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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:39 pm to
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
12935 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:39 pm to
On the bright side, Sillin's plotting almost makes it look like Ida has a hankering for Miss Issippi.

I for one will not judge her for her preference...it is 2021 after all.
Posted by sp22
Member since Jan 2019
757 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:39 pm to
Does he have reasoning or is he just randomly speculating
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17952 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:39 pm to
Yikes, nam is overshooting wpc totals...



And I posted these earlier, but I don't think they've been updated:














Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
172747 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:39 pm to
quote:

this is some shite I’d expect a drunk leppert to put on a PowerPoint


"Any questions or comments about this?"
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Joplin, MO
Member since Nov 2011
41637 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:40 pm to
NWS seems to think ALL of SE LA is gonna get fricked.

quote:

@NWSNewOrleans
There is some confusion surrounding the impacts that will occur across our area. Here is a breakdown of all the impacts we are expecting from Hurricane #Ida below by area/region. #Ida is a dangerous hurricane and it WILL produce LIFE-THREATENING impacts. #mswx #lawx

For the Baton Rouge metro area: Expect winds >110mph sustained. Rainfall 10-15” with 20”+ possible. Brief tornadoes possible. #lawx

For the River Parishes: Expect winds >110mph sustained. Rainfall 10-15” with 20”+ possible. Brief tornadoes possible. 5-8 ft of inundation in Lake Pontchartrain. #lawx

For Northshore: Expect winds >110mph sustained. Rainfall 15-20” with 20”+ possible. Brief tornadoes possible. 5-8ft of inundation in Lake Pontchartrain. #lawx

For metro NOLA: Expect winds >110mph sustained. Rainfall 15-20” with 20”+ possible. Brief tornadoes possible.

For the Coastal LA: Expect winds >110mph sustained. Rainfall 10-15” with 20”+ possible. Brief tornadoes possible. 10-15ft of inundation.

For SW MS: Expect winds >74mph sustained. Rainfall 8-12” with locally higher possible. Brief tornadoes possible.#mswx

For coastal MS: Expect winds >74mph sustained. Rainfall 8-12” with locally higher possible. Brief tornadoes possible. 7-11ft of inundation. 4-7ft inundation ocean springs to AL/MS line. #mswx

Conditions will begin to deteriorate TONIGHT! All preparations need to be completed by then. If you are under ANY evacuation order, PLEASE LEAVE! Your LIFE is worth more than your property. Stay safe! #mswx #lawx
This post was edited on 8/28/21 at 4:41 pm
Posted by jlovel7
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2014
22858 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:40 pm to
This is my first hurricane thread I’ve actually followed (and has really affected me). Gentlemen it has been an honor.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

LSUJuice


Thank You for flooding related posting.

This is going to be a big part of the story I'm afraid.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
172747 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

It is the NHC cone overlayed Jack Sillin's "Wobble Plot". He uses the satellite center fix to track the wobbles. He did pretty well with it on Laura last year.


I see what it is. I just can't look at it for more than 2 seconds without blacking out
Posted by Tigers2010a
Member since Jul 2021
3627 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:40 pm to
What game is that?
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
32484 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:40 pm to
From watching zoom.earth for the past hour, it’s definitely tracking more northerly now.

Not good for New Orleans.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67107 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:41 pm to
Levi just spoke in tongues on Twitter.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
40888 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

The discussion is moving the landing closer to Port Fourchon due to the Northward jog.


[quote]
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20084 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:41 pm to
So what's the chance this bitch keeps slipping east?
Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

Does he have reasoning or is he just randomly speculating


trying to up the hype for nola
Posted by Nguyener
Kame House
Member since Mar 2013
21057 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

it's clearly showing a different path than every other model, and the NHC.


I’m not saying that guy is accurate, but the NHC tends to update slower and less drastically by design. It’s not a bad thing but it doesn’t respond to quick shifts.

It’s not a bad idea to watch both.
Posted by Saintsisit
Member since Jan 2013
4663 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:42 pm to
It all depends on the High Presure System. Anybody know when that will come into play?
Posted by SohCahToa
New Orleans, La
Member since Jan 2011
7785 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

This is my first hurricane thread I’ve actually followed (and has really affected me). Gentlemen it has been an honor.


I do way more reading than posting, but have been following these for years. There’s really nothing like it. Welcome
Posted by Elleshoe
Wade’s World
Member since Jun 2004
143780 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:42 pm to
Any predictions for northshore north of 12?
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Joplin, MO
Member since Nov 2011
41637 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:44 pm to
Looks like Ida is following the track direction, just slightly on the right side of it.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41861 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

For the Baton Rouge metro area: Expect winds >110mph sustained. Rainfall 10-15” with 20”+ possible. Brief tornadoes possible. #lawx


quote:

For metro NOLA: Expect winds >110mph sustained. Rainfall 15-20” with 20”+ possible. Brief tornadoes possible


well then
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