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Message
re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:13 am to slackster
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:13 am to slackster
The average NHC track error at day four is 175 miles.
The track is a guide, but at this time should not be taken as the solution.
The track is a guide, but at this time should not be taken as the solution.
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 10:19 am
0
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:13 am to mightynine
Any idea why HWRF 00z (pointing at TX/LA state line) is acting as an outlier compared to GFS / Euro?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:15 am to DomincDecoco
I was just describing what Camille was…. Sorry you are not up to date on hurricane knowledge…..
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:15 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
Any idea why HWRF 00z (pointing at TX/LA state line) is acting as an outlier compared to GFS / Euro?
more recent HWRF has it coming in hot to Vermilion Bay... so it's working its way east as well
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 10:18 am
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:16 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
Any idea why HWRF 00z (pointing at TX/LA state line) is acting as an outlier compared to GFS / Euro?
The HWRF 06z run has in Vermillion Bay now so it's more line with the others.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:16 am to Roll Tide Ravens
i heard someone mention there will be advisories issued for the louisiana coast as early as tomorrow evening
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:16 am to dukke v
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/18/21 at 11:16 pm
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:16 am to Scoper
This is a really good and key part of NHC's discussion on the latest advisory:
quote:
The depression will be moving over the high ocean heat content waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea during the next 24-36 hours. This, in combination with low vertical wind shear and a moist environment, should allow for steady strengthening. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today or tonight, and could approach hurricane strength as it passes near or over western Cuba. Once the system moves into the Gulf of Mexico, conditions are expected to be conducive for additional strengthening, and rapid intensification is explicitly shown in the NHC forecast between 48 and 72 hours. The NHC intensity forecast brings the system near major hurricane strength when it approaches the northern Gulf coast on Sunday. This forecast is supported by the HWRF and CTCI models, and the GFS, ECMWF, and UKMET global model guidance, which all significantly deepen the cyclone over the Gulf of Mexico. As a result, there is higher-than-normal confidence that a strengthening tropical cyclone will be moving over the Gulf this weekend.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:16 am to jmcwhrter
Yeah its sending a 931mb system into Beaumont
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:17 am to lsutiger2010
You aren’t to bright are you?????
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:17 am to mightynine
quote:
NHC is expecting rapid intensification
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:18 am to dukke v
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:18 am to dukke v
Dude frick off
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:19 am to Piece
quote:
The HWRF 06z run has in Vermillion Bay now so it's more line with the others.
Ah okay ty. Seems like TropicalTidbits is being slow again.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:19 am to dukke v
quote:
I will not…. I don’t know who you think you are and I don’t care. However I have a right to my talk about this storm just like everyone else in this thread… it looks like the storm is coming real close to where I live…. I have a perspective just like everyone else…. If you don’t like my posts ignore them…..
shut. your. mouth.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:19 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
Yeah its sending a 931mb system into Beaumont
Don't think that is the most recent run. Now in Vermillion Bay.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:20 am to Ingeniero
Accuweather update...
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:20 am to 50_Tiger
That was 2 runs ago
The 06z shifted east along with every other model
The 06z shifted east along with every other model
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:21 am to longhorn22
frickin accuweather is straight trash
Posted on 8/26/21 at 10:21 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
Yeah its sending a 931mb s
not good.
quote:
system into Beaumont
better beau than abita.
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