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re: The craziest/best poker call I've ever seen (270k pot)

Posted on 10/2/22 at 10:43 am to
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
41825 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 10:43 am to
I asked this question earlier, is there any evidence the woman cheated throughout the session? One hand is one hand, if she was cheating you’d have hours of tape to analyze to see if she was playing as if she knew something.
Posted by lance814
Member since Feb 2013
807 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 10:46 am to
quote:

I asked this question earlier, is there any evidence the woman cheated throughout the session? One hand is one hand, if she was cheating you’d have hours of tape to analyze to see if she was playing as if she knew something.


She’s only played on the stream 3 times. There’s 36 hands that berkey and his crew were supposed to be analyzing last night.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
41825 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 10:51 am to
quote:

She’s only played on the stream 3 times. There’s 36 hands that berkey and his crew were supposed to be analyzing last night.


That would shed some light on this thing. Keep us posted.
Posted by Seeing Grey
Member since Sep 2015
794 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 10:53 am to
quote:

There’s a lot of poker ignorance in this thread


It's funny, reading the OT, you know a lot of people are full of shite. It's not until there's a thread about something you know in depth that the OT really shines.

Posted by tigerinthebayou
Member since Oct 2009
2199 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 11:00 am to
quote:

Say she was cheating. Then there has to be other hands in this session where she makes the right call, or lay down.
Was she winning? Winning big? Had she sniffed out other bluffs?
I’m sure she wouldn’t cheat on this one hand and no others. What does the whole tape show?



No this was the point the announcer made. Earlier she had made a call drawing dead. Obviously if you're cheating in any way you don't make a call like that. Now of course you could do it to look legit later on.

The consensus now seems to be that she misread her hand and thought she had J3. She's said that and other players agree. But the problem is you see her checking her cards multiple times before she makes the call so that would invalidate that to me somewhat.
Posted by HangmanPage1
Wild West
Member since Aug 2021
2035 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 11:03 am to
quote:

That's not a lucky call, it was an idiotic call. Not even the worst of the worst poker player would make that call. It makes absolutely no sense.
Sometimes that works because you don’t expect it.
Posted by tigerinthebayou
Member since Oct 2009
2199 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 11:14 am to
I agree with Negreanus take as well. He likes to bluff a lot and in particular she felt like he was bluffing her a lot and here she felt like he didn't have shite and went all in to bully her so she made the call. What I think she didn't realize in the moment is just because you might know someone is bluffing you you still have to have a hand that beats it once all you can do is call.

In her case even though she knew he was bluffing her hand still couldn't beat almost anything he was bluffing with. I think it was a case where she knew he was bluffing and wanted to catch him but didn't have the hand to do it and got lucky anyhow and then felt embarrassed and put on the spot so she didn't really know how to explain it.

If she has say AJ instead of J4 then we aren't having this conversation. Then she called knowing he was bluffing but could actually beat most of his range. With the J4 even if he's bluffing you still can't beat almost anything he would have other than the precise cards he did.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
41825 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 11:21 am to
quote:

No this was the point the announcer made. Earlier she had made a call drawing dead. Obviously if you're cheating in any way you don't make a call like that. Now of course you could do it to look legit later on.


That’s what I’m asking, how was she doing overall?
If you are going to cheat wouldn’t you do it on s hand where you were better than a coin flip to win?
This post was edited on 10/2/22 at 11:23 am
Posted by lance814
Member since Feb 2013
807 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 11:21 am to
quote:

No this was the point the announcer made. Earlier she had made a call drawing dead. Obviously if you're cheating in any way you don't make a call like that. Now of course you could do it to look legit later on. The consensus now seems to be that she misread her hand and thought she had J3. She's said that and other players agree. But the problem is you see her checking her cards multiple times before she makes the call so that would invalidate that to me somewhat.


The theories are there’s a device in her pocket that makes her vibrate to tell her if she’s good or not. This doesn’t explain the drawing dead call, but perhaps she made her action before the information was relayed. Other scenario is she puts in a time chip requesting the information and that’s when she makes her decision, bc she seems to play perfectly after using the time chip.

The misread her hand has been debunked numerous times by Doug polk in his interview. She told Andy she didn’t have a 3 in her hand and also said she ran it twice because she didn’t know is j high was good
Posted by MikeAV8s
Member since Oct 2016
2242 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 11:28 am to
I need someone to explain to me how she could have cheated the hand. It seems, after reading some of this thread(not reading all 23) the reasoning is no one in their right mind would have made that call, therefore cheating. I want to know specifically how could she? Wouldn’t she have to know the cards coming to win? It seems the only way for her to win was very specific cards. I don’t doubt she was cheating, I just don’t understand how.
This post was edited on 10/2/22 at 11:30 am
Posted by Bwmdx
Member since Dec 2018
3319 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 11:33 am to
I’ve read 23 pages and come to the conclusion there are 2 possible scenarios.

