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re: Tropical Storm Cindy

Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:23 pm to
Posted by PhillyTiger90
Not Phillytiger9
Member since Dec 2015
11827 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:23 pm to
Supposed to be flying into Nola tomorrow evening from Detroit around 9:00pm

Should I be expecting any major problems?
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 10:24 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:25 pm to
quote:

Looks like its stalling off the coast for a day, so it's possible. Maybe not 20 but 15, 2-4 inches per hour on and off for 24 hours.



I don't want to compare this to a once-in-a-lifetime event like August 2016, but FWIW, this was the forecast two days before the rain started in August:



Lafayette got 20".

The point being, predicting heavy rainfall is much easier than predicting precisely how heavy and persistent that rainfall will be. If you end up underneath a band that trains for hours, you'll get the 13-14 inches that was supposed to be offshore.
Posted by Oyster
North Shore
Member since Feb 2009
10225 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:25 pm to
quote:

starts at 0:00z (7:00 PM central) and goes 60 hours into the future.


Is z time 24 hours per day?
Is z time 5 hours ahead of CDT.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10128 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:27 pm to
Anyone handing out sand bags in BR yet?
Posted by CorkSoaker
Member since Oct 2008
9823 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:28 pm to
Wondering the same thing about driving from Biloxi to New Orleans on Thursday and then flight to Orlando
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:29 pm to
quote:

Is z time 24 hours per day?
Is z time 5 hours ahead of CDT.


Yes and yes.
Posted by chicano12
Member since Jun 2010
1003 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:29 pm to
A couple of fire stations are. You have too fill them up yourself as of earlier this evening.
Posted by Yellerhammer5
Member since Oct 2012
11016 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:29 pm to
quote:

Is z time 24 hours per day?
Is z time 5 hours ahead of CDT.


Yeah, universal time is usually given in military time. Right the central time zone is -5. Right now its 03:29 6/20/17 UTC time.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:39 pm to
While the WPS was cautious, the Euro had swide areas getting 20 inches by this point.
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:40 pm to
My BR->CBD commute will be interesting this week
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:41 pm to
You can set your desktop to display UTC time
Posted by Large Farva
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2013
8723 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:44 pm to
Is nola going to get bent over?
Posted by LSUperior
Member since Aug 2009
1242 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:52 pm to
So what part of the state is going to get the worst (most rain) of this system as of now? Lafayette, Baton Rouge, New Orleans, Slidell, Gulfport (Mississippi)?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:08 pm to
quote:

So what part of the state is going to get the worst (most rain) of this system as of now? Lafayette, Baton Rouge, New Orleans, Slidell, Gulfport (Mississippi)?



This is the total rainfall forecast from the most recent GFS run, through 7 PM Friday evening.



It is one of many models, but it would suggest the main rain even will be on the eastern side of the state. 60 miles one way or the other could make a big difference.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131313 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:13 pm to
Looking like SE LA will get the possible foot or more of rain

Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51676 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:17 pm to
00z GFS:

Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131313 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:23 pm to
Looks like nola will get to test the pumps theyve dumped millions into
Posted by Mouthulcer
Metairie
Member since Feb 2015
639 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:27 pm to
The lake Barrier (aka lake pontchartrain) is going to pull the bad weather around New Orleans. It does it all week every week. The brunt of every storm goes north of Nola and the lake and hammers the north shore. LAKE BARRIER!
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 11:29 pm
Posted by Tigerbait337
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2008
20535 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:57 pm to
Could be delayed... the rain starts tomorrow morning in NOLA
Posted by T8KIT3ASY
BR
Member since Dec 2012
35 posts
Posted on 6/20/17 at 12:33 am to
My girlfriend is driving from Baton Rouge to Gulf Shores tomorrow. What would be the best time for her to make that trip? Or is that a bad idea?
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