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re: Since school isn’t safe in NYC, city will provide child care for 100k plus children
Posted on 7/16/20 at 12:39 pm to lsupride87
Posted on 7/16/20 at 12:39 pm to lsupride87
So unless the kids and staff at the daycare centers are the exact same as the ones at school then this will cause the virus to spread more.
Unfortunately the obvious answer to them will be to eliminate the schools and move to day-care only.
Unfortunately the obvious answer to them will be to eliminate the schools and move to day-care only.
Posted on 7/16/20 at 12:41 pm to lsupride87
quote:
So, now science says its the act of teaching that spreads covid
In reality, where the rest of us live, the science actually says the opposite
Posted on 7/16/20 at 1:11 pm to lsupride87
If I'm understanding correctly, it does seem 10x logistically easier to organize a safe way to oversee 100k kids than a full school system with 1.3 million?
Posted on 7/16/20 at 6:46 pm to wm72
quote:
If I'm understanding correctly, it does seem 10x logistically easier to organize a safe way to oversee 100k kids than a full school system with 1.3 million?
That would be the only way this makes sense. I would guess that they would have to put income limitations in order to get the numbers down that low. If they do that it may defeat the purpose for a lot of middle class people who need their kids to be somewhere while they work.
If the numbers are lower due to income requirements then that begs the question of how many kids total will be in daycare when you factor in people who did not qualify.
Posted on 7/16/20 at 6:49 pm to lsupride87
That’s some level of Chess I can’t process
Posted on 7/16/20 at 6:51 pm to lsupride87
Vote-buying at its finest.
Posted on 7/16/20 at 6:55 pm to wm72
100k will be provided by the govt. How many more will be in daycare that parents are paying for? The number of total kids in daycare will be much higher than 100k. The point would still remain how ridiculous it is that daycare is being allowed but not school.
This will be the case everywhere that schools are not open. Daycare centers will be packed.
This will be the case everywhere that schools are not open. Daycare centers will be packed.
Posted on 7/16/20 at 7:15 pm to lsupride87
That doesn’t sound like a liability risk for the city at all
Posted on 7/16/20 at 8:46 pm to BeepNode
quote:
That would be the only way this makes sense. I would guess that they would have to put income limitations in order to get the numbers down that low. If they do that it may defeat the purpose for a lot of middle class people who need their kids to be somewhere while they work.
If the numbers are lower due to income requirements then that begs the question of how many kids total will be in daycare when you factor in people who did not qualify.
I actually just talked to a friend of mine with a 9 year old in Brooklyn.
The daycare plan for 100K+ kids goes hand-in-hand with a plan to also partially reopen schools with a combination of online and in person classes.
I guess the OP just left out that part or didn't look up the context of the quote.
Since kids will only go to school 1/2 time, the daycare is to fill in the gap for parents unable to keep them at home those days.
Not sure I see what's so wrong with the plan.
Posted on 7/16/20 at 9:06 pm to wm72
quote:
Since kids will only go to school 1/2 time, the daycare is to fill in the gap for parents unable to keep them at home those days.
Not sure I see what's so wrong with the plan.
What's wrong with the plan is that the kids would be better off going to school and staying in the same class full-time instead of doubling the amount of people they are interacting with.
Or do you think COVID-19 doesn't spread if you're at a daycare/community center?
This post was edited on 7/16/20 at 9:06 pm
Posted on 7/16/20 at 9:30 pm to BeepNode
Seems the plan reduces the amount of students by over 40% in classrooms and adds non school buildings for the daycare.
Also, allows significant reduction of at-risk teachers and staff.
I guess I do believe the scientists that say such increased distancing can prevent spread.
Also, allows significant reduction of at-risk teachers and staff.
I guess I do believe the scientists that say such increased distancing can prevent spread.
This post was edited on 7/16/20 at 9:45 pm
Posted on 7/16/20 at 10:06 pm to wm72
quote:
Seems the plan reduces the amount of students by over 40% in classrooms and adds non school buildings for the daycare.
Let me try speaking more slowly.
Do you realize that a child will interact with more people (both adults and children) if they have to attend both school and daycare?
Can you acknowledge this?
quote:
allows significant reduction of at-risk teachers and staff.
How so? Now teachers are now having to interact with kids that are spending a lot of time at community centers 3 days a week touching god knows what. Do you really think that COVID-19 won't spread from community centers into schools?
Schools are much better positioned to control who interacts with who than most daycares and community centers, which are going to be like summer camps.
Look, COVID-19 freaks me out. I know somebody my age with small children that died from it. It was a punch in the gut for me. I'm at risk. I have bad psoriasis and not in the best health. However, we can't be weak. We need to push forward. I don't want my kids to miss out on school in these important developmental years.
I'm honestly disappointed with the feds, Trump, Europe, the scientific community, and the world in general that we haven't figured out a safe way to do this. It's been a very underwhelming response.
Posted on 7/16/20 at 10:10 pm to lsupride87
I can easily see that it will be arranged that the kids at community centers will get regular visits by some BLM activists
Posted on 7/16/20 at 10:33 pm to BeepNode
quote:
Let me try speaking more slowly.
Perhaps you should calculate more slowly if your math is telling you that daycaring 100k kids means more exposure than the 700K kids otherwise going to school that day. That's 600k kids a day not going out!
