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Started By
Message
re: Tornado! Outbreak Underway New PDS Watch for South LA, MS, & AL
Posted on 12/12/22 at 7:23 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 12/12/22 at 7:23 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
as somebody who has experienced -25 with wind chills of -40+ That's all?
1
Posted on 12/12/22 at 7:29 pm to deltaland
Posted on 12/12/22 at 7:47 pm to gaetti15
Pulling soundings from the 00z HRRR. It is a believer in an early morning severe threat into SE Louisiana. Hell, it has 72°/70° at 6AM with a broken line of supercells moving in. It would be a hell of an environment if it doesn't form an actual line earlier. Even if it does form a line, it will be rocking for sure.
Posted on 12/12/22 at 7:51 pm to LegendInMyMind
Pulling soundings from the 00z HRRR. It is a believer in an early morning severe threat into SE Louisiana.
yeahhhhh that's sketch
yeahhhhh that's sketch
Posted on 12/12/22 at 7:56 pm to Duke
quote:
This is a reminder the extreme cold solutions on the models require snow cover.
So you are saying that we need to have snow on the ground in order to get extreme cold?
Because I can remember a number of times it has gotten into the single digits and we never got a single flake.
Posted on 12/12/22 at 7:57 pm to Ponchy Tiger
quote:
Because I can remember a number of times it has gotten into the single digits and we never got a single flake.
Where are you talking about?
Posted on 12/12/22 at 8:00 pm to Ponchy Tiger
quote:
Because I can remember a number of times it has gotten into the single digits and we never got a single flake.
In Ponchatoula?
Posted on 12/12/22 at 8:03 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Pulling soundings from the 00z HRRR. It is a believer in an early morning severe threat into SE Louisiana. Hell, it has 72°/70° at 6AM with a broken line of supercells moving in.
Are you talking early morning tomorrow or Wednesday?
Posted on 12/12/22 at 8:08 pm to Ponchy Tiger
quote:We had a low of 15 in 1996 with no snow prior to that reading.
Because I can remember a number of times it has gotten into the single digits and we never got a single flake.
What about 1989? I'm pretty sure that was all dry and Baton Rouge got down to 8 or 9 degrees.
Posted on 12/12/22 at 8:08 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Storms tomorrow, tornadoes possible. East TX and all of Northern Lousiana.
Sorry to bother you if you’ve already answered this, but what about greater BR area? Tuesday night or Wednesday day? Severe or just a chance
of severe? I know N LA is under the gun. Just wondering if I should keep the horses in the barn or turn them out Tuesday.
Posted on 12/12/22 at 8:16 pm to tigerinthebueche
quote:
Sorry to bother you if you’ve already answered this, but what about greater BR area? Tuesday night or Wednesday day? Severe or just a chance
of severe? I know N LA is under the gun. Just wondering if I should keep the horses in the barn or turn them out Tuesday.
It'll be early morning, and there will be a chance of severe. How legit the tornado risk will be, I don't think anyone will be able to say until we start seeing how things are playing out. In the grand scheme of things, BR isn't far removed from the Enhanced Risk area. I wouldn't be surprised to see it get expanded South a bit. I don't really know what will be best for the horses.
This post was edited on 12/12/22 at 8:17 pm
Posted on 12/12/22 at 8:17 pm to bayoubengals88
quote:
What about 1989? I'm pretty sure that was all dry and Baton Rouge got down to 8 or 9 degrees.
Iirc, it snowed in Covington in 89.
Posted on 12/12/22 at 8:17 pm to shiftworker
quote:
Are you talking early morning tomorrow or Wednesday?
Wednesday.
Posted on 12/12/22 at 8:51 pm to LegendInMyMind
0z HRRR with some nasty supercells along I-20
Posted on 12/12/22 at 8:52 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Pulling soundings from the 00z HRRR. It is a believer in an early morning severe threat into SE Louisiana. Hell, it has 72°/70° at 6AM with a broken line of supercells moving in.
18z HRRR fricked Baton Rouge in the arse around noon Wednesday.
Posted on 12/12/22 at 8:58 pm to The Boat
It’s been awhile since Baton Rouge got legit severe weather, everything lately has been to our north. Hope this doesn’t catch people off guard
Posted on 12/12/22 at 9:03 pm to LegendInMyMind
Thanks 
Posted on 12/12/22 at 9:05 pm to LegendInMyMind
Soundings are looking better (worse) for north LA. Nice dry slot. Way more CAPE now. Hodographs kind of go flat though
Posted on 12/12/22 at 9:07 pm to bayoubengals88
quote:
We had a low of 15 in 1996 with no snow prior to that reading.
I remember not getting out of the 20's during the day in that blast...in SWLA
Posted on 12/12/22 at 9:13 pm to The Boat
74/70 with 2,000+ CAPE and 179 3CAPE at 10am in December.
I saved that one just for funsies.
It does show a primed environment, at least.
I saved that one just for funsies.
It does show a primed environment, at least.
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