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Study: Adults don't really transmit C19 to kids in home.

Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:16 am
Posted by prplhze2000
Parts Unknown
Member since Jan 2007
56817 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:16 am
Found this interesting study in the Pediatrics journal this morning.

quote:

Knowledge of transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 from adults to children in household settings is limited. We found an attack rate among 213 children in 137 households to be 6.1% in households with a confirmed adult 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) case. Transmission from an adult to a child occurred in only 5.2% of households. Young children <5 years old were at lowest risk of infection (1.3%). Children were most likely to be infected if the household index case was the mother....

During March and April, among 137 households with a total of 223 adults (index patients) with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19, 213 children aged =16 years were tested for SARS-CoV-2; 13 cases were detected in seven households, for an attack rate of 6.1% among children and 5.2% of households with confirmed exposure to COVID-19 (Table). One case child reported sore throat at the time of screening; one other had a single temperature reading of 100 F during hospitalization, but none had respiratory or any other symptoms...

In age-stratified analysis, the attack rate was 1.3% among children aged <5 years, 8.1% among those aged 5–9 years, and 9.8% among those aged 10–16 years. Attack rates were similar, regardless of the sex of the child. The attack rate among children was highest when the household index case was the mother (11.1%), and lower and similar if the index case was the father (6.7%) or a grandparent (6.3%)....


Journal of Pediatrics

Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
60104 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:17 am to
and there is a study saying kids don't give it to adults

Hmmmm
Posted by Sao
East Texas Piney Woods
Member since Jun 2009
68469 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:18 am to

Cool. I don't really know what to believe.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129074 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:20 am to
quote:

Cool. I don't really know what to believe.


The only thing we know is that fragile old people and fat people are high risk for hospitalization and death
This post was edited on 7/20/20 at 9:20 am
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
60104 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:20 am to
quote:

The only thing we know is that fragile old people and fat people are high risk for hospitalization and death


SHUT IT DOWN
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160203 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:21 am to
The narrative has shifted from deaths to “long term effects” of the disease including potentially permanent lung scarring, chronic fatigue, and other damaged organs.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175612 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:22 am to
quote:

The only thing we know is that fragile old people and fat people are high risk for hospitalization and death

Posted by CarRamrod
Spurbury, VT
Member since Dec 2006
58277 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:22 am to
listen to the experts. the experts say everyone should mask up and stay home and shut this economy down.....till November.
Posted by ML Crisis
Clown world
Member since Jul 2020
195 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:23 am to
How is any of this even possible?

A virus that is mild or not even noticed by up to half of the people that get it

Isn't passed to or from children

But is so contagious and severe that the entire world has freaked out over it for 5 months.

What's going on?

Posted by Gray Tiger
Prairieville, LA
Member since Jan 2004
36512 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:23 am to
quote:

The only thing we know is that fragile old people and fat people are high risk for hospitalization and death




That seems to be the key. Being young and skinny doesn't make you bullet proof from getting infected and feeling sick though.
Posted by Lonnie Utah
Utah!
Member since Jul 2012
32164 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:25 am to
quote:

and there is a study saying kids don't give it to adults


That's not what the latest data shows.

Older Children Spread the Coronavirus Just as Much as Adults, Large Study Finds
This post was edited on 7/20/20 at 9:26 am
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87178 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:26 am to
quote:

Being young and skinny doesn't make you bullet proof from getting infected and feeling sick though.
The horror.
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
60104 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:27 am to
quote:

That's not what the latest data shows.


quote:

New York Times


No thanks
Posted by SuperSaint
Sorting Out OT BS Since '2007'
Member since Sep 2007
148103 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:28 am to
The medical studies have become so partisan politicized and being published before any honest peer review work has been done.

I don’t trust any of them. We are in a sad state of affairs
Posted by Lonnie Utah
Utah!
Member since Jul 2012
32164 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:29 am to
quote:

No thanks



Then go read the original publication from the CDC

LINK
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87178 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:31 am to
quote:

Older Children Spread the Coronavirus Just as Much as Adults, Large Study Finds
Did you read the article/study? That wasn't the actual conclusion. You had a situation in SK where kids from 10-18 were more likely to not adhere to the social distancing guidelines and spent much more time around each other than smaller kids who listened and are more easily controlled by adults and adults who were more likely to do as the SK government told them to do. This wasn't a study based on age. It was a study based on behavior.
Posted by Wermanium
Member since Apr 2016
760 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:33 am to
quote:

Cool. I don't really know what to believe.


I don't think anyone does. So much mixed information out there.
Posted by Lonnie Utah
Utah!
Member since Jul 2012
32164 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:34 am to
quote:

This wasn't a study based on age.


quote:

We monitored 59,073 contacts of 5,706 COVID-19 index patients for an average of 9.9 (range 8.2–12.5) days after severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection was detected (Table 1). Of 10,592 household contacts, index patients of 3,417 (32.3%) were 20–29 years of age, followed by those 50–59 (19.3%) and 40–49 (16.5%) years of age (Table 2). A total of 11.8% (95% CI 11.2%–12.4%) household contacts of index patients had COVID-19; in households with an index patient 10–19 years of age, 18.6% (95% CI 14.0%–24.0%) of contacts had COVID-19. For 48,481 nonhousehold contacts, the detection rate was 1.9% (95% CI 1.8%–2.0%) (Table 2). With index patients 30–39 years of age as reference, detection of COVID-19 contacts was significantly higher for index patients >40 years of age in nonhousehold settings. For most age groups, COVID-19 was detected in significantly more household than nonhousehold contacts (Table 2).
This post was edited on 7/20/20 at 9:35 am
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87178 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:40 am to
I mean that it was simply broken down that way. If you read the limitations section, it discusses the issues with not testing asymptomatic cases which are very high in the 10-19 age range and would account for the "high" rate of spread that the study concluded.

So you have two issues, both of which are admitted to in the study:

1) This age group is more likely to spend time with people of that same age adhering less than any other group to social distancing.
2) There are many in that age group that are asymptomatic and this study skipped them.

You can see that in the two tables linked. Table 1 and Table 2

Specifically, look at table 2 and the traces from household to non-household. From the 10-19 group, it's a 1 to 1 ratio whereas every other group is much higher at a 7 to 1 ratio in some cases.
This post was edited on 7/20/20 at 9:44 am
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
37697 posts
Posted on 7/20/20 at 9:46 am to
quote:

Being young and skinny doesn't make you bullet proof from getting infected and feeling sick though.



reeeeee...I'm gonna feel sick...please save me.
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