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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:52 pm to
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
32937 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:52 pm to
Minimal.
Posted by LSUBALLER
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2013
21782 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:52 pm to
With this forecast what’s New Orleans , Metairie and Slidell look like?
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105475 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:53 pm to
Half an H
Posted by BigBrod81
Houma
Member since Sep 2010
22944 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:54 pm to
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84435 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:55 pm to
quote:

With this forecast what’s New Orleans , Metairie and Slidell look like?


Posted by BigBrod81
Houma
Member since Sep 2010
22944 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:55 pm to
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:57 pm to
So quick question. Has the Clp5 model ever been right? It takes Ida to the Florida. Thanks
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 11:57 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91855 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:57 pm to
quote:

With this forecast what’s New Orleans , Metairie and Slidell look like?


Lots of rain. Some gusty winds, perhaps up to hurricane strength.

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:58 pm to
quote:

Has the Clp5 model ever been right?


Its just climo, so not really no.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:59 pm to
quote:

Its just climo, so not really no.


I think you're delirious Duke, get some rest.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91855 posts
Posted on 8/26/21 at 11:59 pm to
quote:

So quick question. Has the Clp5 model ever been right? It takes Ida to the Florida. Thanks




It's considered the benchmark, of sorts, for computer models.

It's basically climatology based only. In other words, what have storms in this area at this time of the year typically done. It's like the almanac for storms.

If a computer model can't do better than that, it is worthless.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:00 am to
quote:

It's considered the benchmark, of sorts, for computer models.

It's basically climatology based only. In other words, what have storms in this area at this time of the year typically done. It's like the almanac for storms.

If a computer model can't do better than that, it is worthless.


I was joking, but I actually think that answer might help some people who didn't know.
Posted by CoonassatTEXAS
Austin, TX
Member since Nov 2005
1269 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:00 am to
Just saw the storm surge map on the prior page. That’s not as bad as I thought it would be.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 12:03 am
Posted by DeCat ODahouse
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2017
1685 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:04 am to
For Duke and any other experts still posting:
NOAA satellite's upper water vapor loop shows a feature just N. of Puerto Rico that looks to be the size of a small hurricane spinning counterclockwise but almost completely free of clouds except on the outer bands.
What is this and could it affect Ida?

Asking for a friend...
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:05 am to
Upper Level Low
Posted by The Levee
Bat Country
Member since Feb 2006
11760 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:07 am to
I’m just worried about my new deer blind I put up last weekend in Woodville. It’s so damn big it’s gonna get blown over.
Posted by LSUBALLER
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2013
21782 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:07 am to
I appreciate that .
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
49830 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:08 am to
What we need is Nash Roberts, anybody got a medium around? He was a hooded baby and always could just feel the damn storm and where it would go. Always more accurate than any computer model. (And don’t give me any of that Bob Breck bullshite. )

The hurricane master
Posted by LSUBALLER
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2013
21782 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:08 am to
Posted by Bawcephus
Member since Jul 2018
2747 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:08 am to
Track going west....

No east....




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