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re: Tornado! Threat Continues Overnight then Shifts East Tomorrow

Posted on 4/1/17 at 7:23 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19809 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 7:23 pm to
1st of what might be many warnings over the next couple of days

Posted by 3deadtrolls
lafayette
Member since Jan 2014
5701 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 7:27 pm to
How screwed is Lafayette?
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40093 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 7:41 pm to
rds do you have links to anything better than intellicast or wunderground for the non-weatherman folk?
Posted by Fatty Magoo
USA
Member since Nov 2015
1025 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 7:44 pm to
Does not look pleasant.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19809 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 7:51 pm to
quote:

links to anything better than intellicast or wunderground for the non-weatherman folk?


This is a LINK to the HRRR model. It updates every hour and runs out to 18 hrs. It is a pretty good short range simulated radar model.
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
11431 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 8:16 pm to
Was surprised we didn't have one issued a couple of days ago...pretty rare
Posted by LSUperior
Member since Aug 2009
1237 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 8:38 pm to
So does anybody know what time tomorrow will the weather start getting bad around the Lafayette area?
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 8:52 pm to
quote:

So does anybody know what time tomorrow will the weather start getting bad around the Lafayette area?



Plan to be home and off the road by 3pm.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35619 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:15 pm to
Assuming I got a little more time to get back to BR from NO.

That sounding you posted for Houma on page one, that can't be real.
Posted by saintsfan92612
Taiwan
Member since Oct 2008
28877 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:16 pm to
yeah, I am gonna head West to Big Bend and come back to NOLA on Tuesday
Posted by oVo
Member since Dec 2013
11802 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:33 pm to
This is fricking great, flying from Houston to Nola at 5 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42406 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:34 pm to
quote:

rds do you have links to anything better than intellicast or wunderground for the non-weatherman folk?

I would suggest getting RadarScope for your phone or tablet. Very good quality, single site radar app. It costs $10, but it's worth it. Many in the Weather community use it, but it is good even for non-weatherman folk.
This post was edited on 4/1/17 at 9:37 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42406 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:43 pm to
Since there are a lot of people here who are in the threat areas for the next couple of days, I want to remind everyone to have a way to get watches/warnings. Don't rely on tornado sirens, you should have a NOAA Weather Radio or an app that can alert you (or have both). A great app that me and my family use is called Weather Radio by WDT it costs $4.99, but is worth it. The app tracks your GPS location. If you're in the warning polygon the app warns you, if you're not, it doesn't bother you. You can customize what type of warnings you want to recieve. You can view radar in the same app, as well.

Just don't want to hear that someone lost their life because they didn't get the warning.
This post was edited on 4/1/17 at 9:45 pm
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:45 pm to
quote:


That sounding you posted for Houma on page one, that can't be real.


It's just the NAM model, and it's shown for 5 runs in a row. I'm concerned at how consistent it is.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:47 pm to
Weather radios are really amazing. I advocate for everyone in America to have one. They're just as important as smoke detectors.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42406 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:53 pm to
quote:

Weather radios are really amazing. I advocate for everyone in America to have one. They're just as important as smoke detectors.

They really are. They are very effective, and most importantly, they are loud enough to wake you up if severe weather happens during the night. I honestly wish every household had one.

The only thing I want improved with them is that they eventually become warning polygon based (like apps are) and not county/parish based. But still they are great and effective.
This post was edited on 4/1/17 at 9:55 pm
Posted by DoctorTechnical
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2009
2794 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:55 pm to
Gotta respect the polygon
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42406 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:56 pm to
quote:

Gotta respect the polygon

Amen to that.

Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:56 pm to
https://www.ustornadoes.com/2017/04/01/tornado-threat-special-update-april-2-2017/



We have a setup across the south-central U.S. on Sunday that could prove to be one of the biggest tornado producing days of the year, to date. However, there are multiple limiting factors that could throw various-sized wrenches into the system, which could prevent it from reaching its maximum tornado potential. Let’s dive in.

NUMBER OF TORNADOES EXPECTED: 30-75 – CONFIDENCE: Normal
Tornado Hot-spot: Eastern Texas, Louisiana

Pros: Moderate to high instability, good/excellent speed and directional shear, decent upper-level dynamics, and excellent low-level moisture.

Cons: Extensive cloud cover, some low-level capping, potential for veer-back-veer wind profiles in the western parts of the threat area, and potential for storms to grow upscale quickly. All risk limiting the amount of long-lived supercells.
Posted by TigerinPurgatory
Picayune
Member since Dec 2014
467 posts
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:59 pm to
quote:

How screwed is Lafayette?


6-8" of rain 5/10 severe weather / tornado
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