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Started By
Message
re: TS Elsa - Heading off to the NE, Then Shut the Tropics Down for a Couple of Weeks
Posted on 7/6/21 at 4:59 pm to PsychTiger
Posted on 7/6/21 at 4:59 pm to PsychTiger
quote:
How hard is TWC praying it becomes a hurricane before landfall?
On the contrary, they said not to worry about the classification of the storm. That it will be a dangerous storm regardless so don’t pay attention to the label
Posted on 7/6/21 at 5:24 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
quote:
Mike Adcock
@MikeAdcockWx
Recon mission 14 set to depart momentarily to investigate #Elsa as it nears hurricane status. Another mission is on deck for early Wednesday morning before service resumes Thursday evening, if necessary.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 5:27 pm to Mr Clean
quote:
On the contrary, they said not to worry about the classification of the storm. That it will be a dangerous storm regardless so don’t pay attention to the label
They’re guarding against it not making hurricane status and trying to get you to tune in either way because your life is in danger.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 5:55 pm to CitizenK
quote:
CitizenK
quote:
Looks like the eye passing right next to this buoy. Under 50 kets sustained, not the 60 that NHC is saying.
quote:
Philippe Papin
@pppapin
Earlier, #Elsa passed directly over Buoy 42023 and recorded sustained winds of 58 kt gusting to 68 kt. Certainly some ground truth to verify the estimated 60 kt intensity right now.
Still forecast to become a #hurricane before landfall sometime in the next 12-18 hours.

Posted on 7/6/21 at 6:08 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Earlier, #Elsa passed directly over Buoy 42023 and recorded sustained winds of 58 kt gusting to 68 kt. Certainly some ground truth to verify the estimated 60 kt intensity right now.
Still forecast to become a #hurricane before landfall sometime in the next 12-18 hours.
If past performance by the NHC is any indication. They will wait until it is on land to give it the Hurricane designation as they did with Claudette when they gave it a name when it was on land near Houma. The alternative is that they wait until after the season is over like other storms to give it the upgrade, in 2005 Cindy was upgraded to a Hurricane after the storm season, and Zeta was upgraded to a Cat 3 at landfall after the season.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 6:16 pm to Tarps99
It looks rather decent on Tampa radar. It’s definitely getting more organized.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 6:23 pm to The Boat
It has that minimal hurricane look


Posted on 7/6/21 at 6:24 pm to The Boat
Agreed.
The fricking Euro...
The fricking Euro...
Posted on 7/6/21 at 6:26 pm to Duke
Tampa Bay is an extremely rare landfall area. It may go a little north but I hope it shoots the Bay just for the rarity of it.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 6:30 pm to The Boat
This path is the stuff of nightmares two categories higher.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 6:33 pm to Duke
Everyone absolutely lost their shite in 2004 because they thought that’s where Hurricane Charley was going before it turned to the west and made landfall farther south.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 6:45 pm to The Boat
It's time Boat.
Got an official Cane in the Gulf.
Got an official Cane in the Gulf.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 6:48 pm to Duke
quote:
National Hurricane Center
@NHC_Atlantic
Hurricane #Elsa Advisory 27A: Elsa Regains Hurricane Status Southwest of Tampa Bay. Reconnaissance Aircraft En Route to Investigate the Hurricane.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 6:49 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Yeah, going to be paying some attention to this recon.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 7:11 pm to Duke
One thing is for certain, Elsa just won't let it go.
That's my first and only Elsa joke. I haven't seen the movie, so I don't even know what it means.
That's my first and only Elsa joke. I haven't seen the movie, so I don't even know what it means.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 7:12 pm to Duke
quote:
It's time Boat.
Yes, yes it is.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 7:23 pm to Duke
A lot of FL folks expecting a nothingburger are in for a nice surprise
Posted on 7/6/21 at 7:25 pm to Cosmo
I do still wonder how much of the wind ends up getting to the ground fighting the shear as it is (kind of like Zeta last year) but yeah it's coming in hot.
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