1. She won because she got lucky and he lost because he thinks everyone there can play. She quite literally had no idea how bad the odds were for her and she was going with her gut. Simple as that and I actually thought this was the most plausible. Now, I’m not sure because…..

2. The show is rigged. Her purpose there is to show her tits and lose money to the pros. He knows this, she knows this, or, at least he thinks he knows this.

The tell was when she gave him back the money. Why would someone do that? If you won it fair and square why would you? No, make them prove you cheated. Except, she didn’t win fair and square.

She said she gave it back “for the sake of the show”. It was never her money to begin with. Remember, she is there to show her tits and lose money - the shows money. He is wise to the scheme, he knows how the show works. Problem is she had an improbable win on bets that made no logical sense. She has been winning too much. My guess is she won some other crazy hands too. She actually alluded to this when talking to another player saying she did the same thing to him the day earlier.

So, now he is sitting there looking back, contemplating how the sacrificial lamb to the game - little miss show your tits and lose some money- is now beating them. And now he is pissed because he has came to the same conclusion, the show/game is rigged.
Posted by EarlyCuyler3
Appalachia
Member since Nov 2017
27290 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 11:41 am to
DNegs thinks giving the money back leans towards not cheating. You can read it either way.
Posted by cssamerican
Member since Mar 2011
7935 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 11:49 am to
quote:

Not picking on you cssamerican, but it just seems strange for people who have no idea why this is insanity to have an opinion. That’d be like me going into a chess cheating thread and giving my opinion on why MC thinks he was cheated by Hans.

And the people that say she 100% cheated or she’s 100% innocent are the worst

I’m not saying she’s innocent or guilty, I’m just saying I’ve seen people do dumb stuff while on tilt, so it’s possible that’s all this was. It’s also possible it was something else.

BTW, I’m pretty confident Hans cheated. His moves correlate to stockfish at a rate that defies believability, and he has a history of cheating in the past. If it smells like a duck, walks like a duck, it’s probably a duck.
This post was edited on 10/2/22 at 11:55 am
Posted by HangmanPage1
Wild West
Member since Aug 2021
2035 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 12:32 pm to
My biggest problem and I see this with coaching too, is that they expect everyone to play with the same realm of strategy and to go outside of it and pull off something like that is sacrilegious. Man just play and if someone does something unconventional tip your hat and move on and maybe don’t think so much in the box.
Posted by lance814
Member since Feb 2013
807 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

My biggest problem and I see this with coaching too, is that they expect everyone to play with the same realm of strategy and to go outside of it and pull off something like that is sacrilegious. Man just play and if someone does something unconventional tip your hat and move on and maybe don’t think so much in the box.


This isn’t simply deviating from optimal, this is a call that’s so far out there, it seems as though she had information aiding her in making the call. That’s why there’s so much controversy
Posted by GusAU
Member since Mar 2014
4920 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

But since the random unknown card in the game of chance that was flipped over meant the person that made the stupid bet won

She never made a BET.

She made an absolutely ridiculous CALL.

Someone who doesn't understand the difference between a BET and a CALL really should not be involved in this thread.
Posted by EarlyCuyler3
Appalachia
Member since Nov 2017
27290 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

She never made a BET.


Technically she did raise the turn before calling the 3bet.

The rest I agree with.
Posted by GusAU
Member since Mar 2014
4920 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

Technically she did raise the turn before calling the 3bet.

I know what you are saying, but I was responding to the statement "the person that made the stupid bet won".

I really don't consider her raising the turn a stupid bet because she could have just been trying to get him off of the hand with a bluff there.

If the person I had responded to stated "the person that made the stupid call won", then I would think that the poster might understand poker, but is just not very good at it if they don't see what's wrong with this situation.

As I'm sure you agree....

Posted by EarlyCuyler3
Appalachia
Member since Nov 2017
27290 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 2:42 pm to
Very few people understand the game apparently on the OT. It's too bad, I wish they would play.
Posted by SEC. 593
Chicago
Member since Aug 2012
4355 posts
Posted on 10/2/22 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

She said she gave it back “for the sake of the show”. It was never her money to begin with. Remember, she is there to show her tits and lose money - the shows money. He is wise to the scheme, he knows how the show works.


It wasn't the shows money it was the guy with the cowboy hat's money (Rip), who is also Jake Paul's manager, which just makes him even more sketchy to me.

Most of the time you don't play at the same table with someone you are staking unless everyone is aware, which I think is what happens here, but it is still odd.
This post was edited on 10/2/22 at 3:23 pm
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