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re: Storm Watch- Gulf- Tropical Depression- Northward Miss. Valley

Posted on 6/4/20 at 2:11 pm to
Posted by redneck
Los Suenos, Costa Rica
Member since Dec 2003
54182 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 2:11 pm to
Have the surge projection maps come out yet? I will be at the camp and can move the boats if it gets to that point but I'd rather relax, drink, and watch it rain
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
61448 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

Is this thing gonna survive the Yucatan enough to be anything?

Getting shredded now.

dude, it is 2020, if it could screw us, it will screw us. God is all kinds of mad about something.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

This run brings 30-50mph gusts across the entire BR area and 50-70mph gusts to Lafayette-Lake Charles and even 60mph gusts to NORTHwest Louisiana. 2-3 inches of rain for BR.


Just remember most of the Euro maps posted here are winds at 850mb, not at the surface.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131597 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

I will be at the camp and can move the boats if it gets to that point


No offense but it seems like half of your posts mention your camp and boats
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50796 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 2:41 pm to
I wasn't referring to any posted here. I was looking at the ones at weather.us. Are those surface based? I'm under the impression that they are. If the 850mb wind gusts are 30-50mph then we have zero wind to worry about in BR
This post was edited on 6/4/20 at 2:43 pm
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131597 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

Just remember most of the Euro maps posted here are winds at 850mb, not at the surface.


Shhhhhhh
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75186 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

One of the things I am thinking of doing. Don't know if that will scare off Mom and Dad. So, I am thinking of building a wood frame to block the bike so it will not blow over. Could set that to about half way up height. Don't think that was spook the birds.

I had a similar issue years ago on the end of my porch. I stood a piece of plywood up where the winds would come from and screwed eye bolts to the wall. I ran wire from the bike frame to the eye bolts and tied it off. The bike never moved an inch, even when the plywood blew over.
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 2:49 pm to
quote:

I wasn't referring to any posted here. I was looking at the ones at weather.us. Are those surface based? I'm under the impression that they are. If the 850mb wind gusts are 30-50mph then we have zero wind to worry about in BR


Those numbers are 10 meters up from surface. So a slight reduction, but not much
This post was edited on 6/4/20 at 2:51 pm
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50796 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

Those numbers are 10 meters up from surface. So a slight reduction, but not much

10 meters is the proper surface wind reading elevation so that map is indeed the surface readings by definition.
This post was edited on 6/4/20 at 3:01 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75186 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 3:03 pm to
Kind of unrelated, I just looked at my local weather app radar to see where the pop-up summer showers are, and a big, weird shadow out to our west over MS scared the hell out of me for a second. I zoomed out to a regional view, and it ended up being the NHC cone, not aliens.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50796 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

it ended up being the NHC cone, not aliens.

Well thank God!
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11962 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

and it ended up being the NHC cone, not aliens


Well, if there's one thing positive in 2020 so far, that would be one.
Posted by FCP
Delta State Univ. - Fightin' Okra
Member since Sep 2010
5172 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 3:11 pm to
ImNotSayingItsAliensButItsAliens.gif
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

I wasn't referring to any posted here. I was looking at the ones at weather.us. Are those surface based? I'm under the impression that they are. If the 850mb wind gusts are 30-50mph then we have zero wind to worry about in BR


Depending on the parameters, yes, you can get surface wind gust estimates from Weather.us
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50796 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 3:25 pm to
I didn't think I was going crazy.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 3:31 pm to
Duke/rds -

I was checking out the NAM 3km for fishing tomorrow afternoon and I came across an interesting feature I hope either of you can explain:



What causes this bowing segment to break apart and head SW across Arkansas on Friday? The following day it happens again in MO...





You don't often see storms travel SW/SSW across the heartland.

Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 3:34 pm to
I'm not Duke or RDS, but that appears to be a mid-level impulse riding southeastward associated with the trough draped across the GOM that is influencing Cristobal northward.
This post was edited on 6/4/20 at 3:35 pm
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

Will get something done even if it means I have to do it on my hands and knees


Just take care while doing it ... good people care about animals and birds.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 3:36 pm to
foot, you aren't in Lafayette are you??
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43296 posts
Posted on 6/4/20 at 3:44 pm to


Track has it bending more North-Westward this advisory.
This post was edited on 6/4/20 at 3:45 pm
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