Again, the plan means that 600k kids would be staying at their homes 2.5 days a week and not going anywhere while 700k go to school those days. Only around 15% of the kids will go to daycare out of necessity.
That's also subtracting those 600k (700k-100k) students and all the teachers conducting online instruction from subway/bus travel every single day.
Again, it cuts 40% of students (1.4 million - 700k in school + 100 k in daycare that day) + 1/2 of the teachers every single day.
quote:
How so? Now teachers are now having to interact with kids that are spending a lot of time at community centers 3 days a week
Well, you can (slowly) subtract all of the teachers that are particularly high risk from the in-person teaching completely and have them just do online.
It's like you're being intentionally obtuse to the obvious degree which it would reduce a huge movement of kids and adults every day.
This post was edited on 7/16/20 at 11:08 pm
Posted on 7/16/20 at 10:39 pm to wm72
quote:
Perhaps you should calculate more slowly if your math is telling you that daycaring 100k kids in re-purposed empty city buildings means more exposure than 700K kids going to school that day.
That's also subtracting those 600k )700k-100k) students and teachers conducting online instruction from subway travel every single day.
We will try again because you clearly don't get how this works.
Scenario A) every kid goes to school every day and is in the same classroom every day. No daycare involved.
Scenario B) every kid goes to school some days and some of those kids go to random daycares and interact with other kids from other schools other days. Those same kids then return to school the the next day.
Scenario B spreads it more. The school is not in a vacuum.
Posted on 7/16/20 at 10:48 pm to BeepNode
quote:
We will try again because you clearly don't get how this works.
Scenario A) every kid goes to school every day and is in the same classroom every day. No daycare involved.
Scenario B) every kid goes to school some days and some of those kids go to random daycares and interact with other kids from other schools other days. Those same kids then return to school the the next day.
Scenario B spreads it more. The school is not in a vacuum.
THE MATH:
Every day:
1.4 million overall students
700k go to school
100K go to daycare
600K stay at home and don't go anywhere every single day
1/2 teachers go to school
1/2 teachers stay at home
Every single point you try to make completely ignores the fact that an extra 600k kids plus 1/2 teachers stay at home every single day.
Seems you have just completely missed that point or are intentionally ignoring it.
This post was edited on 7/16/20 at 10:53 pm
Posted on 7/16/20 at 10:52 pm to I Bleed Garnet
quote:
So school....?
I do believe you have it surrounded.
Posted on 7/17/20 at 12:18 am to wm72
You are completely ignoring the cross-contamination to/from the daycare/community centers, and are making up numbers about how many students are staying home.
A lot of parents will not qualify for the free day care but they will still need to do something with their children for half the week.
You misunderstood the math, btw. Based on your argument, it should be 50k go to daycare each day and 650k stay at home. :)
A lot of parents will not qualify for the free day care but they will still need to do something with their children for half the week.
You misunderstood the math, btw. Based on your argument, it should be 50k go to daycare each day and 650k stay at home. :)
Posted on 7/17/20 at 1:17 am to BeepNode
quote:
50k go to daycare each day and 650k stay at home
I wasn't sure if it was 100K a day or total so I actually chose the number more friendly to your argument. If it's only 50k/day, that means even more students may stay home each day.
I'm not sure how you can say that even if 100k students "cross-contaminate" that this number does not still pale in comparison to the other option which is 700k doing practically the same thing.
It's highly questionable conjecture that even the kids who go to daycare would somehow cross-contaminate significantly less if they were at a school: the plan is also meant to alleviate crowding in buses/trains and school hallways to, you know, avoid as much cross-contamination. (I said "avoid as much" not "completely eliminate").
So, the plan seems to be using libraries and other public spaces with no more than 15 students grouped together and in locations that do not necessitate subway/bus travel.
Again, subtracting those huge daily numbers from the bus/subway crowds of students and at-risk teachers can certainly not be effaced since that is among the most likely points of spread.
This is not to even mention solving the problem of what to do about older/at-risk teachers, which is just as significant a hurdle to re-opening the schools as the kids.
quote:
A lot of parents will not qualify for the free day care but they will still need to do something with their children for half the week
We will have to see how this pans out and how many kids will go to other day cares.
I don't think it will be as many as you suggest considering that 1/2 of the students are 12-18 years old.
Also, a vast amount of jobs in NYC are currently being done at-home and the huge percentage of NYC jobs that derive from entertainment / bar & restaurant / tourism are virtually non-existent right now.
Like with any monumental desperation plan I can't imagine it will be anywhere near perfect but think the people in NYC probably know a little better what works better for them over the next few months.
It's certainly better than no plan at all aside from send 'em all back and hope for the best which is pretty much the thinking that put us into our current dilemma.
This post was edited on 7/17/20 at 1:40 am
Posted on 7/17/20 at 1:25 am to lsupride87
quote:
Why don't they just...you know, use the schools for childcare services?
quote:
Because apparently its the act of teaching that spreads covid. At least that is the logic they are using
I don't think that's what he's saying. He's saying rather than using community centers and libraries, just use the schools for day care centers.
Hell, you could even have the teachers that aren't teaching be the care givers that watch the children.
And while they are there, maybe they could offer some sort of instruction or something.
Just don't teach.
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