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re: Weather for Monday, May 20. Attention: N TX, Cen. OK, S KS High risk forecast

Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:23 pm to
Posted by WylieTiger
Member since Nov 2006
12929 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:23 pm to
About a month or 2 ago.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84585 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:25 pm to
Good news is the cell has looked worse and worse since that MSD was issued.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
140906 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:26 pm to
quote:

About a month or 2 ago.

ah yes... just found the TD thread on that particular tornado... definitely helped jog the memory
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
140906 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:31 pm to
Flash Flood Emergency in or near Tulsa

Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
140906 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:35 pm to
quote:



Mesoscale Discussion 0716
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1131 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

Areas affected...portions of west-central Texas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 202...

Valid 210431Z - 210530Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 202 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across WW 202.

DISCUSSION...A mix of cellular and linear modes continue to
migrate/propagate northeastward across WW 202 at this time. Storms,
however, are trending toward growing upscale, with outflow
boundaries becoming increasingly separated from heavier thunderstorm
cores except for a bowing segment located near Kent/Scurry Counties.
These storms remain in an unstable, strongly sheared environment and
will progress eastward into very strong low-level flow (60 knots at
850 hPa based on mesoanalyses), with damaging wind gusts, hail, and
isolated tornadoes remaining possible. Additionally development
appears likely to occur on the southern flank of the dominant linear
complex in western portions of the WW near a dryline extending from
MAF southward to about 30 N 6R6, and these storms will also likely
grow upscale into linear segments.

..Cook.. 05/21/2019
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
140906 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:37 pm to
re: the Flash Flood Emergency...

TWC saying boat rescues are happening in Hominy, OK... and they said something like 5 feet of water in some homes
if I heard correctly
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
140906 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:41 pm to
storm trying to hook back up as it approaches Bentonville?
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79032 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:45 pm to
Rotation in that storm approaching Norman?
Posted by Sao
East Texas Piney Woods
Member since Jun 2009
65559 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:45 pm to

Can you imagine if Walmart central systems went offline? That thing is so micromanaging it controls even the thermostats at each store remotely.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
140906 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:46 pm to
quote:



Mesoscale Discussion 0717
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1141 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

Areas affected...western north Texas into central and northeastern
Oklahoma

Concerning...Tornado Watch 203...

Valid 210441Z - 210545Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 203 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across WW 203

DISCUSSION...Storms have continued upscale growth into linear
segments - one over central Oklahoma from Logan to Grady Counties
and another couple of segments over western North Texas. Portions
of these segments are slightly elevated atop remnant cold pools from
earlier convection. At this time, the greatest severe threat
appears to be tied to convection that can ingest near surface-based
parcels and along the intersection of forward-propagating linear
segments and remnant outflow boundaries from earlier convection.
Storms continue in a moderately unstable and strongly sheared
environment, with a continued threat of hail, wind, and isolated
tornadoes through the next several hours.

..Cook.. 05/21/2019
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84585 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:46 pm to
Could be something brewing west of Ava, MO.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
140906 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:48 pm to
quote:

Can you imagine if Walmart central systems went offline? That thing is so micromanaging it controls even the thermostats at each store remotely.

damn... seriously?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
140906 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:49 pm to
quote:

NWS Tulsa @NWStulsa
[11:46 pm - 5/20/19] FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for parts of Tulsa, Rogers, Mayes, Wagoner counties. Widespread flooding is occurring and more heavy rainfall will move into these same areas soon. Move to higher ground if in a flood prone area! #okwx


Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
24619 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:53 pm to
Collinsville

Posted by GeauxGutsy
Member since Jul 2017
4708 posts
Posted on 5/20/19 at 11:57 pm to
quote:

damn... seriously?



Absolutely correct!
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
140906 posts
Posted on 5/21/19 at 12:20 am to
quote:



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 204
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1220 AM CDT Tue May 21 2019

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern Arkansas
Southern Missouri
Eastern Oklahoma

* Effective this Tuesday morning from 1220 AM until 800 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Periodic severe thunderstorms capable of mostly damaging
winds and some tornado risk will continue to favor a
southwest/northeast-oriented boundary through the overnight hours.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
north and south of a line from 10 miles north northeast of West
Plains MO to 20 miles north northwest of Mcalester OK. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 200...WW 201...WW
202...WW 203...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.

...Guyer
This post was edited on 5/21/19 at 12:27 am
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
140906 posts
Posted on 5/21/19 at 12:45 am to
Posted by strohmile126
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2008
425 posts
Posted on 5/21/19 at 1:14 am to
Checking In from Edmond, OK. Little bit of rain in bunches. Not much despite the TWC telling me we’re in a flash flood watch. Craved something sweet and went to the Sonic around the corner. They were closed. Tough times lol.
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
45050 posts
Posted on 5/21/19 at 3:40 am to
quote:

Craved something sweet and went to the Sonic around the corner. They were closed. Tough times lol.


Did you at least check knuckles with bum or crackhead on the street. A sonic visit should never be wasted.
Posted by joshwj93
Member since Feb 2019
627 posts
Posted on 5/21/19 at 10:50 am to
quote:

Wondering if Springfield, Mo. is going to see something tho




I live in Springfield, Lucas Oil Speedway in Wheatland got tore up pretty good and a coworker's husband and son got hurt pretty bad after their barn collasped on them.
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