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Message
re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:10 pm to SomethingLikeA
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:10 pm to SomethingLikeA
quote:
So what's the latest euro, uk, model? 12z or 18z coming out soon?
Euro comes out after midnight.
quote:
Are we worried about Hermine or Gaston. I'm confused
There is no Hermine, and Gaston is a fish.
0
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:10 pm to SomethingLikeA
Only a 30% chance of cyclone formation in 48 hours according to National Hurricane Center.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:12 pm to ctiger69
What is the Peej model saying? That is the only one that matters.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:15 pm to Janky
You know, I was doing a little research and I found out that Peej doesn't really affect the outcomes of events.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:17 pm to LakeViewLSU
quote:
You know, I was doing a little research and I found out that Peej doesn't really affect the outcomes of events.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:19 pm to SomethingLikeA
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:21 pm to ctiger69
But 60% within 5 days which is the real thing to look out for for those of us on the Gulf coast.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:22 pm to WarmBubble
Let me guess: Your bother-in-law looked at one set of models and came to this conclusion? Don't bother posting updates.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:24 pm to BigB0882
"A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
moving westward at 15 to 20 mph through the southeastern Bahamas.
This system has become less organized since yesterday, with only
minimal associated shower activity, and the chances for development
during the next 2 days have decreased. Overall, environmental
conditions are not expected to be as conducive for development of
this system as anticipated earlier this week."
30%, I like our chances.
moving westward at 15 to 20 mph through the southeastern Bahamas.
This system has become less organized since yesterday, with only
minimal associated shower activity, and the chances for development
during the next 2 days have decreased. Overall, environmental
conditions are not expected to be as conducive for development of
this system as anticipated earlier this week."
30%, I like our chances.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:31 pm to ctiger69
quote:
The 18z HWRF is at it again. It plows our little gal into Cuba tonight and keeps her messing with Cuba for 36 to 48 hours until she re-emerges into the southeast Gulf. From there, she moves WNW while strengthening. It has her reaching hurricane strength by early Tuesday morning and rapidly intensifying through the end of the run moving northwest.
From gulfcoastweather
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:53 pm to ctiger69
And I have more...
quote:
Weather Underground that he thinks there' a 30% chance 99L becomes a hurricane in the Gulf. He said that because it's staying weak now it has a better chance of continuing to move west into GOM rather than curve up. He aid waters temps are high and shear is low.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:55 pm to Chad504boy
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/8/21 at 11:51 am
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:55 pm to graychef
quote:
So we're back to nobody knowing what the hell is going on.
Nobody ever knew what the hell was going on.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 7:59 pm to graychef
quote:
So we're back to nobody knowing what the hell is going on.
This
Wtf is going on? It seems to be changing every few hours. I know it seems like those of us in South LA are overreacting to some, but a tropical storm, much less a hurricane, is the last thing we need here right now.
We really won't know anything until this weekend, after it passes Cuba, right? At least I think that's what Jay Grimes said tonight at 6 on the news...
This post was edited on 8/25/16 at 8:00 pm
Posted on 8/25/16 at 8:05 pm to Chad504boy
So now it's predicted to go back into the middle GOM...
Posted on 8/25/16 at 8:06 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Nobody ever knew what the hell was going on.
I can think of one person who thinks they know
Posted on 8/25/16 at 8:07 pm to jlu03
If it even survives and makes it that far. Chances aren't looking too good.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 8:08 pm to GEAUXmedic
I just can't see a depression (even a weak one) getting into the gulf right now and not becoming at least a cat 1 or 2 storm. The people saying this shouldn't even be a thread should be ignored IMO.
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