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lance814
| Favorite team: | LSU  |
| Location: | |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 726 |
| Registered on: | 2/13/2013 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
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re: WSOP 2024 Main Event
Posted by lance814 on 7/17/24 at 6:02 pm
I’m sure Lena’s play is solver approved as there are plenty bluffs on that board, but man calling that off feels like a punt against an amateur.
Edit: Griff is out there blasting heads up. Might have just been a good call by Lena. ...
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re: WSOP 2024 Main Event
Posted by lance814 on 7/16/24 at 5:05 pm
Slightly -EV against his exact hand, but not against his range. The solver had Krissy’s exact hand as a call vs his turn 80% pot bet. You think a flush draw with a gutty is folding on the turn?
...
re: WSOP 2024 Main Event
Posted by lance814 on 7/16/24 at 2:17 pm
You think he wants to “price out” hands with 9% equity? And if you’re talking about the flush variety of AQ/A10, those aren’t folding to an 80% pot bet as well as hands like Qx/10x hh/ss. Naked flush draws start to fold on a big bet. ...
re: WSOP 2024 Main Event
Posted by lance814 on 7/16/24 at 11:29 am
[quote]Today. And after thinking about it a bit more, the primary issue with her play is their stacks. If she had him covered, I actually think it gets through. But she didn't. He could afford to lose even with a call, so while it's still an awful play, it's relative[/quote]
I think Serock was tr...
re: WSOP 2024 Main Event
Posted by lance814 on 7/15/24 at 5:17 pm
I agree with most aside from the last 2 paragraphs. Krissy plays high rollers and is very studied. I seriously doubt she was “desperate to get back to where she was earlier in the day.” She took a spot where she thought she had good blockers to nutted hands.
If this was against a random, this bl...
re: WSOP 2024 Main Event
Posted by lance814 on 7/15/24 at 4:25 pm
Her hand is mostly a call in the turn. Interesting, because I thought call was the worst option. ...
re: WSOP 2024 Main Event
Posted by lance814 on 7/15/24 at 1:13 pm
And raising gets hands like AQs+, AKo, JJ+ to put more money in the pot or potentially rocket it off.
Edit: Doug Polk put out a video on the hand where he ran through a solver. If you notice AA and KK aren’t in Krissy’s range because they are pure 3b. The hand she chose is a small EV loser, so...
re: WSOP 2024 Main Event
Posted by lance814 on 7/15/24 at 12:15 pm
I’d think KK is a pure 3b vs UTG raise. Maybe a very low frequency trap ...
re: WSOP 2024 Main Event
Posted by lance814 on 7/15/24 at 11:24 am
If Krissy has AK or KK, she 3b pre. They were 6 or 7 handed at the time and he was the chip leader, so his UTG raise isn’t as tight as full ring. Ax will double barrel turn at some frequency with 2 flush draws on the board. She blocks AK, KK and Q10. Plenty of hands he can fold to a shove there. She...
re: UFC: Pantoja vs Erceg In-game Thread (5/4/21, 5PM CT)
Posted by lance814 on 5/4/24 at 6:48 pm
Ruffy has sick standup. Unfortunate last name though ...
re: Women’s NCAA Tourney Thread
Posted by lance814 on 4/1/24 at 8:15 pm
[quote]Can’t earn one not in the tournament[/quote]
Iowa’s probably the worst team left in the tournament. Gonna be tough to beat usc/uconn and usce...
re: Women’s NCAA Tourney Thread
Posted by lance814 on 4/1/24 at 8:09 pm
[quote]know clark is too classy to do it, but I wish she’d do the ring finger too the bayou bitch. It would be the most amazing shite ever[/quote]
In the elite 8? That would be stupid...
re: Any baw get 3 paychecks this month??
Posted by lance814 on 3/29/24 at 9:08 am
We got 7 between my wife and me. Get paid on opposite Friday’s and our annual incentive. ...
re: LSU 4 @ Arkansas 7 Final
Posted by lance814 on 3/28/24 at 8:05 pm
[quote]This ump is bad all around[/quote]
No, he’s not. That’s the problem. His strike zone is inconsistent ...
re: UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas (3/23, 6PM CT)
Posted by lance814 on 3/23/24 at 6:48 pm
Holy shite. That bite was nasty ...
re: UFC 298 - Volkanovski vs Topuria
Posted by lance814 on 2/18/24 at 12:58 pm
He wanted Conor, but he wasn’t signing a contract extension. Jones declined. Stipe only wants to fight Jones. He offered Leon 3 fights and he said yes to all 3 and none were accepted on the other end (supposedly). So this was probably the best matchup he could make. ...
re: UFC 298 - Volkanovski vs Topuria
Posted by lance814 on 2/18/24 at 12:02 am
[quote]Topuria has taken our Ryan Hall, Bryce Mitchell, Josh Emmett and Volkonovski in incredible fashion. I want to see him fight Islam.[/quote]
I’d like to see him fight Max first. ...
re: Kadarius Toney says the Chiefs are lying about his injuries
Posted by lance814 on 1/28/24 at 1:34 pm
[quote]How has this dude gotten this far in life? You can't convince me that with his apparent lack of education, he will amount to much after football. And after football probably means as soon as 2 weeks. There's no way this clown becomes a productive member of society[/quote]
And he has more ...
re: NFL Various Games - Divisional Round
Posted by lance814 on 1/21/24 at 9:04 pm
[quote]Diggs will be bitching before he even gets undressed, and this time he’ll have a point He was wide arse open, no need to take the lame deep shot there [/quote]
Go watch the play again. It wasn’t a shot. The receiver was open in the end zone too. Allen’s left tackle ran into him when he r...
re: Penix hurt last night on interception return?
Posted by lance814 on 1/9/24 at 9:44 am
If Penix played average last night, this is a one score game. Some will say Michigan’s defense played a part, and they did to an extent. Penix missed 2 easy td passes in the first half. Washington could have easily been up at the half....
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