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re: Tropical Storm Claudette - Heading Out Sea

Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:32 am to
Posted by Swagga
504
Member since Dec 2009
19209 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:32 am to
my fiancé is stressed about this and talking about losing power.



I come here and it’s 20 mph gusts.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75038 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:35 am to
06z GFS 24Hr rain totals through the 21st. This run keeps the heaviest rain to the East, as it did on the 18z run. The Eastern turn the system makes is farther North now with Central AL seeing the heaviest rain.

Being that AL has been removed from the map, no one knows how this will effect surrounding states.
This post was edited on 6/16/21 at 11:37 am
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36223 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:38 am to
I’m supposed to be going to NOLA for a wedding on Friday. I guess I’ll need to turn on my Alanis Morisette
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21493 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:42 am to
Models in pretty good agreement on a late season cool front.



Also, not much change in thinking on 92L with a sloppy system coming north with rainfall displaced off to the east of the track.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:43 am to
quote:

Models in pretty good agreement on a late season cool front.

rds bringing us some good news in a hurricane thread
Posted by redneck
Los Suenos, Costa Rica
Member since Dec 2003
54180 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:49 am to
what kind of storm surge are the TD weather experts thinking this will bring to coastal areas in Louisiana and Mississippi? Thanks
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
43143 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:49 am to
cool front meaning........80 degrees instead of 95?
Posted by Blutarsky
112th Congress
Member since Jan 2004
11726 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:53 am to
Post to get it off that devil number.
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
172116 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:54 am to
LETS GOOOOO
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
172116 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:55 am to
Probably like mid 80s with waaaaay lower humidity

Inject that shite. Lows near 60 too
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
43143 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 11:57 am to
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36223 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

Models in pretty good agreement on a late season cool front.
This post was edited on 6/16/21 at 12:01 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75038 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

Models in pretty good agreement on a late season cool front.

Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 12:11 pm to


A few days of straight hair weather
Posted by chicano12
Member since Jun 2010
1003 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 12:16 pm to
Or an early cool front, if you think about it.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14263 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 12:17 pm to
Messy, but a lot of convection building



Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16381 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

10-15 mph with gusts as high as 20mph. Batten down your hatches!


We had worse weather several weeks ago when that wierd storm came through and sunk the lift boat
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75038 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 12:20 pm to
And the 12z GFS comes through with a similar run for 24hr totals through the 21st. This is 3 or 4 consecutive runs we have seen that keep the heaviest rain/highest totals to the East.


I'm posting the 24hr accumulation model because it illustrates that this will likely be a Flash Flooding event with heavy rain moving though quickly. These runs could be a big issue for areas of MS and AL that have already seen large amounts of rain this month.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51685 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 12:24 pm to
12z GFS track dumps a ton of rain on me after I've already had just over 4 inches of rain in the last 10 days.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75038 posts
Posted on 6/16/21 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

We had worse weather several weeks ago when that wierd storm came through and sunk the lift boat


Well, yeah....that wake low produced winds equivalent to a Cat. 3 hurricane. 117 mph was the max gust that was measured.
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