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Started By
Message
re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:48 am to geauxtigersgirl
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:48 am to geauxtigersgirl
quote:
I would really love for this tropical wave to either die
0
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:48 am to geauxtigersgirl
quote:
It sounds paranoid to be worried about an invest for days on end.
perception of paranoia is a sign of lack of education regarding storms. most know that any tropical system in a favorable condition gulf can go from 0 to 60 well within 36 hours.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:53 am to Chad504boy
Shear is starting to go down quickly, and we have a nice convection blow up. Doesn't mean the storm is organizing quickly or anything right now, but it means it is about to get into more favorable conditions than we have seen in the last couple of days.
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 9:55 am
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:55 am to Paul Allen
quote:
Maybe
So when should I start to worry? Do I need to stock up on beer and gin now?
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:58 am to supernovasky
Visible satellite seems to imply the Llc is still to the northwest of the new convection this morning.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:00 am to slackster
quote:
Llc
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:00 am to RedRifle
quote:
Do I need to stock up on beer and gin now?
lol you don't need a weather event for that! Get to shopping!
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:01 am to TigerDude80
quote:
Visible satellite seems to imply the Llc is still to the northwest of the new convection this morning.
Right here???
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 10:02 am
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:03 am to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Shear is starting to go down quickly, and we have a nice convection blow up. Doesn't mean the storm is organizing quickly or anything right now, but it means it is about to get into more favorable conditions than we have seen in the last couple of days.
You can literally see the shear decreasing with each new sat update. Cloud tops are no longer just racing off.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:04 am to Ignignot
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/13/21 at 10:57 pm
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:07 am to Hulkklogan
quote:
Right here???
There are likely multiple small spins rotating around this morning. Now that the more vigorous spin from yesterday is gone it is probably better to just focus on the broad rotation and not the little spins rotating around in it.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:07 am to Hulkklogan
Yeah that general area. That RGB visible image shows low clouds in yellow. The circulation or hook in that area would be the LLC.
ETA defer to rds above.
ETA defer to rds above.
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 10:08 am
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:08 am to RedRifle
quote:And bat-trees. Lots and lots of bat-trees.
Do I need to stock up on beer and gin now?
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:09 am to LSURussian
Someone please explain to me what shear is.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:10 am to 10Percenter
Mid to high level winds that blow the tops of the convection off before it can start to swirl.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:12 am to LSURussian
So decreasing sheer = increased chance of organizing?
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:14 am to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Shear is starting to go down quickly, and we have a nice convection blow up. Doesn't mean the storm is organizing quickly or anything right now, but it means it is about to get into more favorable conditions than we have seen in the last couple of days.
frick!
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:16 am to Mac
quote:Yep. If the upper level winds shear off the tops of the convection, the system has less chance of developing into a tropical cyclone. It would just remain a tropical wave, i.e., a line of thunderstorms without rotating winds.
So decreasing sheer = increased chance of organizing?
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:22 am to 10Percenter
10Percenter go to the previous page .. Supernovasky had a great explanation. Pics and all.
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