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re: Tropical Storm Sara - The Final Countdown: Part Deux

Posted on 11/11/24 at 9:00 pm to
Posted by Z Cavaricci
Member since Jun 2020
1728 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 9:00 pm to
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
75469 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 9:01 pm to
quote:

This won't impact this weekend's game in the Swamp since High pressure will keep it pinned down there. It could impact Florida in the 7-10+ range.


Florida will chicken out just to be safe.

The WBB game is still on.
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
24337 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 3:45 am to
quote:

Dare I make a prediction on the last hurricane of the year????


Please do. I’ll be in Jamaica starting Friday and need you to reverse jinx this shite away
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7172 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 4:48 am to
GFS has thing going ham in the Western Caribbean
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
24337 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 4:53 am to
Yea, this has me a little concerned about our trip

Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
16670 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 6:36 am to
So per Jeff Masters, there have only been six November hurricanes in the GOM.

We’re about to have two consecutive major hurricanes in mid November in the same season.

If that model held true we might be looking at the strongest November storm on record.

Nov Hurricanes
Posted by Drank
Member since Jun 1864
Member since Dec 2012
11429 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 7:14 am to
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
24337 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 1:12 pm to
We now have invest 99L - will become Sara

Damn, models predicting this thing to intensify kinda quick and then just stall between Jamaica and Yucatán Peninsula for a couple days

This post was edited on 11/12/24 at 1:24 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20616 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 6:09 pm to
18z GFS going with a November Major in the Gulf a week from today.

Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
16670 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 6:11 pm to
GFS has been on this and no one’s talking about it because it’s November and people are getting ready for the holidays already.
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
24337 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

no one’s talking about it because it’s November and people are getting ready for the holidays already.


I said it late in the Rafael thread, this thing was coming from the same spot and people shunned it off...lol. West Coast of Florida gonna feel it next week
Posted by Meauxjeaux
98836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
43408 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 7:45 pm to
Sarah!
Posted by Dtbtiger
Member since Oct 2024
128 posts
Posted on 11/13/24 at 8:48 am to
Cuba needs to take one for the team
Posted by friendlyobservation
Member since Mar 2024
1378 posts
Posted on 11/13/24 at 11:51 am to
Trump will nuke this and protect god's country across the Gulf
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
40508 posts
Posted on 11/13/24 at 11:52 am to
quote:

18z GFS going with a November Major in the Gulf a week from today.



Posted by TheosDeddy
Member since May 2024
715 posts
Posted on 11/13/24 at 12:01 pm to
Would the cooler air moving in destroy this once it gets into the gulf?

Also I'm a weather idiot
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
38471 posts
Posted on 11/13/24 at 12:02 pm to
Going to Miami for a long weekend a week from tomorrow. Am I good?
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
5052 posts
Posted on 11/13/24 at 12:33 pm to
I’m rooting for thanksgiving landfall to make it onto the bingo card.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
66136 posts
Posted on 11/13/24 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

Would the cooler air moving in destroy this once it gets into the gulf?

Most model guidance right now seems to favor keeping it in the BoC, eventually moving it across the Yucatan. That serves to keep it weaker, and when it turns north into the Gulf the advancing cold front sweeps it up, limiting any reorganization or strengthening. It winds up a scattered, strung out mess into Florida.
Posted by DMagic
#ChowderPosse
Member since Aug 2010
48841 posts
Posted on 11/13/24 at 2:24 pm to
I’ll be in Disney all next week so this looks to potentially bone that trip
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