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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:21 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:21 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
Do they do sketti models anymore?
The ensembles?
1
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:21 pm to Duke
quote:
Though that info is good, looks like it's seeing higher SST vs the rest and a little lower shear in the near term.
Exactly what I noticed once he shared the graphic. Oh well.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:22 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
Do they do sketti models anymore?
Not exactly.
We use much better ensembles and also will blend all the best models. It's sketti, but without the bullshite like climo models and very specialized models.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:22 pm to Oates Mustache
Yeah baw. The ones they would throw up with no context
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:24 pm to Duke
So the CMC is basically right on top of Terriboney, but not nearly as intense (979mb).
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:24 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
Yeah baw. The ones they would throw up with no context
That got damn Clipper model. And then then stupid XTRP.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:24 pm to DeepBlueSea
quote:
Random fact, but the US used female-only names for storms from 1954 to 1979.
Back then they thought if they’d have used boys’ names, they would’ve had to call them himmicanes.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:26 pm to LSUGrad9295
Storm takin that Gustav track
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:27 pm to TDsngumbo
frick downtown st Amant. I hope it takes a certain business out.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:27 pm to LSUGrad9295
Any time the eye of a storm goes over the French Quarter, it's called a Herpacane.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:28 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
So the CMC is basically right on top of Terriboney, but not nearly as intense (979mb).
But stronger and slightly to the west of the last CMC run.
Overall a mediocre model though.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:28 pm to IntenseKid
quote:
frick downtown st Amant. I hope it takes a certain business out.
Come on with it baw. The end is neigh, time to make your grievances known
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:29 pm to IntenseKid
quote:
frick downtown st Amant. I hope it takes a certain business out.
See folks, this is how you collect buckets of downvotes.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:29 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
Come on with it baw. The end is neigh, time to make your grievances known
He's in love with Coyote and his dog and can't bring himself to choose between the two.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:29 pm to slackster
CMC looks too fast to the coast by 6 hours also.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:30 pm to slackster
Here’s another one Duke.
quote:
RIPA, which is run operationally at JTWC for the western North Pacific, northern Indian Ocean, and Southern Hemisphere hurricane basins, was run experimentally in real-time for the Atlantic, eastern North Pacific and central North Pacific hurricane basins for the 2019 hurricane season. RIPA combines forecasts of the probabilities of rapid intensification from linear discriminant analysis and linear regression techniques into a consensus probability for several different rapid intensification thresholds. Any of these thresholds reaching a probability of 40% produces a deterministic forecast of linear intensification to that threshold (e.g. 30 knots in 24 hours), with the highest threshold that triggers the deterministic forecast being labelled the RIPA forecast, and included in an operational intensity consensus at JTWC.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:33 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
the RIPA forecast
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:33 pm to IntenseKid
quote:
frick downtown st Amant. I hope it takes a certain business out.
quote:
IntenseKid
It’s on the verge of checking out, but you need to get some bass in your voice and say it with your chest. Who we wishing destruction upon?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:34 pm to Oates Mustache
Nah. Just some shitty people in that area.
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