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re: Tropical Storm Claudette - Heading Out Sea

Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:30 pm to
Posted by BPTiger
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2011
6047 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:30 pm to
Can everyone smarter than me explain why they give it a 90% chance of development in 5 days? On day 5 it will be cruising through the Appalachians.

Why are they offering % chance of development days and days and days after it is inland?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:35 pm to
It's a two and a five day window from the NHC. So anything over two days gets swept into the five days.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71813 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:47 pm to
quote:

Is that Childish Gambino?

Yeah. He was on the show Community. Pretty good/funny show from a few years ago.
Posted by BPTiger
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2011
6047 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 12:30 am to
This makes sense. Thank you.

ETA: I’ll just add that only Duke replied so he is the only person smarter than me.
This post was edited on 6/17/21 at 12:32 am
Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
14311 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 5:02 am to
quote:

Can everyone smarter than me explain why they give it a 90% chance of development in 5 days? On day 5 it will be cruising through the Appalachians.


Tomorrow is day five. We’ve been looking at the same shite all week.
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
42889 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 5:06 am to
Any Thursday morning updates yet?
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16037 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 5:28 am to
I found this

This post was edited on 6/17/21 at 5:29 am
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16037 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 5:31 am to

And this


TAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jun 17 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad low pressure area located over the eastern portion of the
Bay of Campeche is producing widespread cloudiness and disorganized
showers and a few thunderstorms. This system will move little
today, and little if any development is expected during that time
due to interaction with land and unfavorable upper-level winds.
However, the low should begin to move northward by this afternoon,
and a tropical or subtropical depression is likely to form by late
tonight or on Friday when the low moves across the western Gulf of
Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon, if
necessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continue
over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next
few days. Heavy rains should also begin to affect portions of the
northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult products from your
local meteorological service for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Stewart
Posted by paperwasp
2x HRV 2025 Poster of the Year
Member since Sep 2014
29022 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 5:54 am to
Total precip through Sunday morning



Total precip through Tuesday morning

Posted by rmc
Truth or Consequences
Member since Sep 2004
27253 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 5:56 am to
Op needs to have better graphics in the op. I use to be able to open these when I woke up to see projected path. Op dropping the ball.
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 6:04 am to
OP isn’t dropping anything. There is no projected path or cone because it isn’t even a disturbance yet. The red blob is the best you’ll get until then.
Posted by rmc
Truth or Consequences
Member since Sep 2004
27253 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 6:05 am to
Nah this last page proved otherwise. Sick of op being lazy. Some admin needs to ban him.
Posted by iliveinabox
in a box
Member since Aug 2011
24136 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 6:08 am to
Hope they ban you
Posted by rmc
Truth or Consequences
Member since Sep 2004
27253 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 6:09 am to
Idc
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
42889 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 6:10 am to
Soooooo looking like I can maybe play golf tomorrow now?
Posted by Riolobo
On the lake
Member since Mar 2017
5134 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 6:17 am to
This seems like the storm that was talked about for a week that really never was a storm
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
42889 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 6:18 am to
Lol yeah I keep checking thinking it would be named and it’s still at a %... ??
Posted by Lithium
Member since Dec 2004
64032 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 6:18 am to
quote:

these systems shouldn't get names.


Insurance doesn’t have to pay for a “named” storm
Posted by Bigfishchoupique
Member since Jul 2017
9481 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 6:22 am to
Looks like Mandeville is going to catch it.
Posted by baseballmind1212
Missouri City
Member since Feb 2011
3379 posts
Posted on 6/17/21 at 7:28 am to
quote:

rmc


Shut your mouth.

If you are too stupid to understand why the OP has what he has, that is not his fault
This post was edited on 6/17/21 at 7:29 am
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