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Posted on 7/22/20 at 8:20 am to deltaland
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/7/23 at 3:31 pm
Posted on 7/22/20 at 8:24 am to msutiger
Yeah the dry air is going to suppress Gonzalo for now but if it fights it off I could see it quickly intensifying.
Posted on 7/22/20 at 8:25 am to notiger1997
FACT that is what is forecast
Posted on 7/22/20 at 8:40 am to rds dc
Gonzalo looks pretty healthy this morning. Getting some good banding going and seems like the dry air nearby isn't much of an issue currently.
Think it's got a decent shot at making cane before hitting all the hostility going into the weekend.
Think it's got a decent shot at making cane before hitting all the hostility going into the weekend.
Posted on 7/22/20 at 8:54 am to Duke
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:00 am to Duke
CMC had Gonzalo developing for awhile now while the GFS and Euro had this storm as barely a blob up until a day or so ago.
May be a trend in the early season of under reporting the intensity of these storms where usually we get a more extreme intensity.
May be a trend in the early season of under reporting the intensity of these storms where usually we get a more extreme intensity.
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:02 am to CitizenK
I’ve been here for a long time. Over a decade. That’s a lot of Hurricane seasons.
Every single year, there’s some dope that comes into these threads to discount or dismiss every update posted while posting in a condescending tone.
I wonder the reasoning behind this.
I guess the other side of the coin is that wishcasters exist too. But these guys show up way before the wishcasters.
Every single year, there’s some dope that comes into these threads to discount or dismiss every update posted while posting in a condescending tone.
I wonder the reasoning behind this.
I guess the other side of the coin is that wishcasters exist too. But these guys show up way before the wishcasters.
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:16 am to Prominentwon
I survived Audrey. I neither overhype nor underhype
These younger baws are all about the excitement, or so it seems. They likely have led rather boring lives.
I also mucked out a foot of mud on the floors of lake camps after Carla, here in Louisiana.
I gutted properties we owned in NOLA post Katrina and worked my axx with another 8 hours daily after my day job another 3 months.
Then had to redo my roof including rafters after Gustav.
Go back to your video games little baw
These younger baws are all about the excitement, or so it seems. They likely have led rather boring lives.
I also mucked out a foot of mud on the floors of lake camps after Carla, here in Louisiana.
I gutted properties we owned in NOLA post Katrina and worked my axx with another 8 hours daily after my day job another 3 months.
Then had to redo my roof including rafters after Gustav.
Go back to your video games little baw
This post was edited on 7/22/20 at 9:22 am
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:17 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
I’ve already cancelled my non-existent trip to Punta Cana just in case.
damnit you beat me to it!
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:24 am to CitizenK
quote:
This younger baws are all about the excitement, or so it seems. They likely have led rather boring lives.
Maybe they have an interest in following and tracking storms. Maybe, JUST MAYBE, one or two of them actually make a living in the meteorology field?
Maybe you should pay attention to the people that posts in these threads and then you’d get a better idea of who’s who in these threads and who to ignore.
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:27 am to CitizenK
quote:
I survived Audrey. I neither overhype nor underhype
These younger baws are all about the excitement, or so it seems. They likely have led rather boring lives.
I also mucked out a foot of mud on the floors of lake camps after Carla, here in Louisiana.
I gutted properties we owned in NOLA post Katrina and worked my axx with another 8 hours daily after my day job another 3 months.
Then had to redo my roof including rafters after Gustav.
Go back to your video games little baw
Wow! You're like the Rambo of Hurricanes! No wonder you know what's going to happen 10 days out, probably an expert forecaster by now after all that....um....construction experience?
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:29 am to CitizenK
quote:Where were you?
I survived Audrey.
There's a poster on the poli board that claims to have "survived" Audrey, and laughs it off like it was nothing. He was in New Iberia -- 100 miles from landfall.
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:33 am to rmnldr
quote:
Looks like we should have Gonzalo today.
ETA; Hurricane status today seems very possible
I almost had a chuckle at Levi's video last night when he discussed the HWRF model with now-Gonzalo (it was TD7 at the time the video was posted and I watched it)
but he brought up the possibility of Gonzalo getting near hurricane strength and that if it did the storm would better be able to fight off the intrusion of dry Saharan air
where is Gonzalo lat/long wise as it relates to that push of Saharan air? b/c if the storm can get to the back side of it... it would end up in more favorable conditions than was expected last night
This post was edited on 7/22/20 at 9:34 am
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:36 am to rt3
quote:
now-Gonzalo (it was TD7 at the time the video was posted and I watched it)
Thank God you clarified that, phew.
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:56 am to toosleaux
quote:
National Hurricane Center
@NHC_Atlantic
Tropical Storm #Gonzalo Advisory 4: Gonzalo Continuing to Strengthen. Expected to Become a Hurricane By Thursday.
This post was edited on 7/22/20 at 10:07 am
Posted on 7/22/20 at 10:09 am to Bobby OG Johnson
This is becoming worst case scenario now. If it reaches hurricane status it can fight off that Sahara air and get into the northern Caribbean behind it into a more favorable atmosphere. Then that opens up a gulf possibility
Posted on 7/22/20 at 10:11 am to deltaland
quote:
This is becoming worst case scenario now. If it reaches hurricane status it can fight off that Sahara air and get into the northern Caribbean behind it into a more favorable atmosphere. Then that opens up a gulf possibility
Oh geez. Just be patient my dude
Posted on 7/22/20 at 10:14 am to deltaland
quote:
This is becoming worst case scenario now. If it reaches hurricane status it can fight off that Sahara air and get into the northern Caribbean behind it into a more favorable atmosphere. Then that opens up a gulf possibility
this storm could end up being one that meteorologists look at extensively once hurricane season ends
the way no one saw it forming until it was already a tropical cyclone
the way it seems to be strengthening when it wasn't expected to... and doing so quite quickly
the way it may be able to fight off dry air intrusion long enough if that indeed does happen
even if it doesn't make a "significant" landfall... it'll be worth giving an extensive look after everything's done
Posted on 7/22/20 at 10:22 am to rt3
Or it might fizzle out quicker than an Apollo Crews push
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