re: Tropical Storm Debby - Flooding Threat Slowly Shifting NE

Posted by Rick9Plus

Baton Rouge

Member since Jul 2020

2500 posts

Posted on 8/2/24 at 10:27 am to Paul Allen

quote:
They do but usually not this fast.

Yeah, that’s why i didn’t want to advise my son to cut his vacation short. I guess you pay your money and you take your chances when going tropical in late July. Sorry for calling you guys useless. I’ll keep you posted on how it goes. He’s my straight one and is there with his gf so hopefully not too many sweaty ripped guys.

Posted by Mr Roboto

Seattle

Member since Jan 2023

8153 posts

Posted on 8/2/24 at 10:32 am to LSUEnvy

15 inches just off the coast of the Carolinas

Posted by TackySweater

Member since Dec 2020

24650 posts

Posted on 8/2/24 at 10:38 am to rds dc

Baton Rouge 10 day forecast is showing zero rain.

Do they think this will just go east more

3 ...

Posted by Tigris

Cloud Cuckoo Land

Member since Jul 2005

13135 posts

Posted on 8/2/24 at 10:47 am to Norla

quote:
I have family in Alligator Point, and Panacea.

I'm between them. It's a great area to get away from it all.

Posted by Hold That Tiger 10

Member since Oct 2013

25482 posts

Posted on 8/2/24 at 10:47 am to TackySweater

quote:
Baton Rouge 10 day forecast is showing zero rain.

Do they think this will just go east more

I mean take a look at the various pictures posted, which show it going into Florida and up the east coast. Are you really confused about why it won't rain in Baton Rouge?

Posted by Cosmo

glassman's guest house

Member since Oct 2003

131565 posts

Posted on 8/2/24 at 10:51 am to TackySweater

quote:
Baton Rouge 10 day forecast is showing zero rain.

Wut? Pretty sure its gonna rain tomorrow

Posted by BZ504

Texas

Member since Oct 2005

13621 posts

Posted on 8/2/24 at 10:51 am to Mr Roboto

Disney World will be fun for anyone going to Sunday.

Posted by Norla

Member since Aug 2016

477 posts

Posted on 8/2/24 at 11:09 am to Tigris

quote:
I'm between them. It's a great area to get away from it all.

Yeah, we get down there a few times a year, and love it.

We usually go scalloping out of Port St. Joe, or Cape San Blas every year, but not going this year.

Posted by deltaland

Member since Mar 2011

102715 posts

Posted on 8/2/24 at 11:37 am to LegendInMyMind

quote:
No, it went from the potential of catastrophic flooding IF it stalled which was a legitimate possibility (and still is on the table to an extent) to a more normal, quicker moving system. If that stall happened, especially the way it was modeled for a bit, it wouldn't have mattered how "strong" the system was.

If yall would have listened to my CFP models at the start of the thread (catfish pond models) instead of the “scientists” “experts” and “global models” you’d know already this was going to be weak system. Sigh

Posted by LegendInMyMind

Member since Apr 2019

75137 posts

Posted on 8/2/24 at 11:43 am to TackySweater

quote:
Baton Rouge 10 day forecast is showing zero rain.

Do they think this will just go east more

Any rain BR gets over that time period will more likely be associated with the front/trough sweeping through the SE. That's the trough that should pull the storm NE.

Posted by 1609tiger

Member since Feb 2011

3808 posts

Posted on 8/2/24 at 11:50 am to rds dc

Still too early to say that. A circulation is forming SOUTH of Cuba. Could pull the system more west than the recent models.

This post was edited on 8/2/24 at 11:53 am

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Posted by Funky Tide 8

Bayou Chico

Member since Feb 2009

56861 posts

Posted on 8/2/24 at 12:05 pm to sta4ever

quote:
Damn. I’m going to Panama City today and wasn’t planning on leaving until Sunday evening lol.

You should be fine. I'm about to head to Grayton until Sunday as well.

Posted by rds dc

Member since Jun 2008

21522 posts

Posted on 8/2/24 at 12:37 pm to 1609tiger

quote:
Still too early to say that. A circulation is forming SOUTH of Cuba. Could pull the system more west than the recent models.

It might not make a big difference b/c the trough is digging deep enough to erode the western edge of the ridge. The 12z Euro seems to have a pretty good handle on things and is only a bit SW of the 00z run through 48hrs. However, b/c of the shape of the coastline it could allow it to strengthen more and head into the Big Bend.

Posted by lsuman25

Erwinville

Member since Aug 2013

43295 posts

Posted on 8/2/24 at 12:48 pm to rds dc

Probabaly won't make too big of a diffenrece but seems for the short term it wants to be on the left side of the cone .