 5:27 pm
Posted by Eightballjacket
Member since Jan 2016
7739 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:28 pm to
Time travel.
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
65900 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:28 pm to
Are we supposed to guess cool shite, or things on the level of the fidget spinner?
This post was edited on 12/5/18 at 5:30 pm
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
102230 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:29 pm to
Functional immortality for those wealthy enough to pay for it.
Posted by AbuTheMonkey
Chicago, IL
Member since May 2014
8404 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:34 pm to
quote:

quote:
n 15 years, driverless cars will have changed the auto industry, individual auto ownership, the auto insurance industry, and the lives of personal injury/insurance defense attorneys among other things. It's the next big shift with technology and our culture, imo.


You really think people across the world want to give up the freedom of driving? Maybe in the city, but not for anyone that drives more than 20 minutes a day and likes to ride backroads on a Sunday

I do agree that it would change the lives of PI and defense attorneys because it would be an ephen cash cow. Every time an accident happens it will be Tesla’s fault, no driver error issues to attribute it to.


The economics of getting an Uber - or whatever the service will be by then - will change and will most likely be a good bit cheaper than now, but I do agree that those thinking of a totally automated and driverless society aren't thinking customer needs all the way through. Car ownership will still exist on a large scale.
Posted by TheFonz
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
21930 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:43 pm to
Holodecks.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
102230 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:47 pm to
I can see mass transit based on driverless cars being feasible in select urban areas. In most of the country it won't be viable without mandated monopolies, government subsidies, etc. etc.

It's going to look and operate like the ISP's and cable companies, be just about as popular.

Posted by PearlJam
NotBeardEaves
Member since Aug 2014
13908 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

You really think people across the world want to give up the freedom of driving? Maybe in the city, but not for anyone that drives more than 20 minutes a day and likes to ride backroads on a Sunday
It will start with Uber, Lyft, Google using driverless cars services like Uber. Then municipalities will adopt driverless vehicles for Mass transit and the trucking industry will adopt it for otr shipping. It probably won't replace individual auto ownership within 15 years, but we will be starting down that road.
Posted by Freauxzen
Washington
Member since Feb 2006
38006 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:54 pm to
quote:

quote:
quote:

n 15 years, driverless cars will have changed the auto industry, individual auto ownership, the auto insurance industry, and the lives of personal injury/insurance defense attorneys among other things. It's the next big shift with technology and our culture, imo.


You really think people across the world want to give up the freedom of driving? Maybe in the city, but not for anyone that drives more than 20 minutes a day and likes to ride backroads on a Sunday

I do agree that it would change the lives of PI and defense attorneys because it would be an ephen cash cow. Every time an accident happens it will be Tesla’s fault, no driver error issues to attribute it to.



The economics of getting an Uber - or whatever the service will be by then - will change and will most likely be a good bit cheaper than now, but I do agree that those thinking of a totally automated and driverless society aren't thinking customer needs all the way through. Car ownership will still exist on a large scale.


Agreed, but I think we see that in the growth of SUVs. Families will have a single SUV/Van for long road/big group traveling, and sedans will be relegated to at the moment around town travel.
Posted by oleheat
Sportsman's Paradise
Member since Mar 2007
14145 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:57 pm to
Non-stick cookware that actually INCREASES penis size.
Posted by BearsFan
Member since Mar 2016
1283 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 5:59 pm to
Well 60 minutes did a piece in 99 (can be found on youtube) debating if Amazon was sustainable. So yes someone was considering Amazon 15 years ago.
Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
12820 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 6:06 pm to
Nuclear war and the collapse of modern civilization.
Posted by Sus-Scrofa
Member since Feb 2013
9731 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 6:07 pm to
The OPs dream machine would be terrifying.

Simply not worth reliving or remembering bad shite that happens in dreams.

“Well, dog died again in high def... (Destroys dream machine with a bat).”
Posted by roadkill
East Coast, FL
Member since Oct 2008
2026 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 6:19 pm to
quote:

Two coworkers did some calculating to see if taking an Uber to/from work everyday would be cheaper than owning a vehicle. Monthly car note plus insurance was much cheaper than Uber.


Did their analysis include fuel and maintenance?
Posted by PrivatePublic
Member since Nov 2012
17848 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 6:46 pm to
quote:

Two coworkers did some calculating to see if taking an Uber to/from work everyday would be cheaper than owning a vehicle. Monthly car note plus insurance was much cheaper than Uber.

Did their analysis include fuel and maintenance?


Off the cuff calculation for me:
9 mile work commute and according to Uber the average fare is about $1/mile on UberX. So I'll say that's $10 one way, NOT including surge pricing. That's $20/day - let's say $25 after a tip.
That's $125/week.
That's $6500/year.

That's the cost of a $32,500 sedan in just five years.
Assume that same sedan would last me for 10 years (which is VERY conservative as my commute would only put 52000 miles on the car in that time). Ubering all that time would be $65,000. Does owning a paid-for car in that time cost an additional $32,500 in maintenance and gas?

Let's say gas = $2.70 gallon on average and my sedan gets 30 mpg.
That's 2/3 of a gallon per day driving, or $1.80 per day. That's $9 a week, $468 a year. Over ten years that's somewhere just south of $6000 in fuel costs.
Now, does it cost $26,000 to maintain the car over 10 years?

I honestly have no idea - I do all my maintenance and would guess I spend maybe $300 a year on maintenance. Obviously some years are higher (brakes, replace an alternator, etc) while some are lower. Of course, if you take your car into the shop for every little thing you could end up paying a shite ton more.

But in my situation, the math seems pretty obvious to me. I've neglected insurance, but for me that's about $600 a year. Still doesn't really come close.
Posted by InCaliForNow
Member since Mar 2014
523 posts
Posted on 12/5/18 at 6:47 pm to
And did their analysis consider that Uber would be cheaper when they don’t pay drivers plus have lower insurance costs?
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