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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:06 am to
Posted by LaLadyinTx
Cypress, TX
Member since Nov 2018
6816 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:06 am to
Not a fan of the rainfall chart, There's a big gray area hanging out over Cypress.
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1928 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:07 am to
quote:

What’s the timeline on this fellas?


Dependent on ultimate track, looking like things going downhill Monday afternoon through to Wednesday morning. I would presume a PTC will be issued tomm night/Fri morning which would provide the first cone of uncertainty. This gives the general public 48-72 hours to prepare based on that cone.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20616 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:09 am to
Not much change on the 06z Ensembles. Both the GFS & Euro are on the right side of the ensemble spread.



Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7194 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:10 am to
where did the "80%" image in the OP come from? Looking at NHC and only seeing 40%...

EDIT: nm just realized I was looking at 2-day outlook
This post was edited on 8/25/21 at 9:11 am
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
213660 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:11 am to
You should never have to wait this long to be dealing with insurance. That’s a damn shame.
Posted by lsu777
Lake Charles
Member since Jan 2004
34930 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:11 am to
that mother fricker needs to follow the black line. I have final inspections this week and am getting certificate of occupancy on friday. I will shite a frickin brick if this thing is headed to LC.

LC folks, make me feel better!!!
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:11 am to
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
13614 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:12 am to
quote:

If a storm organizes in the Caribbean and shoots the Yucatán gap I’m afraid there would be Cat 5 potential


Rather than rely on some dude on a sports message board, can anyone find something to back this up from a professional or other reliable source?
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1928 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:13 am to
quote:

Not much change on the 06z Ensembles. Both the GFS & Euro are on the right side of the ensemble spread.


Thinking this is probably related to the higher resolution of their deterministic vs ensemble runs. Combination of variability of the defined center of circulation location and upper level modeling that the ensemble sets can't evaluate.
This post was edited on 8/25/21 at 9:15 am
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:14 am to
quote:

can anyone find something to back this up from a professional or other reliable source?


There is no support for that. Conditions will be very favorable though.
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
36990 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:15 am to
This coming Monday or Labor Day?

(Sorry for being obtuse)
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
144129 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:15 am to
this thread getting real already?

has Stone Cold made an appearance yet?

what about highway shark?
Posted by redfieldk717
Alec Box
Member since Oct 2011
28117 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:15 am to
Which model has been the most accurate as of late?
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1928 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:18 am to
quote:

Which model has been the most accurate as of late?


None of them. Just yesterday morning, they were fixated on Mexico/Southern TX.

Friday is the day for some clarity.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
213660 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:18 am to
It’s not that.if this thing misses and land before entering the gulf it has nothing but warm water to create strength. It could be become a monster.
Posted by Swagga
504
Member since Dec 2009
17426 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:19 am to
quote:

Friday is the day for some clarity.



Clarity? Never heard of her.


This place is for Cat 5’s coming up the mouth of the Mississippi


ETA: The GOAT Peej has arrived. Now it’s a storm thread.
This post was edited on 8/25/21 at 9:20 am
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
39831 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:19 am to
Now it's a party
Posted by Draconian Sanctions
Markey's bar
Member since Oct 2008
86593 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:20 am to
quote:

if


quote:

could


Go away pj
Posted by lsu777
Lake Charles
Member since Jan 2004
34930 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:20 am to
this coming sunday/monday
Posted by jamboybarry
Member since Feb 2011
33038 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:20 am to
quote:

It’s not that.if this thing misses and land before entering the gulf it has nothing but warm water to create strength. It could be become a monster.


quote:

by dukke v


We are saved folks!!!
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