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Started By
Message
re: Tropical Storm Cindy
Posted on 6/19/17 at 9:51 pm to Creamer
Posted on 6/19/17 at 9:51 pm to Creamer
quote:
20" across a large area is still highly unlikely.
That's what I'm saying.
I made a post laying down the scenario that would really get me worried here in BR, not that I think it's a reasonable scenario.
0
Posted on 6/19/17 at 9:51 pm to Creamer
quote:
Potential TS Cindy - NHC to begin Issuing Advisories- Potentially Flooding Rains
20" across a large area is still highly unlikely. If you are just speaking in hypotheticals, yeah it would suck, but it is still just an unlikely hypothetical.
Looks like its stalling off the coast for a day, so it's possible. Maybe not 20 but 15, 2-4 inches per hour on and off for 24 hours.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 9:51 pm to Duke
Hurricanes generally dont hang around and rain themselves out like the sloppy disorganized storms. You may get other kinds of damage but not the massive rainfall.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 9:54 pm to Jim Rockford
You're right Jim. It's a worst case hypothetical.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 9:55 pm to slackster
985 mb? This little thing might rev up
Posted on 6/19/17 at 9:56 pm to slackster
985mb would be a hurricane.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 9:58 pm to The Boat
Take that pressure from the HRRR with a grain of salt. It's designed for severe weather and thundeestorms, not for tropical system intensity.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:03 pm to The Boat
quote:
985 mb? This little thing might rev up
That model isn't really designed for hurricane strengths, but its short-term radar forecast abilities is pretty impressive.
This is the most recent NAM, a similar style model, through 7 AM Thursday morning.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:05 pm to slackster
Holly Beach bout to get rekt
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:05 pm to rds dc
At least it appears to be moving fast and won't linger over the coast.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:08 pm to t00f
Moving NNW at 8 mph
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:09 pm to StrongBackWeakMind
"Feeder bands" or in this case a large amount of tropical moisture is already sitting off the mouth of the river so I would say by 6-8 am it will be affecting the coast of LA
ETA: love the downvote for looking at a current radar and seeing a band already off the mouth of the river lol
ETA: love the downvote for looking at a current radar and seeing a band already off the mouth of the river lol
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 10:15 pm
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:11 pm to slackster
Forgive my ignorance, the last image before the gif restarts is 2pm tomorrow?
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:12 pm to Ba Ba Boooey
Is there any storm surge expected from this little storm. Debating if I need to pull my boat off of grand isle
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:12 pm to Ba Ba Boooey
Thanks. I'm heading down now to move some boats and motors to higher ground.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:14 pm to HeadBusta4LSU
From what I've seen earlier in the thread and on local news was 3-4 foot rise along the coast and western lake ponchartrain and lake maurepas
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:15 pm to jlc05
quote:
Moving NNW at 8 mph
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:16 pm to StrongBackWeakMind
quote:
Forgive my ignorance, the last image before the gif restarts is 2pm tomorrow?
It starts at 0:00z (7:00 PM central) and goes 60 hours into the future.
Sorry I thought you were talking about the longer one, Yes you are correct.
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 10:19 pm
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:19 pm to Yellerhammer5
ETA: never mind 
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 10:20 pm
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:20 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:maybe not generally but I sure remember Isaac
Hurricanes generally dont hang around and rain themselves out like the sloppy disorganized storms. You may get other kinds of damage but not the massive rainfall.
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