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Started By
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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:23 pm to rds dc
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:23 pm to rds dc
quote:
There was a recon mission this afternoon that let out a bunch of drops and the red spike is them being ingested by the 00z GFS run.
Does that mean it's getting stronger? the beast is feeding?
1
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:24 pm to GEAUXmedic
00z GFS is still a very weak sheared system but this is a huge change from the past runs of nothing. It will be interesting to see what the other models do overnight.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:25 pm to TheArrogantCorndog
quote:
Does that mean it's getting stronger? the beast is feeding?
No, there was just a special batch of data available for the 00z models.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:27 pm to rds dc
Does the speed a system move through favorable waters affect either way the odds of said storm strengthening? Does more time in conditions mean more opportunity for gains? Seems like these models past 36 hrs have slowed system down over gulf
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:27 pm to rds dc
i know it will change a lot between now and then but what is alarming seems to be weak steering when it gets here, it does not have it moving much for a day
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:27 pm to rds dc
Can you update this in the AM please
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:28 pm to rds dc
99L is either going to be really really bad or absolutely nothing. I don't think there any in between. Better pray it doesn't get into the GOM
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:29 pm to rds dc
Ryan has been very coy this whole time about this system and then just posted this:
quote:
Ryan Maue ?@RyanMaue 11m11 minutes ago
GFS 00z now takes weak surface low #Invest99L into Gulf of Mexico ... the game is afoot.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:30 pm to rds dc
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:32 pm to Jim Rockford
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:41 pm to lsuman25
quote:
i know it will change a lot between now and then but what is alarming seems to be weak steering when it gets here, it does not have it moving much for a day
Still has a TS sitting just offshore of the Landmass at D7 and then eventually moves it back to the SE towards Tampa by D10.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:43 pm to rds dc
pretty crazy run now it's going through Florida
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:44 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
GEAUXmedic
That Canadian run you posted is too far east, no way there is a 3rd system:
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:46 pm to rds dc
quote:
That Canadian run you posted is too far east, no way there is a 3rd system:
Are you saying the system in the atlantic is pulling 99l eastward, similar to the gfs run earlier that showed the phantom storm in the west atlantic pulling her west?
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:49 pm to GEAUXmedic
GFS has our next system entering the picture in the very very very long range
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:55 pm to GEAUXmedic
Wait... wat? Isn't that Gaston? Or a new wave coming off Africa?
Posted on 8/25/16 at 11:57 pm to jcaz
quote:
Wait... wat? Isn't that Gaston? Or a new wave coming off Africa?
new wave, ends up going up the east coast.. but this is so far in the future it likely will never exist
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:00 am to GEAUXmedic
Whew.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:02 am to GEAUXmedic
now gonna wait for the euro, the way the models been handling this wave i can see the euro dropping it tonight just to confuse us even more. 
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:03 am to lsuman25
damn europeans always trying to be different.
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